Lilmix vs Luleflames — CounterQuant

United21 Esplay Challenge Season 1· T3 ONLINE BO3

FINAL 23 Jan 2026 22:57 UTC

Lilmix

Elo 1520

1 – 0

Winner: Lilmix

Luleflames

Elo 1531

CS2

CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP

AUC 0.702 58% CONF WRONG

Lilmix 42.5% 57.5% Luleflames

Why this prediction?

−100.0 Elo advantage

+84.2 Elo implied probability

+75.5 Elo win probability

−46.2 Schedule difficulty edge

−37.7 Avg opponent quality diff

+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1

+29.3 Days since last match (T1)

+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)

+25.2 Elo (T1)

+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)

Match Highlights Demo parsed

Top Performers

Top Fragger

Sn0w

kills

ADR 126.5

Top Assist

terq

assists

0 flash

Best ADR

Sn0w

126.5

avg dmg/rd

28K 11D

Best KAST

Sn0w

90.0%

KAST

28K 11D

Most HS

Sn0w

headshots

36% HS rate

Best K/D

Sn0w

2.55

K/D ratio

28K 11D

mirage

13 – 7

8ct|5tvs3ct|4t

Lilmix WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
Olliver	15	15	6	1.00	47%	81.7	75.0%	0.49
EjjM	12	14	3	0.86	67%	64.5	65.0%	0.42
terq	12	18	8	0.67	25%	80.9	80.0%	0.36
lukas	11	16	2	0.69	45%	60.0	55.0%	0.3
hugoo	9	17	7	0.53	44%	54.5	60.0%	0.25
CT SIDE
Sn0w	28	11	4	2.55	36%	126.5	90.0%	0.93
walleN	17	13	5	1.31	59%	90.0	85.0%	0.62
bsover	15	15	6	1.00	60%	91.8	75.0%	0.53
doobs	12	9	7	1.33	17%	61.5	90.0%	0.48
Quix	10	14	7	0.71	50%	54.1	90.0%	0.4

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
Olliver	6	10	4	67%	72.8	58.3%	0.33
EjjM	6	10	3	83%	57.7	50.0%	0.31
terq	7	10	1	14%	69.2	66.7%	0.3
lukas	8	10	0	50%	75.4	50.0%	0.36
hugoo	4	12	4	50%	45.9	41.7%	0.1
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
Sn0w	18	6	2	33%	141.8	83.3%	1.0
walleN	11	8	3	55%	102.5	83.3%	0.66
bsover	10	7	5	50%	97.2	83.3%	0.63
doobs	7	5	3	14%	59.5	91.7%	0.48
Quix	7	6	4	29%	55.3	91.7%	0.47

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
Olliver	9	5	2	33%	95.1	100.0%	0.76
EjjM	6	4	0	50%	74.8	87.5%	0.59
terq	5	8	7	40%	98.4	100.0%	0.44
lukas	3	6	2	33%	36.8	62.5%	0.2
hugoo	5	5	3	40%	67.4	87.5%	0.47
2ND HALF — T SIDE
Sn0w	10	5	2	40%	103.8	100.0%	0.84
walleN	6	5	2	67%	71.2	87.5%	0.58
bsover	5	8	1	80%	83.6	62.5%	0.38
doobs	5	4	4	20%	64.5	87.5%	0.48
Quix	3	8	3	100%	52.2	87.5%	0.32

Highlights available for subscribers Sign in

Match Stats — All Players Combined DEMO PARSED

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Rds
⭐ Sn0w t1	28	11	4	2.55	36%	126.5	90.0%	20
walleN t1	17	13	5	1.31	59%	90.0	85.0%	20
Olliver t2	15	15	6	1.00	47%	81.7	75.0%	20
bsover t1	15	15	6	1.00	60%	91.8	75.0%	20
EjjM t2	12	14	3	0.86	67%	64.5	65.0%	20
terq t2	12	18	8	0.67	25%	80.9	80.0%	20
doobs t1	12	9	7	1.33	17%	61.5	90.0%	20
lukas t2	11	16	2	0.69	45%	60.0	55.0%	20
Quix t1	10	14	7	0.71	50%	54.1	90.0%	20
hugoo t2	9	17	7	0.53	44%	54.5	60.0%	20

Player Awards

🔫

Top Fragger

Sn0w

28 kills

🎯

Headshot Machine

Sn0w

36% HS

28K

Per-Map Player Stats per map · sorted by kills

mirage 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ Olliver	15	15	6	1.00	47%	81.7	75.0%	0.49
EjjM	12	14	3	0.86	67%	64.5	65.0%	0.42
terq	12	18	8	0.67	25%	80.9	80.0%	0.36
lukas	11	16	2	0.69	45%	60.0	55.0%	0.3
hugoo	9	17	7	0.53	44%	54.5	60.0%	0.25
Sn0w	28	11	4	2.55	36%	126.5	90.0%	0.93
walleN	17	13	5	1.31	59%	90.0	85.0%	0.62
bsover	15	15	6	1.00	60%	91.8	75.0%	0.53
doobs	12	9	7	1.33	17%	61.5	90.0%	0.48
Quix	10	14	7	0.71	50%	54.1	90.0%	0.4

mirage 20 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $4300 | CT $4350

Round 2

T $2700 | CT $22850

Round 3

T $21400 | CT $26550

Round 4

T $23800 | CT $23700

Round 5

T $7200 | CT $23300

Round 6

T $24150 | CT $27100

Round 7

T $5900 | CT $30050

Round 8

T $26550 | CT $31550

Round 9

T $27150 | CT $29650

Round 10

T $8650 | CT $29350

Round 11

T $24200 | CT $30650

Round 12

T $25500 | CT $26600

Round 13

T $4300 | CT $4500

Round 14

T $10250 | CT $20750

Round 15

T $7750 | CT $21900

Round 16

T $24200 | CT $27500

Round 17

T $19300 | CT $15550

Round 18

T $24200 | CT $14550

Round 19

T $25200 | CT $26000

Round 20

T $25200 | CT $24500

Lilmix Eco Rating: 5.3

Force buy

0/3 W (0%)

Full buy

16 rounds

Avg Equip

$17095

Util Dmg

334.00

17.6/rd

Opening K

37%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 42%

Headshot% 53%

Luleflames Eco Rating: 3.8

Force buy

0/1 W (0%)

Full buy

18 rounds

Avg Equip

$23048

Util Dmg

627.00

33.0/rd

Opening K

68%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 37%

Headshot% 38%

CQ Feature Intelligence 524 features

null: 63.6% ⬡ Gold

Form (30d / 90d)

WR 30d

40.0% vs —

WR 90d

53.3% vs —

Rating 30d

1.01 vs —

Form Slope

↓-0.100 vs —

Map Intelligence

CT WR 90d

52.9% vs —

T WR 90d

36.3% vs —

Pool Depth

— vs —

Team Dynamics

Days Rest

4.0d vs 30.0d

Roster Stab

— vs —

Synergy

1.0 vs —

Elo Δ -27

Elo Win% 46.1%

Lilmix Eco Rating: 5.3

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

53%

Trade Rate

42%

Opening K/Rd

37%

Util Dmg/Rd

17.6

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 40

Luleflames Eco Rating: 3.8

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

38%

Trade Rate

37%

Opening K/Rd

68%

Util Dmg/Rd

33.0

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 61

Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

Current: 63.6% null Target: <10%

More features will unlock as demo parsing progresses

Lilmix

1 – 0

Luleflames

Recent Meetings

Lilmix 1 – 0 Luleflames Jan 2026

Player Performance

DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact

Impact = KPR×0.45 − DPR×0.30 + KAST×0.25 + HS%×0.15 + ADR/100×0.15 | KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round | Source: awpy + demoparser2

mirage 20 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $4300 | CT $4350 CT WIN — T ELIM

T buy: force_buy CT buy: force_buy

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $2700 | CT $22850 CT WIN — T ELIM

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $21400 | CT $26550 T WIN — CT ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $23800 | CT $23700 DEFUSED

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $7200 | CT $23300 CT WIN — T ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $24150 | CT $27100 CT WIN — T ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $5900 | CT $30050 CT WIN — T ELIM

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $26550 | CT $31550 T WIN — CT ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $27150 | CT $29650 CT WIN — T ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $8650 | CT $29350 CT WIN — T ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $24200 | CT $30650 T WIN — CT ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $25500 | CT $26600 T WIN — CT ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $4300 | CT $4500 CT WIN — T ELIM

T buy: force_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $10250 | CT $20750 DEFUSED

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $7750 | CT $21900 CT WIN — T ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $24200 | CT $27500 T WIN — CT ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $19300 | CT $15550 BOMB EXPLODED

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $24200 | CT $14550 BOMB EXPLODED

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 19 19 — 2nd half

T $25200 | CT $26000 T WIN — CT ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 20 20 — 2nd half

T $25200 | CT $24500 T WIN — CT ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted