Johnny Speeds vs NOVAQ — CounterQuant

European Pro League Series 3· T3 ONLINE BO2

FINAL 04 Dec 2025 20:21 UTC

Johnny Speeds

Elo 1439

1 – 0

Winner: Johnny Speeds

NOVAQ

Elo 1546

CS2

CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP

AUC 0.702 70% CONF WRONG

Johnny Speeds 29.6% 70.4% NOVAQ

Why this prediction?

−100.0 Elo advantage

+84.2 Elo implied probability

+75.5 Elo win probability

−46.2 Schedule difficulty edge

−37.7 Avg opponent quality diff

+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1

+29.3 Days since last match (T1)

+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)

+25.2 Elo (T1)

+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)

Match Highlights Demo parsed

Top Performers

Top Fragger

TASMAN

kills

ADR 98.9

Top Assist

Lekr0

assists

0 flash

Best ADR

draken

102.6

avg dmg/rd

22K 13D

Best KAST

HEAP

84.0%

KAST

24K 18D

Most HS

TASMAN

headshots

68% HS rate

Best K/D

draken

1.69

K/D ratio

22K 13D

overpass

13 – 10

6ct|7tvs5ct|5t

Johnny Speeds WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
HEAP	24	18	1	1.33	58%	85.8	84.0%	0.64
draken	22	13	9	1.69	23%	102.6	84.0%	0.64
Sapec	21	16	5	1.31	38%	71.7	76.0%	0.54
jacob	16	16	5	1.00	44%	64.2	84.0%	0.47
Lekr0	12	19	15	0.63	33%	66.8	84.0%	0.35
CT SIDE
TASMAN	25	19	3	1.32	68%	98.9	80.0%	0.67
modesavage	22	22	6	1.00	27%	75.0	84.0%	0.49
nealan	16	20	2	0.80	44%	60.2	68.0%	0.37
def1zer	12	19	5	0.63	50%	47.9	72.0%	0.31
pump	8	18	4	0.44	62%	37.4	72.0%	0.26

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
HEAP	11	10	0	55%	79.2	84.6%	0.56
draken	10	6	5	30%	82.0	92.3%	0.61
Sapec	12	10	4	50%	80.8	69.2%	0.55
jacob	8	9	2	38%	55.0	76.9%	0.4
Lekr0	7	10	10	29%	82.6	84.6%	0.39
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
TASMAN	13	10	3	62%	104.8	76.9%	0.66
modesavage	10	12	5	30%	81.6	84.6%	0.45
nealan	13	10	1	54%	92.3	92.3%	0.67
def1zer	6	8	2	33%	43.8	76.9%	0.33
pump	4	9	4	75%	44.5	84.6%	0.32

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
HEAP	13	8	1	62%	93.1	83.3%	0.73
draken	12	7	4	17%	124.9	75.0%	0.68
Sapec	9	6	1	22%	61.9	83.3%	0.52
jacob	8	7	3	50%	74.2	91.7%	0.54
Lekr0	5	9	5	40%	49.8	83.3%	0.31
2ND HALF — T SIDE
TASMAN	12	9	0	75%	92.5	83.3%	0.68
modesavage	12	10	1	25%	67.8	83.3%	0.55
nealan	3	10	1	0%	25.5	41.7%	0.0
def1zer	6	11	3	67%	52.2	66.7%	0.3
pump	4	9	0	50%	29.8	58.3%	0.19

Highlights available for subscribers Sign in

Match Stats — All Players Combined DEMO PARSED

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Rds
⭐ TASMAN t1	25	19	3	1.32	68%	98.9	80.0%	25
HEAP t2	24	18	1	1.33	58%	85.8	84.0%	25
draken t2	22	13	9	1.69	23%	102.6	84.0%	25
modesavage t1	22	22	6	1.00	27%	75.0	84.0%	25
Sapec t2	21	16	5	1.31	38%	71.7	76.0%	25
jacob t2	16	16	5	1.00	44%	64.2	84.0%	25
nealan t1	16	20	2	0.80	44%	60.2	68.0%	25
Lekr0 t2	12	19	15	0.63	33%	66.8	84.0%	25
def1zer t1	12	19	5	0.63	50%	47.9	72.0%	25
pump t1	8	18	4	0.44	62%	37.4	72.0%	25

Player Awards

🔫

Top Fragger

TASMAN

25 kills

🎯

Headshot Machine

TASMAN

68% HS

25K

Per-Map Player Stats per map · sorted by kills

overpass 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ HEAP	24	18	1	1.33	58%	85.8	84.0%	0.64
draken	22	13	9	1.69	23%	102.6	84.0%	0.64
Sapec	21	16	5	1.31	38%	71.7	76.0%	0.54
jacob	16	16	5	1.00	44%	64.2	84.0%	0.47
Lekr0	12	19	15	0.63	33%	66.8	84.0%	0.35
TASMAN	25	19	3	1.32	68%	98.9	80.0%	0.67
modesavage	22	22	6	1.00	27%	75.0	84.0%	0.49
nealan	16	20	2	0.80	44%	60.2	68.0%	0.37
def1zer	12	19	5	0.63	50%	47.9	72.0%	0.31
pump	8	18	4	0.44	62%	37.4	72.0%	0.26

overpass 26 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $0 | CT $0

Round 2

T $4250 | CT $4100

Round 3

T $1600 | CT $20950

Round 4

T $1600 | CT $20950

Round 5

T $22600 | CT $27350

Round 6

T $23650 | CT $24650

Round 7

T $26100 | CT $1000

Round 8

T $27750 | CT $24050

Round 9

T $27350 | CT $27800

Round 10

T $19600 | CT $29700

Round 11

T $6950 | CT $28000

Round 12

T $27050 | CT $22950

Round 13

T $26300 | CT $1000

Round 14

T $27950 | CT $24300

Round 15

T $4350 | CT $4300

Round 16

T $20200 | CT $12950

Round 17

T $22800 | CT $5550

Round 18

T $26150 | CT $28350

Round 19

T $27350 | CT $10300

Round 20

T $27950 | CT $27050

Round 21

T $27950 | CT $27050

Round 22

T $25850 | CT $27300

Round 23

T $2500 | CT $28950

Round 24

T $26650 | CT $30100

Round 25

T $2000 | CT $30350

Round 26

T $25900 | CT $31750

NOVAQ Eco Rating: 2.5

Eco rounds

1/4 W (25%)

Force buy

0/2 W (0%)

Full buy

16 rounds

Avg Equip

$20832

Util Dmg

0.00

0.0/rd

Opening K

0%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 0%

Headshot% 0%

Johnny Speeds Eco Rating: 11.7

Eco rounds

1/6 W (17%)

Force buy

1/1 W (100%)

Full buy

16 rounds

Avg Equip

$19296

Util Dmg

0.00

0.0/rd

Opening K

0%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 0%

Headshot% 0%

CQ Feature Intelligence 534 features

null: 32.2% ◆ Platinum

Form (30d / 90d)

WR 30d

27.3% vs 61.9%

WR 90d

40.7% vs 57.5%

Rating 30d

1.07 vs 1.15

Form Slope

↑0.050 vs ↑0.020

Map Intelligence

CT WR 90d

49.4% vs 51.9%

T WR 90d

45.9% vs 54.8%

Pool Depth

— vs 4.0

Team Dynamics

Days Rest

1.0d vs 1.0d

Roster Stab

— vs —

Synergy

0.58 vs 0.67

Elo Δ -181

Elo Win% 26.1%

NOVAQ Eco Rating: 2.5

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

25%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

Trade Rate

—

Opening K/Rd

—

Util Dmg/Rd

—

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 0

Johnny Speeds Eco Rating: 11.7

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

17%

Force Win%

100%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

Trade Rate

—

Opening K/Rd

—

Util Dmg/Rd

—

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 0

Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

Current: 32.2% null Target: <10%

More features will unlock as demo parsing progresses

Johnny Speeds

1 – 0

NOVAQ

Recent Meetings

Johnny Speeds 1 – 0 NOVAQ Dec 2025

Player Performance

DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact

Impact = KPR×0.45 − DPR×0.30 + KAST×0.25 + HS%×0.15 + ADR/100×0.15 | KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round | Source: awpy + demoparser2

overpass 26 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $0 | CT $0

T buy: — CT buy: —

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $4250 | CT $4100

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $1600 | CT $20950

T buy: eco CT buy: half_buy

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $1600 | CT $20950

T buy: eco CT buy: half_buy

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $22600 | CT $27350

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $23650 | CT $24650

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $26100 | CT $1000

T buy: full_buy CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $27750 | CT $24050

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $27350 | CT $27800

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $19600 | CT $29700

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $6950 | CT $28000

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $27050 | CT $22950

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $26300 | CT $1000

T buy: full_buy CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $27950 | CT $24300

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $4350 | CT $4300

T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $20200 | CT $12950

T buy: half_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $22800 | CT $5550

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $26150 | CT $28350

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 19 19 — 2nd half

T $27350 | CT $10300

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy

Round 20 20 — 2nd half

T $27950 | CT $27050

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 21 21 — 2nd half

T $27950 | CT $27050

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 22 22 — 2nd half

T $25850 | CT $27300

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 23 23 — 2nd half

T $2500 | CT $28950

T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy

Round 24 24 — 2nd half

T $26650 | CT $30100

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 25 25 — 2nd half

T $2000 | CT $30350

T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy

Round 26 26 — 2nd half

T $25900 | CT $31750

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy