AaB vs STATE — CounterQuant

PLAYR Masters Season 1· T3 ONLINE BO3

FINAL 16 Jan 2026 22:10 UTC

AaB

Elo 1485

1 – 0

Winner: AaB

STATE

Elo 1453

CS2

CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP

AUC 0.702 69% CONF WRONG

AaB 30.7% 69.3% STATE

Why this prediction?

+100.0 Elo advantage

+84.2 Elo implied probability

+75.5 Elo win probability

−46.2 Schedule difficulty edge

−37.7 Avg opponent quality diff

+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1

−29.3 Days since last match (T1)

+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)

+25.2 Elo (T1)

+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)

Match Highlights Demo parsed

Top Performers

Top Fragger

n1Xen7

kills

ADR 102.6

Top Assist

bekker

assists

3 flash

Best ADR

n1Xen7

102.6

avg dmg/rd

25K 11D

Best KAST

n1Xen7

87.0%

KAST

25K 11D

Most HS

n1Xen7

headshots

48% HS rate

Best K/D

n1Xen7

2.27

K/D ratio

25K 11D

inferno

13 – 9

9ct|4tvs6ct|3t

AaB WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
n1Xen7	25	11	6	2.27	48%	102.6	87.0%	0.79
bekker	18	15	10	1.20	50%	98.6	73.9%	0.56
MazeCS	17	14	7	1.21	47%	75.8	73.9%	0.52
qx-	14	16	8	0.88	43%	60.4	82.6%	0.43
Mol011	11	14	7	0.79	55%	59.0	69.6%	0.38
CT SIDE
SinKK	16	19	4	0.84	31%	70.6	73.9%	0.4
kwezz	16	16	4	1.00	31%	60.0	78.3%	0.44
Patti	13	16	5	0.81	46%	62.7	82.6%	0.42
thamlike	13	16	4	0.81	62%	70.5	69.6%	0.42
Zanto999	12	18	4	0.67	33%	66.1	65.2%	0.31

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
n1Xen7	12	5	3	42%	97.7	90.9%	0.79
bekker	12	8	3	67%	121.5	63.6%	0.71
MazeCS	5	9	2	60%	56.5	63.6%	0.29
qx-	4	10	3	0%	38.2	63.6%	0.11
Mol011	3	9	3	33%	50.7	45.5%	0.12
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
SinKK	10	9	2	20%	85.9	81.8%	0.53
kwezz	12	7	2	25%	88.5	81.8%	0.67
Patti	7	6	4	57%	73.1	90.9%	0.55
thamlike	6	5	1	67%	69.0	72.7%	0.49
Zanto999	5	8	3	20%	70.1	63.6%	0.28

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
n1Xen7	13	6	3	54%	107.1	83.3%	0.79
bekker	6	7	7	17%	77.6	83.3%	0.4
MazeCS	12	5	5	42%	93.4	83.3%	0.74
qx-	10	6	5	60%	80.8	100.0%	0.69
Mol011	8	5	4	62%	66.7	91.7%	0.6
2ND HALF — T SIDE
SinKK	6	10	2	50%	56.6	66.7%	0.3
kwezz	4	9	2	50%	34.0	75.0%	0.24
Patti	6	10	1	33%	53.2	75.0%	0.29
thamlike	7	11	3	57%	71.8	66.7%	0.35
Zanto999	7	10	1	43%	62.5	66.7%	0.34

Highlights available for subscribers Sign in

Match Stats — All Players Combined DEMO PARSED

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Rds
⭐ n1Xen7 t1	25	11	6	2.27	48%	102.6	87.0%	23
bekker t1	18	15	10	1.20	50%	98.6	73.9%	23
MazeCS t1	17	14	7	1.21	47%	75.8	73.9%	23
SinKK t2	16	19	4	0.84	31%	70.6	73.9%	23
kwezz t2	16	16	4	1.00	31%	60.0	78.3%	23
qx- t1	14	16	8	0.88	43%	60.4	82.6%	23
Patti t2	13	16	5	0.81	46%	62.7	82.6%	23
thamlike t2	13	16	4	0.81	62%	70.5	69.6%	23
Zanto999 t2	12	18	4	0.67	33%	66.1	65.2%	23
Mol011 t1	11	14	7	0.79	55%	59.0	69.6%	23

Player Awards

🔫

Top Fragger

n1Xen7

25 kills

🎯

Headshot Machine

n1Xen7

48% HS

25K

Per-Map Player Stats per map · sorted by kills

inferno 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ n1Xen7	25	11	6	2.27	48%	102.6	87.0%	0.79
bekker	18	15	10	1.20	50%	98.6	73.9%	0.56
MazeCS	17	14	7	1.21	47%	75.8	73.9%	0.52
qx-	14	16	8	0.88	43%	60.4	82.6%	0.43
Mol011	11	14	7	0.79	55%	59.0	69.6%	0.38
SinKK	16	19	4	0.84	31%	70.6	73.9%	0.4
kwezz	16	16	4	1.00	31%	60.0	78.3%	0.44
Patti	13	16	5	0.81	46%	62.7	82.6%	0.42
thamlike	13	16	4	0.81	62%	70.5	69.6%	0.42
Zanto999	12	18	4	0.67	33%	66.1	65.2%	0.31

inferno 23 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $3250 | CT $3250

Round 2

T $4950 | CT $4850

Round 3

T $10650 | CT $20900

Round 4

T $18500 | CT $24400

Round 5

T $23000 | CT $20800

Round 6

T $22300 | CT $25450

Round 7

T $9150 | CT $29200

Round 8

T $23400 | CT $29600

Round 9

T $8800 | CT $29750

Round 10

T $27450 | CT $30750

Round 11

T $23600 | CT $30950

Round 12

T $27450 | CT $30950

Round 13

T $24500 | CT $34100

Round 14

T $5450 | CT $4800

Round 15

T $14600 | CT $21950

Round 16

T $2600 | CT $24550

Round 17

T $25200 | CT $27550

Round 18

T $23750 | CT $29350

Round 19

T $12350 | CT $29550

Round 20

T $25650 | CT $30050

Round 21

T $25800 | CT $29250

Round 22

T $27450 | CT $22850

Round 23

T $12050 | CT $29500

STATE Eco Rating: 4.3

Force buy

0/1 W (0%)

Full buy

20 rounds

Avg Equip

$24537

Util Dmg

1488.00

70.9/rd

Opening K

71%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 25%

Headshot% 43%

AaB Eco Rating: 4.7

Force buy

0/2 W (0%)

Full buy

19 rounds

Avg Equip

$17474

Util Dmg

595.00

28.3/rd

Opening K

38%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 45%

Headshot% 47%

CQ Feature Intelligence 534 features

null: 36.3% ⬡ Gold

Form (30d / 90d)

WR 30d

40.0% vs 66.7%

WR 90d

51.2% vs 66.7%

Rating 30d

1.18 vs 1.05

Form Slope

↓-0.060 vs ↓-0.060

Map Intelligence

CT WR 90d

57.1% vs 43.6%

T WR 90d

43.4% vs 53.7%

Pool Depth

— vs —

Team Dynamics

Days Rest

—d vs —d

Roster Stab

— vs —

Synergy

0.58 vs 1.05

Elo Δ +17

Elo Win% 52.4%

STATE Eco Rating: 4.3

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

43%

Trade Rate

25%

Opening K/Rd

71%

Util Dmg/Rd

70.9

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 67

AaB Eco Rating: 4.7

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

47%

Trade Rate

45%

Opening K/Rd

38%

Util Dmg/Rd

28.3

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 43

Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

Current: 36.3% null Target: <10%

More features will unlock as demo parsing progresses

AaB

2 – 0

STATE

Recent Meetings

STATE 0 – 2 AaB Feb 2026 AaB 1 – 0 STATE Jan 2026

Player Performance

DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact

Impact = KPR×0.45 − DPR×0.30 + KAST×0.25 + HS%×0.15 + ADR/100×0.15 | KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round | Source: awpy + demoparser2

inferno 23 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $3250 | CT $3250 T WIN — CT ELIM

T buy: force_buy CT buy: force_buy

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $4950 | CT $4850 CT WIN — T ELIM

T buy: half_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $10650 | CT $20900 DEFUSED

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $18500 | CT $24400 BOMB EXPLODED

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $23000 | CT $20800 CT WIN — T ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $22300 | CT $25450 DEFUSED

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $9150 | CT $29200 CT WIN — T ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $23400 | CT $29600 CT WIN — T ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $8800 | CT $29750 DEFUSED

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $27450 | CT $30750 DEFUSED

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $23600 | CT $30950 BOMB EXPLODED

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $27450 | CT $30950 CT WIN — T ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $24500 | CT $34100 T WIN — CT ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $5450 | CT $4800 DEFUSED

T buy: half_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $14600 | CT $21950 CT WIN — T ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $2600 | CT $24550 CT WIN — T ELIM

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $25200 | CT $27550 BOMB EXPLODED

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $23750 | CT $29350 TIME EXPIRED

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 19 19 — 2nd half

T $12350 | CT $29550 TIME EXPIRED

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 20 20 — 2nd half

T $25650 | CT $30050 T WIN — CT ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 21 21 — 2nd half

T $25800 | CT $29250 T WIN — CT ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 22 22 — 2nd half

T $27450 | CT $22850 DEFUSED

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 23 23 — 2nd half

T $12050 | CT $29500 T WIN — CT ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted