MOUZ NXT vs SemperFi — CounterQuant

Urban Riga Open Season 2· T3 ONLINE BO3

FINAL 04 Jan 2026 21:30 UTC

MOUZ NXT

Elo 1449

1 – 0

Winner: MOUZ NXT

SemperFi

Elo 1431

CS2

CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP

AUC 0.702 54% CONF CORRECT

MOUZ NXT 53.5% 46.5% SemperFi

Why this prediction?

+100.0 Elo advantage

+84.2 Elo implied probability

+75.5 Elo win probability

−46.2 Schedule difficulty edge

−37.7 Avg opponent quality diff

+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1

+29.3 Days since last match (T1)

+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)

+25.2 Elo (T1)

+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)

Match Highlights Demo parsed

Top Performers

Top Fragger

xelex

kills

ADR 93.1

Top Assist

SaVage

assists

0 flash

Best ADR

Nikodeon

96.0

avg dmg/rd

18K 12D

Best KAST

xelex

81.0%

KAST

19K 14D

Most HS

Nikodeon

headshots

67% HS rate

Best K/D

Nikodeon

1.50

K/D ratio

18K 12D

nuke

13 – 8

5ct|8tvs1ct|7t

MOUZ NXT WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
keen	17	16	2	1.06	41%	82.0	61.9%	0.47
ADDICT	16	15	1	1.07	75%	84.0	61.9%	0.52
SaVage	11	17	7	0.65	64%	70.1	81.0%	0.4
hazr	11	16	7	0.69	45%	73.4	66.7%	0.35
shadiy	10	15	3	0.67	90%	56.8	52.4%	0.35
CT SIDE
xelex	19	14	3	1.36	53%	93.1	81.0%	0.63
Nikodeon	18	12	5	1.50	67%	96.0	71.4%	0.64
ay0k	15	14	6	1.07	33%	87.3	81.0%	0.5
Joey	14	13	2	1.08	57%	74.4	66.7%	0.48
opdust	13	12	4	1.08	69%	71.6	71.4%	0.5

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
keen	13	8	2	46%	107.6	66.7%	0.68
ADDICT	11	8	1	91%	100.9	66.7%	0.67
SaVage	2	11	6	50%	42.4	83.3%	0.15
hazr	8	9	2	50%	81.9	66.7%	0.44
shadiy	7	8	1	86%	61.4	50.0%	0.41
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
xelex	13	10	2	54%	121.1	75.0%	0.69
Nikodeon	8	7	0	62%	69.6	66.7%	0.49
ay0k	10	9	3	10%	96.5	83.3%	0.52
Joey	6	8	0	67%	61.8	50.0%	0.34
opdust	7	7	2	71%	68.0	58.3%	0.44

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
keen	4	8	0	25%	47.9	55.6%	0.18
ADDICT	5	7	0	40%	61.6	55.6%	0.31
SaVage	9	6	1	67%	107.0	77.8%	0.71
hazr	3	7	5	33%	62.1	66.7%	0.23
shadiy	3	7	2	100%	50.6	55.6%	0.28
2ND HALF — T SIDE
xelex	6	4	1	50%	55.9	88.9%	0.55
Nikodeon	10	5	5	70%	131.3	77.8%	0.83
ay0k	5	5	3	80%	75.0	77.8%	0.51
Joey	8	5	2	50%	91.2	88.9%	0.67
opdust	6	5	2	67%	76.3	88.9%	0.57

Highlights available for subscribers Sign in

Match Stats — All Players Combined DEMO PARSED

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Rds
⭐ xelex t1	19	14	3	1.36	53%	93.1	81.0%	21
Nikodeon t1	18	12	5	1.50	67%	96.0	71.4%	21
keen t2	17	16	2	1.06	41%	82.0	61.9%	21
ADDICT t2	16	15	1	1.07	75%	84.0	61.9%	21
ay0k t1	15	14	6	1.07	33%	87.3	81.0%	21
Joey t1	14	13	2	1.08	57%	74.4	66.7%	21
opdust t1	13	12	4	1.08	69%	71.6	71.4%	21
SaVage t2	11	17	7	0.65	64%	70.1	81.0%	21
hazr t2	11	16	7	0.69	45%	73.4	66.7%	21
shadiy t2	10	15	3	0.67	90%	56.8	52.4%	21

Player Awards

🔫

Top Fragger

xelex

19 kills

🎯

Headshot Machine

xelex

53% HS

19K

Per-Map Player Stats per map · sorted by kills

nuke 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ keen	17	16	2	1.06	41%	82.0	61.9%	0.47
ADDICT	16	15	1	1.07	75%	84.0	61.9%	0.52
SaVage	11	17	7	0.65	64%	70.1	81.0%	0.4
hazr	11	16	7	0.69	45%	73.4	66.7%	0.35
shadiy	10	15	3	0.67	90%	56.8	52.4%	0.35
xelex	19	14	3	1.36	53%	93.1	81.0%	0.63
Nikodeon	18	12	5	1.50	67%	96.0	71.4%	0.64
ay0k	15	14	6	1.07	33%	87.3	81.0%	0.5
Joey	14	13	2	1.08	57%	74.4	66.7%	0.48
opdust	13	12	4	1.08	69%	71.6	71.4%	0.5

nuke 21 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $4350 | CT $4000

Round 2

T $20600 | CT $1100

Round 3

T $24500 | CT $24650

Round 4

T $25400 | CT $7200

Round 5

T $28150 | CT $27600

Round 6

T $18600 | CT $28700

Round 7

T $1500 | CT $30550

Round 8

T $23100 | CT $31050

Round 9

T $8350 | CT $30850

Round 10

T $27550 | CT $30350

Round 11

T $15600 | CT $30750

Round 12

T $23500 | CT $29000

Round 13

T $4400 | CT $4000

Round 14

T $20700 | CT $2300

Round 15

T $20250 | CT $24150

Round 16

T $23550 | CT $9400

Round 17

T $25100 | CT $27150

Round 18

T $23250 | CT $29600

Round 19

T $23250 | CT $29400

Round 20

T $27050 | CT $26650

Round 21

T $25300 | CT $28500

MOUZ NXT Eco Rating: 16.7

Eco rounds

2/3 W (67%)

Force buy

1/1 W (100%)

Full buy

12 rounds

Avg Equip

$19717

Util Dmg

0.00

0.0/rd

Opening K

0%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 0%

Headshot% 0%

SemperFi Eco Rating: 0.0

Eco rounds

0/4 W (0%)

Force buy

0/2 W (0%)

Full buy

15 rounds

Avg Equip

$21760

Util Dmg

0.00

0.0/rd

Opening K

0%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 0%

Headshot% 0%

CQ Feature Intelligence 534 features

null: 45.7% ⬡ Gold

Form (30d / 90d)

WR 30d

50.0% vs —

WR 90d

52.9% vs —

Rating 30d

1.09 vs —

Form Slope

↓-0.050 vs —

Map Intelligence

CT WR 90d

53.0% vs 69.6%

T WR 90d

46.5% vs 50.0%

Pool Depth

— vs 2.0

Team Dynamics

Days Rest

16.0d vs 51.0d

Roster Stab

— vs —

Synergy

0.71 vs —

Elo Δ +23

Elo Win% 53.3%

MOUZ NXT Eco Rating: 16.7

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

67%

Force Win%

100%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

Trade Rate

—

Opening K/Rd

—

Util Dmg/Rd

—

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 0

SemperFi

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

Trade Rate

—

Opening K/Rd

—

Util Dmg/Rd

—

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 0

Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

Current: 45.7% null Target: <10%

More features will unlock as demo parsing progresses

MOUZ NXT

1 – 0

SemperFi

Recent Meetings

MOUZ NXT 1 – 0 SemperFi Jan 2026

Player Performance

DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact

Impact = KPR×0.45 − DPR×0.30 + KAST×0.25 + HS%×0.15 + ADR/100×0.15 | KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round | Source: awpy + demoparser2

nuke 21 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $4350 | CT $4000

T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $20600 | CT $1100

T buy: half_buy CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $24500 | CT $24650

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $25400 | CT $7200

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $28150 | CT $27600

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $18600 | CT $28700

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $1500 | CT $30550

T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $23100 | CT $31050

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $8350 | CT $30850

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $27550 | CT $30350

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $15600 | CT $30750

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $23500 | CT $29000

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $4400 | CT $4000

T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $20700 | CT $2300

T buy: half_buy CT buy: eco

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $20250 | CT $24150

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $23550 | CT $9400

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $25100 | CT $27150

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $23250 | CT $29600

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 19 19 — 2nd half

T $23250 | CT $29400

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 20 20 — 2nd half

T $27050 | CT $26650

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 21 21 — 2nd half

T $25300 | CT $28500

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy