AaB vs MINLATE — CounterQuant

Urban Riga Open Season 2· T3 ONLINE BO3

FINAL 04 Jan 2026 21:30 UTC

AaB

Elo 1486

1 – 0

Winner: AaB

MINLATE

Elo 1491

CS2

CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP

AUC 0.702 54% CONF WRONG

AaB 46.0% 54.0% MINLATE

Why this prediction?

−100.0 Elo advantage

+84.2 Elo implied probability

+75.5 Elo win probability

+46.2 Schedule difficulty edge

+37.7 Avg opponent quality diff

+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1

+29.3 Days since last match (T1)

+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)

+25.2 Elo (T1)

+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)

Match Highlights Demo parsed

Top Performers

Top Fragger

kills

ADR 111.9

Top Assist

assists

1 flash

Best ADR

111.9

avg dmg/rd

23K 20D

Best KAST

84.0%

KAST

23K 20D

Most HS

sk1tt

headshots

53% HS rate

Best K/D

bekker

1.29

K/D ratio

18K 14D

ancient

13 – 9

5ct|8tvs4ct|5t

AaB WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
qx	23	20	10	1.15	35%	111.9	84.0%	0.6
Mol011	19	17	5	1.12	37%	79.6	68.0%	0.48
N4XX1S	18	18	8	1.00	22%	71.6	84.0%	0.46
bekker	18	14	2	1.29	28%	68.0	80.0%	0.5
Maze	15	16	9	0.94	40%	58.2	84.0%	0.44
CT SIDE
ex1st	20	19	3	1.05	45%	75.1	68.0%	0.48
sk1tt	19	20	9	0.95	53%	76.1	80.0%	0.5
POLO	16	18	4	0.89	50%	66.5	84.0%	0.46
amanek	16	19	5	0.84	25%	54.0	68.0%	0.35
SBT	15	18	4	0.83	33%	44.9	72.0%	0.35

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
qx	15	12	5	47%	109.7	93.3%	0.68
Mol011	15	8	5	40%	102.1	93.3%	0.74
N4XX1S	11	11	3	18%	59.1	86.7%	0.44
bekker	8	9	1	25%	39.0	80.0%	0.36
Maze	10	10	7	30%	51.1	86.7%	0.44
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
ex1st	15	12	1	53%	83.1	66.7%	0.58
sk1tt	8	13	4	38%	42.5	73.3%	0.28
POLO	11	11	1	36%	63.3	80.0%	0.46
amanek	7	13	3	29%	40.4	60.0%	0.2
SBT	10	11	3	20%	45.8	80.0%	0.38

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
qx	8	8	5	12%	115.2	70.0%	0.49
Mol011	4	9	0	25%	46.0	30.0%	0.09
N4XX1S	7	7	5	29%	90.4	80.0%	0.48
bekker	10	5	1	30%	111.4	80.0%	0.71
Maze	5	6	2	60%	68.8	80.0%	0.44
2ND HALF — T SIDE
ex1st	5	7	2	20%	63.0	70.0%	0.31
sk1tt	11	7	5	64%	126.5	90.0%	0.8
POLO	5	7	3	80%	71.4	90.0%	0.47
amanek	9	6	2	22%	74.4	80.0%	0.57
SBT	5	7	1	60%	43.5	60.0%	0.32

Highlights available for subscribers Sign in

Match Stats — All Players Combined DEMO PARSED

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Rds
⭐ qx t2	23	20	10	1.15	35%	111.9	84.0%	25
ex1st t1	20	19	3	1.05	45%	75.1	68.0%	25
Mol011 t2	19	17	5	1.12	37%	79.6	68.0%	25
sk1tt t1	19	20	9	0.95	53%	76.1	80.0%	25
N4XX1S t2	18	18	8	1.00	22%	71.6	84.0%	25
bekker t2	18	14	2	1.29	28%	68.0	80.0%	25
POLO t1	16	18	4	0.89	50%	66.5	84.0%	25
amanek t1	16	19	5	0.84	25%	54.0	68.0%	25
Maze t2	15	16	9	0.94	40%	58.2	84.0%	25
SBT t1	15	18	4	0.83	33%	44.9	72.0%	25

Player Awards

🔫

Top Fragger

23 kills

🎯

Headshot Machine

35% HS

23K

Per-Map Player Stats per map · sorted by kills

ancient 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ qx	23	20	10	1.15	35%	111.9	84.0%	0.6
Mol011	19	17	5	1.12	37%	79.6	68.0%	0.48
N4XX1S	18	18	8	1.00	22%	71.6	84.0%	0.46
bekker	18	14	2	1.29	28%	68.0	80.0%	0.5
Maze	15	16	9	0.94	40%	58.2	84.0%	0.44
ex1st	20	19	3	1.05	45%	75.1	68.0%	0.48
sk1tt	19	20	9	0.95	53%	76.1	80.0%	0.5
POLO	16	18	4	0.89	50%	66.5	84.0%	0.46
amanek	16	19	5	0.84	25%	54.0	68.0%	0.35
SBT	15	18	4	0.83	33%	44.9	72.0%	0.35

ancient 25 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $4300 | CT $4650

Round 2

T $19250 | CT $12100

Round 3

T $19250 | CT $12100

Round 4

T $19250 | CT $12100

Round 5

T $19250 | CT $12100

Round 6

T $13600 | CT $21550

Round 7

T $10600 | CT $24500

Round 8

T $25850 | CT $10650

Round 9

T $26800 | CT $1000

Round 10

T $26600 | CT $23250

Round 11

T $26100 | CT $6250

Round 12

T $28250 | CT $25800

Round 13

T $28050 | CT $29100

Round 14

T $28350 | CT $27850

Round 15

T $28250 | CT $30950

Round 16

T $4450 | CT $4000

Round 17

T $18850 | CT $11400

Round 18

T $22850 | CT $3350

Round 19

T $25600 | CT $25950

Round 20

T $27650 | CT $10550

Round 21

T $27450 | CT $26400

Round 22

T $24200 | CT $28650

Round 23

T $1600 | CT $29250

Round 24

T $26950 | CT $30000

Round 25

T $15550 | CT $29800

MINLATE Eco Rating: 4.6

Eco rounds

0/4 W (0%)

Force buy

1/8 W (12%)

Full buy

12 rounds

Avg Equip

$18132

Util Dmg

0.00

0.0/rd

Opening K

62%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 38%

Headshot% 34%

AaB Eco Rating: 20.6

Eco rounds

2/3 W (67%)

Force buy

1/1 W (100%)

Full buy

14 rounds

Avg Equip

$20756

Util Dmg

0.00

0.0/rd

Opening K

61%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 39%

Headshot% 39%

CQ Feature Intelligence 534 features

null: 38.8% ⬡ Gold

Form (30d / 90d)

WR 30d

50.0% vs 66.7%

WR 90d

54.3% vs 54.5%

Rating 30d

1.22 vs 1.15

Map Intelligence

CT WR 90d

55.8% vs 51.9%

T WR 90d

42.5% vs 49.0%

Pool Depth

— vs —

Team Dynamics

Days Rest

13.0d vs 13.0d

Roster Stab

— vs —

Synergy

0.59 vs 0.64

Elo Δ -11

Elo Win% 48.5%

MINLATE Eco Rating: 4.6

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

Force Win%

12%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

34%

Trade Rate

38%

Opening K/Rd

62%

Util Dmg/Rd

—

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 57

AaB Eco Rating: 20.6

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

67%

Force Win%

100%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

39%

Trade Rate

39%

Opening K/Rd

61%

Util Dmg/Rd

—

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 69

Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

Current: 38.8% null Target: <10%

More features will unlock as demo parsing progresses

AaB

1 – 0

MINLATE

Recent Meetings

AaB 1 – 0 MINLATE Jan 2026

Player Performance

DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact

Impact = KPR×0.45 − DPR×0.30 + KAST×0.25 + HS%×0.15 + ADR/100×0.15 | KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round | Source: awpy + demoparser2

ancient 25 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $4300 | CT $4650

T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $19250 | CT $12100

T buy: half_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $19250 | CT $12100

T buy: half_buy CT buy: force_buy

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $19250 | CT $12100

T buy: half_buy CT buy: force_buy

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $19250 | CT $12100

T buy: half_buy CT buy: force_buy

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $13600 | CT $21550

T buy: half_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $10600 | CT $24500

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $25850 | CT $10650

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $26800 | CT $1000

T buy: full_buy CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $26600 | CT $23250

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $26100 | CT $6250

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $28250 | CT $25800

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $28050 | CT $29100

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $28350 | CT $27850

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $28250 | CT $30950

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $4450 | CT $4000

T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $18850 | CT $11400

T buy: half_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $22850 | CT $3350

T buy: full_buy CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 19 19 — 2nd half

T $25600 | CT $25950

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 20 20 — 2nd half

T $27650 | CT $10550

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 21 21 — 2nd half

T $27450 | CT $26400

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 22 22 — 2nd half

T $24200 | CT $28650

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 23 23 — 2nd half

T $1600 | CT $29250

T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 24 24 — 2nd half

T $26950 | CT $30000

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 25 25 — 2nd half

T $15550 | CT $29800

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy