SemperFi vs megoshort — CounterQuant

PLAYR Masters Season 1· T3 ONLINE BO3

FINAL 16 Jan 2026 22:10 UTC

SemperFi

Elo 1407

0 – 1

Winner: megoshort

megoshort

Elo 1583

CS2

CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP

AUC 0.702 79% CONF CORRECT

SemperFi 21.2% 78.8% megoshort

Why this prediction?

−100.0 Elo advantage

+84.2 Elo implied probability

+75.5 Elo win probability

−46.2 Schedule difficulty edge

−37.7 Avg opponent quality diff

+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1

+29.3 Days since last match (T1)

+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)

+25.2 Elo (T1)

+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)

Match Highlights Demo parsed

Top Performers

Top Fragger

nawwkk

kills

ADR 114.2

Top Assist

hazr

assists

1 flash

Best ADR

nawwkk

114.2

avg dmg/rd

20K 13D

Best KAST

nawwkk

81.0%

KAST

20K 13D

Most HS

mogv

headshots

75% HS rate

Best K/D

nawwkk

1.54

K/D ratio

20K 13D

dust2

7 – 13

2ct|5tvs7ct|6t

megoshort WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
keenx	16	14	1	1.14	12%	77.5	71.4%	0.46
ADDICT-	16	14	6	1.14	56%	80.3	71.4%	0.53
-SaVage	12	13	6	0.92	58%	76.9	71.4%	0.45
shadiy	11	16	5	0.69	27%	63.6	71.4%	0.32
hazr	11	16	10	0.69	45%	79.6	71.4%	0.37
CT SIDE
nawwkk	20	13	4	1.54	40%	114.2	81.0%	0.68
titulus	17	12	5	1.42	35%	88.1	81.0%	0.58
mogv	16	13	4	1.23	75%	80.9	66.7%	0.56
Twinkeey	12	12	3	1.00	67%	64.7	76.2%	0.47
robiin	8	16	6	0.50	50%	44.6	81.0%	0.29

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
keenx	12	9	1	17%	89.0	84.6%	0.58
ADDICT-	12	9	5	67%	111.5	84.6%	0.69
-SaVage	8	8	3	75%	81.9	76.9%	0.52
shadiy	9	9	3	33%	76.5	84.6%	0.48
hazr	8	10	7	62%	78.4	84.6%	0.47
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
nawwkk	11	10	4	36%	110.1	84.6%	0.58
titulus	14	9	3	29%	112.5	84.6%	0.7
mogv	8	10	1	62%	55.4	53.8%	0.36
Twinkeey	7	8	3	71%	70.3	69.2%	0.44
robiin	5	12	4	60%	52.7	76.9%	0.26

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
keenx	4	5	0	0%	58.8	50.0%	0.25
ADDICT-	4	5	1	25%	29.5	50.0%	0.24
-SaVage	4	5	3	25%	68.6	62.5%	0.33
shadiy	2	7	2	0%	42.5	50.0%	0.04
hazr	3	6	3	0%	81.6	50.0%	0.19
2ND HALF — T SIDE
nawwkk	9	3	0	44%	121.0	75.0%	0.83
titulus	3	3	2	67%	48.5	75.0%	0.42
mogv	8	3	3	88%	122.4	87.5%	0.87
Twinkeey	5	4	0	60%	55.6	87.5%	0.52
robiin	3	4	2	33%	31.5	87.5%	0.33

Highlights available for subscribers Sign in

Match Stats — All Players Combined DEMO PARSED

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Rds
⭐ nawwkk t1	20	13	4	1.54	40%	114.2	81.0%	21
titulus t1	17	12	5	1.42	35%	88.1	81.0%	21
keenx t2	16	14	1	1.14	12%	77.5	71.4%	21
ADDICT- t2	16	14	6	1.14	56%	80.3	71.4%	21
mogv t1	16	13	4	1.23	75%	80.9	66.7%	21
-SaVage t2	12	13	6	0.92	58%	76.9	71.4%	21
Twinkeey t1	12	12	3	1.00	67%	64.7	76.2%	21
shadiy t2	11	16	5	0.69	27%	63.6	71.4%	21
hazr t2	11	16	10	0.69	45%	79.6	71.4%	21
robiin t1	8	16	6	0.50	50%	44.6	81.0%	21

Player Awards

🔫

Top Fragger

nawwkk

20 kills

🎯

Headshot Machine

nawwkk

40% HS

20K

Per-Map Player Stats per map · sorted by kills

dust2 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ keenx	16	14	1	1.14	12%	77.5	71.4%	0.46
ADDICT-	16	14	6	1.14	56%	80.3	71.4%	0.53
-SaVage	12	13	6	0.92	58%	76.9	71.4%	0.45
shadiy	11	16	5	0.69	27%	63.6	71.4%	0.32
hazr	11	16	10	0.69	45%	79.6	71.4%	0.37
nawwkk	20	13	4	1.54	40%	114.2	81.0%	0.68
titulus	17	12	5	1.42	35%	88.1	81.0%	0.58
mogv	16	13	4	1.23	75%	80.9	66.7%	0.56
Twinkeey	12	12	3	1.00	67%	64.7	76.2%	0.47
robiin	8	16	6	0.50	50%	44.6	81.0%	0.29

dust2 21 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $3250 | CT $3250

Round 2

T $4850 | CT $4700

Round 3

T $10150 | CT $21800

Round 4

T $8950 | CT $28100

Round 5

T $24900 | CT $30150

Round 6

T $27300 | CT $18050

Round 7

T $24700 | CT $25700

Round 8

T $1000 | CT $28500

Round 9

T $25300 | CT $29350

Round 10

T $26150 | CT $1300

Round 11

T $26550 | CT $22200

Round 12

T $26500 | CT $26550

Round 13

T $27650 | CT $17900

Round 14

T $4600 | CT $4300

Round 15

T $18100 | CT $1300

Round 16

T $23300 | CT $22150

Round 17

T $21800 | CT $27650

Round 18

T $25500 | CT $22700

Round 19

T $25500 | CT $20500

Round 20

T $27250 | CT $28300

Round 21

T $27250 | CT $24900

megoshort Eco Rating: 3.7

Eco rounds

0/2 W (0%)

Force buy

0/2 W (0%)

Full buy

16 rounds

Avg Equip

$19493

Util Dmg

371.00

18.6/rd

Opening K

50%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 44%

Headshot% 37%

SemperFi Eco Rating: 5.3

Eco rounds

0/1 W (0%)

Force buy

0/1 W (0%)

Full buy

17 rounds

Avg Equip

$19550

Util Dmg

283.00

14.9/rd

Opening K

58%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 36%

Headshot% 53%

CQ Feature Intelligence 534 features

null: 37.5% ⬡ Gold

Form (30d / 90d)

WR 30d

60.0% vs 71.4%

WR 90d

33.3% vs 65.0%

Rating 30d

0.96 vs 1.19

Form Slope

↑0.100 vs ↓-0.180

Map Intelligence

CT WR 90d

37.5% vs 47.5%

T WR 90d

55.6% vs 51.8%

Pool Depth

2.0 vs 2.0

Team Dynamics

Days Rest

12.0d vs 12.0d

Roster Stab

— vs —

Synergy

0.88 vs 0.72

Elo Δ -237

Elo Win% 20.3%

megoshort Eco Rating: 3.7

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

37%

Trade Rate

44%

Opening K/Rd

50%

Util Dmg/Rd

18.6

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 46

SemperFi Eco Rating: 5.3

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

53%

Trade Rate

36%

Opening K/Rd

58%

Util Dmg/Rd

14.9

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 54

Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

Current: 37.5% null Target: <10%

More features will unlock as demo parsing progresses

SemperFi

0 – 2

megoshort

Recent Meetings

megoshort 3 – 0 SemperFi Jan 2026 SemperFi 0 – 1 megoshort Jan 2026

Player Performance

DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact

Impact = KPR×0.45 − DPR×0.30 + KAST×0.25 + HS%×0.15 + ADR/100×0.15 | KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round | Source: awpy + demoparser2

dust2 21 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $3250 | CT $3250 T WIN — CT ELIM

T buy: force_buy CT buy: force_buy

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $4850 | CT $4700 CT WIN — T ELIM

T buy: half_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $10150 | CT $21800 DEFUSED

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $8950 | CT $28100 DEFUSED

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $24900 | CT $30150 BOMB EXPLODED

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $27300 | CT $18050 DEFUSED

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $24700 | CT $25700 CT WIN — T ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $1000 | CT $28500 CT WIN — T ELIM

T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $25300 | CT $29350 T WIN — CT ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $26150 | CT $1300 T WIN — CT ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $26550 | CT $22200 CT WIN — T ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $26500 | CT $26550 BOMB EXPLODED

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $27650 | CT $17900 T WIN — CT ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $4600 | CT $4300 T WIN — CT ELIM

T buy: half_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $18100 | CT $1300 T WIN — CT ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: eco

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $23300 | CT $22150 CT WIN — T ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $21800 | CT $27650 BOMB EXPLODED

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $25500 | CT $22700 BOMB EXPLODED

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 19 19 — 2nd half

T $25500 | CT $20500 CT WIN — T ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 20 20 — 2nd half

T $27250 | CT $28300 T WIN — CT ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 21 21 — 2nd half

T $27250 | CT $24900 T WIN — CT ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy