MOUZ NXT vs CSDIILIT — CounterQuant

Urban Riga Open Season 2· T3 ONLINE BO3

FINAL 04 Jan 2026 21:30 UTC

MOUZ NXT

Elo 1449

1 – 0

Winner: MOUZ NXT

CSDIILIT

Elo 1554

CS2

CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP

AUC 0.702 79% CONF WRONG

MOUZ NXT 21.2% 78.8% CSDIILIT

Why this prediction?

−100.0 Elo advantage

+84.2 Elo implied probability

+75.5 Elo win probability

−46.2 Schedule difficulty edge

−37.7 Avg opponent quality diff

+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1

+29.3 Days since last match (T1)

+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)

+25.2 Elo (T1)

+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)

Match Highlights Demo parsed

Top Performers

Top Fragger

Joey

kills

ADR 86.5

Top Assist

opdust

assists

0 flash

Best ADR

opdust

105.0

avg dmg/rd

16K 11D

Best KAST

opdust

81.0%

KAST

16K 11D

Most HS

Joey

headshots

71% HS rate

Best K/D

Joey

1.70

K/D ratio

17K 10D

nuke

13 – 8

5ct|8tvs4ct|4t

MOUZ NXT WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
Joey	17	10	4	1.70	71%	86.5	71.4%	0.64
opdust	16	11	11	1.45	69%	105.0	81.0%	0.65
ay0k	15	10	1	1.50	13%	69.1	76.2%	0.49
Nikodeon	15	13	4	1.15	47%	62.7	81.0%	0.5
xelex	14	12	5	1.17	57%	81.5	81.0%	0.54
CT SIDE
puteli	17	16	2	1.06	41%	87.0	57.1%	0.47
Myggis	10	14	1	0.71	50%	54.3	61.9%	0.33
arvid	10	14	3	0.71	30%	58.3	57.1%	0.29
8juho8	9	15	4	0.60	44%	64.1	66.7%	0.31
oopee	8	16	3	0.50	38%	46.7	66.7%	0.24

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
Joey	10	6	3	80%	76.9	75.0%	0.65
opdust	6	6	9	67%	89.2	83.3%	0.52
ay0k	9	7	1	22%	71.0	83.3%	0.51
Nikodeon	11	6	2	45%	77.6	83.3%	0.65
xelex	9	6	2	89%	96.5	75.0%	0.65
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
puteli	7	10	0	14%	58.3	50.0%	0.25
Myggis	6	8	0	33%	60.8	50.0%	0.29
arvid	5	9	2	20%	59.2	50.0%	0.21
8juho8	6	9	2	67%	71.4	66.7%	0.37
oopee	7	9	3	43%	68.4	75.0%	0.39

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
Joey	7	4	1	57%	99.3	66.7%	0.62
opdust	10	5	2	70%	126.1	77.8%	0.82
ay0k	6	3	0	0%	66.7	66.7%	0.47
Nikodeon	4	7	2	50%	42.8	77.8%	0.3
xelex	5	6	3	0%	61.6	88.9%	0.36
2ND HALF — T SIDE
puteli	10	6	2	60%	125.1	66.7%	0.74
Myggis	4	6	1	75%	45.7	77.8%	0.38
arvid	5	5	1	40%	57.0	66.7%	0.4
8juho8	3	6	2	0%	54.4	66.7%	0.2
oopee	1	7	0	0%	17.8	55.6%	-0.02

Highlights available for subscribers Sign in

Match Stats — All Players Combined DEMO PARSED

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Rds
⭐ Joey t2	17	10	4	1.70	71%	86.5	71.4%	21
puteli t1	17	16	2	1.06	41%	87.0	57.1%	21
opdust t2	16	11	11	1.45	69%	105.0	81.0%	21
ay0k t2	15	10	1	1.50	13%	69.1	76.2%	21
Nikodeon t2	15	13	4	1.15	47%	62.7	81.0%	21
xelex t2	14	12	5	1.17	57%	81.5	81.0%	21
Myggis t1	10	14	1	0.71	50%	54.3	61.9%	21
arvid t1	10	14	3	0.71	30%	58.3	57.1%	21
8juho8 t1	9	15	4	0.60	44%	64.1	66.7%	21
oopee t1	8	16	3	0.50	38%	46.7	66.7%	21

Player Awards

🔫

Top Fragger

Joey

17 kills

🎯

Headshot Machine

Joey

71% HS

17K

Per-Map Player Stats per map · sorted by kills

nuke 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ Joey	17	10	4	1.70	71%	86.5	71.4%	0.64
opdust	16	11	11	1.45	69%	105.0	81.0%	0.65
ay0k	15	10	1	1.50	13%	69.1	76.2%	0.49
Nikodeon	15	13	4	1.15	47%	62.7	81.0%	0.5
xelex	14	12	5	1.17	57%	81.5	81.0%	0.54
puteli	17	16	2	1.06	41%	87.0	57.1%	0.47
Myggis	10	14	1	0.71	50%	54.3	61.9%	0.33
arvid	10	14	3	0.71	30%	58.3	57.1%	0.29
8juho8	9	15	4	0.60	44%	64.1	66.7%	0.31
oopee	8	16	3	0.50	38%	46.7	66.7%	0.24

nuke 21 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $4950 | CT $4400

Round 2

T $19800 | CT $11550

Round 3

T $21700 | CT $3300

Round 4

T $22600 | CT $25450

Round 5

T $27550 | CT $29550

Round 6

T $25450 | CT $29850

Round 7

T $8850 | CT $29750

Round 8

T $30500 | CT $28950

Round 9

T $27950 | CT $4650

Round 10

T $27150 | CT $25400

Round 11

T $25200 | CT $9550

Round 12

T $28350 | CT $27750

Round 13

T $4200 | CT $4000

Round 14

T $19450 | CT $1400

Round 15

T $22900 | CT $24700

Round 16

T $24700 | CT $27300

Round 17

T $24500 | CT $29200

Round 18

T $3800 | CT $30050

Round 19

T $23200 | CT $30400

Round 20

T $19950 | CT $30750

Round 21

T $24400 | CT $29350

MOUZ NXT Eco Rating: 5.6

Force buy

0/2 W (0%)

Full buy

18 rounds

Avg Equip

$20817

Util Dmg

255.00

12.8/rd

Opening K

60%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 31%

Headshot% 56%

CSDIILIT Eco Rating: 3.8

Eco rounds

0/1 W (0%)

Force buy

0/3 W (0%)

Full buy

16 rounds

Avg Equip

$20824

Util Dmg

348.00

17.4/rd

Opening K

45%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 27%

Headshot% 38%

CQ Feature Intelligence 534 features

null: 41.8% ⬡ Gold

Form (30d / 90d)

WR 30d

50.0% vs 50.0%

WR 90d

52.9% vs 61.5%

Rating 30d

1.09 vs 1.14

Form Slope

↓-0.050 vs ↑0.400

Map Intelligence

CT WR 90d

53.0% vs 43.1%

T WR 90d

46.5% vs 52.1%

Pool Depth

— vs —

Team Dynamics

Days Rest

16.0d vs 8.0d

Roster Stab

— vs —

Synergy

0.71 vs 0.74

Elo Δ -205

Elo Win% 23.5%

MOUZ NXT Eco Rating: 5.6

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

56%

Trade Rate

31%

Opening K/Rd

60%

Util Dmg/Rd

12.8

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 49

CSDIILIT Eco Rating: 3.8

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

38%

Trade Rate

27%

Opening K/Rd

45%

Util Dmg/Rd

17.4

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 43

Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

Current: 41.8% null Target: <10%

More features will unlock as demo parsing progresses

MOUZ NXT

1 – 0

CSDIILIT

Recent Meetings

MOUZ NXT 1 – 0 CSDIILIT Jan 2026

Player Performance

DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact

Impact = KPR×0.45 − DPR×0.30 + KAST×0.25 + HS%×0.15 + ADR/100×0.15 | KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round | Source: awpy + demoparser2

nuke 21 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $4950 | CT $4400 BOMB EXPLODED

T buy: half_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $19800 | CT $11550 T WIN — CT ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $21700 | CT $3300 T WIN — CT ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $22600 | CT $25450 DEFUSED

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $27550 | CT $29550 CT WIN — T ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $25450 | CT $29850 TIME EXPIRED

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $8850 | CT $29750 T WIN — CT ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $30500 | CT $28950 T WIN — CT ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $27950 | CT $4650 T WIN — CT ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $27150 | CT $25400 T WIN — CT ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $25200 | CT $9550 BOMB EXPLODED

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $28350 | CT $27750 DEFUSED

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $4200 | CT $4000 T WIN — CT ELIM

T buy: force_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $19450 | CT $1400 T WIN — CT ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: eco

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $22900 | CT $24700 BOMB EXPLODED

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $24700 | CT $27300 CT WIN — T ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $24500 | CT $29200 CT WIN — T ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $3800 | CT $30050 CT WIN — T ELIM

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 19 19 — 2nd half

T $23200 | CT $30400 DEFUSED

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 20 20 — 2nd half

T $19950 | CT $30750 T WIN — CT ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 21 21 — 2nd half

T $24400 | CT $29350 CT WIN — T ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy