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ESL Challenger League Season 51 Oceania Cup 1ยท A-TIER ONLINE BO3
FINAL 18 Feb 2026 21:39 UTC
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
Elo 1528
2 โ€“ 0
Winner: THUNDER dOWNUNDER
BB
BBBMBCBS
Elo 1485
CS2
CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP
AUC 0.702 74% CONF WRONG
THUNDER dOWNUNDER 25.8% 74.2% BBBMBCBS
Why this prediction?
โˆ’100.0 Elo advantage
+84.2 Elo implied probability
+75.5 Elo win probability
+46.2 Schedule difficulty edge
+37.7 Avg opponent quality diff
+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1
+29.3 Days since last match (T1)
+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)
+25.2 Elo (T1)
+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)
nuke
13 โ€“ 2
3|10vs2|?
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
ancient
13 โ€“ ?
12|1vs?|?
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
Match Highlights Demo parsed
Top Performers
Top Fragger
Liazz
37
kills
Most HS
dexter
18
headshots
53% HS rate
Best K/D
Liazz
3.08
K/D ratio
37K 12D
de_nuke
nuke
13 โ€“ 2
THUNDER dOWNUNDER WON
Round Timeline
CT win T win
HT
Round โ€” Player Stats
Player K D A HS ADR KAST
Player K D A K/D HS% ADR KAST% Impact
T SIDE
#53657
 10 16 โ€” 0.62 40% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#38076
 10 14 โ€” 0.71 30% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#94467
 8 13 โ€” 0.62 38% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#45400
 8 15 โ€” 0.53 62% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#64968
 6 13 โ€” 0.46 50% โ€” โ€” โ€”
CT SIDE
Liazz
 20 7 โ€” 2.86 60% โ€” โ€” โ€”
dexter
 17 11 โ€” 1.55 59% โ€” โ€” โ€”
asap
 15 7 โ€” 2.14 60% โ€” โ€” โ€”
TjP
 13 10 โ€” 1.30 62% โ€” โ€” โ€”
aliStair
 10 11 โ€” 0.91 30% โ€” โ€” โ€”
Player K D A HS% ADR KAST% Impact
1ST HALF โ€” T SIDE
#53657
 2 4 โ€” 50% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#38076
 3 3 โ€” 67% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#94467
 2 4 โ€” 0% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#45400
 2 4 โ€” 50% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#64968
 2 3 โ€” 50% โ€” โ€” โ€”
1ST HALF โ€” CT SIDE
Liazz
 5 1 โ€” 40% โ€” โ€” โ€”
dexter
 7 3 โ€” 29% โ€” โ€” โ€”
asap
 5 1 โ€” 80% โ€” โ€” โ€”
TjP
 3 4 โ€” 33% โ€” โ€” โ€”
aliStair
 0 4 โ€” 0% โ€” โ€” โ€”
Player K D A HS% ADR KAST% Impact
2ND HALF โ€” CT SIDE
#53657
 8 12 โ€” 38% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#38076
 7 11 โ€” 14% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#94467
 6 9 โ€” 50% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#45400
 6 11 โ€” 67% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#64968
 4 10 โ€” 50% โ€” โ€” โ€”
2ND HALF โ€” T SIDE
Liazz
 15 6 โ€” 67% โ€” โ€” โ€”
dexter
 10 8 โ€” 80% โ€” โ€” โ€”
asap
 10 6 โ€” 50% โ€” โ€” โ€”
TjP
 10 6 โ€” 70% โ€” โ€” โ€”
aliStair
 10 7 โ€” 30% โ€” โ€” โ€”
Highlights available for subscribers Sign in
de_ancient
ancient
13 โ€“ ?
THUNDER dOWNUNDER WON
Round Timeline
CT win T win
Round โ€” Player Stats
Player K D A HS ADR KAST
Player K D A K/D HS% ADR KAST% Impact
T SIDE
#64968
 6 14 โ€” 0.43 17% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#53657
 5 14 โ€” 0.36 60% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#38076
 5 14 โ€” 0.36 60% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#45400
 4 14 โ€” 0.29 50% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#94467
 3 15 โ€” 0.20 67% โ€” โ€” โ€”
CT SIDE
dexter
 17 4 โ€” 4.25 47% โ€” โ€” โ€”
Liazz
 17 5 โ€” 3.40 24% โ€” โ€” โ€”
TjP
 14 6 โ€” 2.33 50% โ€” โ€” โ€”
aliStair
 13 1 โ€” 13.00 15% โ€” โ€” โ€”
asap
 8 5 โ€” 1.60 50% โ€” โ€” โ€”
Player K D A HS% ADR KAST% Impact
1ST HALF โ€” T SIDE
#64968
 6 13 โ€” 17% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#53657
 4 13 โ€” 50% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#38076
 4 13 โ€” 50% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#45400
 4 13 โ€” 50% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#94467
 2 14 โ€” 50% โ€” โ€” โ€”
1ST HALF โ€” CT SIDE
dexter
 17 3 โ€” 47% โ€” โ€” โ€”
Liazz
 14 5 โ€” 7% โ€” โ€” โ€”
TjP
 13 5 โ€” 46% โ€” โ€” โ€”
aliStair
 12 1 โ€” 8% โ€” โ€” โ€”
asap
 8 4 โ€” 50% โ€” โ€” โ€”
Player K D A HS% ADR KAST% Impact
2ND HALF โ€” CT SIDE
#64968
 0 1 โ€” 0% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#53657
 1 1 โ€” 100% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#38076
 1 1 โ€” 100% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#45400
 0 1 โ€” 0% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#94467
 1 1 โ€” 100% โ€” โ€” โ€”
2ND HALF โ€” T SIDE
dexter
 0 1 โ€” 0% โ€” โ€” โ€”
Liazz
 3 0 โ€” 100% โ€” โ€” โ€”
TjP
 1 1 โ€” 100% โ€” โ€” โ€”
aliStair
 1 0 โ€” 100% โ€” โ€” โ€”
asap
 0 1 โ€” 0% โ€” โ€” โ€”
Highlights available for subscribers Sign in
Match Stats โ€” All Players Combined DEMO PARSED
Player K D A K/D HS% ADR KAST% Rds
⭐ Liazz t2
37 12 โ€” 3.08 43% โ€” โ€” โ€”
dexter t2
34 15 โ€” 2.27 53% โ€” โ€” โ€”
TjP t2
27 16 โ€” 1.69 56% โ€” โ€” โ€”
asap t2
23 12 โ€” 1.92 57% โ€” โ€” โ€”
aliStair t2
23 12 โ€” 1.92 22% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#53657 t1
15 30 โ€” 0.50 47% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#38076 t1
15 28 โ€” 0.54 40% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#64968 t1
12 27 โ€” 0.44 33% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#45400 t1
12 29 โ€” 0.41 58% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#94467 t1
11 28 โ€” 0.39 45% โ€” โ€” โ€”
Player Awards
🔫
Top Fragger
Liazz
37 kills
🎯
Headshot Machine
Liazz
43% HS
37K
Per-Map Player Stats per map ยท sorted by kills
de_nuke nuke 10 players
Player K D A K/D HS% ADR KAST% Impact
⭐
#53657
10 16 โ€” 0.62 40% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#38076
10 14 โ€” 0.71 30% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#94467
8 13 โ€” 0.62 38% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#45400
8 15 โ€” 0.53 62% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#64968
6 13 โ€” 0.46 50% โ€” โ€” โ€”
Liazz
20 7 โ€” 2.86 60% โ€” โ€” โ€”
dexter
17 11 โ€” 1.55 59% โ€” โ€” โ€”
asap
15 7 โ€” 2.14 60% โ€” โ€” โ€”
TjP
13 10 โ€” 1.30 62% โ€” โ€” โ€”
aliStair
10 11 โ€” 0.91 30% โ€” โ€” โ€”
de_ancient ancient 10 players
Player K D A K/D HS% ADR KAST% Impact
⭐
#64968
6 14 โ€” 0.43 17% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#53657
5 14 โ€” 0.36 60% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#38076
5 14 โ€” 0.36 60% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#45400
4 14 โ€” 0.29 50% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#94467
3 15 โ€” 0.20 67% โ€” โ€” โ€”
dexter
17 4 โ€” 4.25 47% โ€” โ€” โ€”
Liazz
17 5 โ€” 3.40 24% โ€” โ€” โ€”
TjP
14 6 โ€” 2.33 50% โ€” โ€” โ€”
aliStair
13 1 โ€” 13.00 15% โ€” โ€” โ€”
asap
8 5 โ€” 1.60 50% โ€” โ€” โ€”
de_ancient ancient 15 rounds
โ–  CT Win โ–  T Win Click a round to see kill feed
Round 1
T $0 | CT $0
Round 2
T $3250 | CT $3900
Round 3
T $4300 | CT $4250
Round 4
T $2100 | CT $18200
Round 5
T $21600 | CT $26750
Round 6
T $5850 | CT $30150
Round 7
T $25850 | CT $30850
Round 8
T $8250 | CT $30950
Round 9
T $24700 | CT $31650
Round 10
T $24100 | CT $30950
Round 11
T $20100 | CT $30150
Round 12
T $13750 | CT $30350
Round 13
T $23750 | CT $30850
Round 14
T $18500 | CT $30850
Round 15
T $4350 | CT $4250
de_nuke nuke 17 rounds
โ–  CT Win โ–  T Win Click a round to see kill feed
Round 1
T $0 | CT $0
Round 2
T $3250 | CT $3900
Round 3
T $4550 | CT $4200
Round 4
T $18150 | CT $1900
Round 5
T $24850 | CT $20600
Round 6
T $26650 | CT $5400
Round 7
T $27650 | CT $28800
Round 8
T $27550 | CT $23900
Round 9
T $27350 | CT $27100
Round 10
T $27450 | CT $12750
Round 11
T $28150 | CT $24900
Round 12
T $27450 | CT $20000
Round 13
T $27650 | CT $20500
Round 14
T $27550 | CT $20650
Round 15
T $4000 | CT $4200
HT
Round 16
T $15300 | CT $22800
Round 17
T $12650 | CT $27700
BBBMBCBS Eco Rating: 0.0
Eco rounds
0/7 W (0%)
Force buy
0/1 W (0%)
Full buy
14 rounds
Avg Equip
$20113
Util Dmg
0.00
0.0/rd
Opening K
0
0%/rd
Trade Kill Rate 0%
Headshot% 0%
2K
0
3K
0
4K
0
5K
0
THUNDER dOWNUNDER Eco Rating: 0.0
Eco rounds
0/7 W (0%)
Force buy
0/2 W (0%)
Full buy
12 rounds
Avg Equip
$17688
Util Dmg
0.00
0.0/rd
Opening K
0
0%/rd
Trade Kill Rate 0%
Headshot% 0%
2K
0
3K
0
4K
0
5K
0
CQ Feature Intelligence 524 features
null: 47.0% โฌก Gold
Form (30d / 90d)
WR 30d
20.0% vs 100.0%
WR 90d
42.9% vs 40.0%
Rating 30d
1.27 vs 1.38
Form Slope
โ†“-0.100 vs โ€”
Map Intelligence
CT WR 90d
55.2% vs 47.6%
T WR 90d
58.2% vs 35.5%
Pool Depth
5.0 vs โ€”
Team Dynamics
Days Rest
10.0d vs 1.0d
Roster Stab
โ€” vs โ€”
Synergy
0.45 vs 0.41
Elo ฮ” -19
Elo Win% 47.2%
BBBMBCBS
Economy Mastery
Eco Win%
0%
Force Win%
0%
Kill Quality
Headshot%
0%
Trade Rate
โ€”
Opening K/Rd
โ€”
Util Dmg/Rd
โ€”
Multi-Kill Rounds
2K
0
3K
0
4K
0
5K
0
Multi-Kill Score: 0
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
Economy Mastery
Eco Win%
0%
Force Win%
0%
Kill Quality
Headshot%
0%
Trade Rate
โ€”
Opening K/Rd
โ€”
Util Dmg/Rd
โ€”
Multi-Kill Rounds
2K
0
3K
0
4K
0
5K
0
Multi-Kill Score: 0
Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

Current: 47.0% null Target: <10%
More features will unlock as demo parsing progresses
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
1 โ€“ 0
BBBMBCBS
Recent Meetings
THUNDER dOWNUNDER 2 โ€“ 0 BBBMBCBS Feb 2026
Player Performance
DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact
Impact = KPRร—0.45 โˆ’ DPRร—0.30 + KASTร—0.25 + HS%ร—0.15 + ADR/100ร—0.15  |  KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round  |  Source: awpy + demoparser2
de_ancient ancient 15 rounds
โ–  CT Win โ–  T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed
Round 1 1 โ€” 1st half
T $0 | CT $0
T buy: โ€” CT buy: โ€”
Round 2 2 โ€” 1st half
T $3250 | CT $3900
T buy: eco CT buy: eco
Round 3 3 โ€” 1st half
T $4300 | CT $4250
T buy: eco CT buy: eco
Round 4 4 โ€” 1st half
T $2100 | CT $18200
T buy: eco CT buy: half_buy
Round 5 5 โ€” 1st half
T $21600 | CT $26750
T buy: half_buy CT buy: half_buy
Round 6 6 โ€” 1st half
T $5850 | CT $30150
T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy
Round 7 7 โ€” 1st half
T $25850 | CT $30850
T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy
Round 8 8 โ€” 1st half
T $8250 | CT $30950
T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy
Round 9 9 โ€” 1st half
T $24700 | CT $31650
T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted
Round 10 10 โ€” 1st half
T $24100 | CT $30950
T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy
Round 11 11 โ€” 1st half
T $20100 | CT $30150
T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy
Round 12 12 โ€” 1st half
T $13750 | CT $30350
T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy
Round 13 13 โ€” 1st half
T $23750 | CT $30850
T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy
Round 14 14 โ€” 1st half
T $18500 | CT $30850
T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted
Round 15 15 โ€” 1st half
T $4350 | CT $4250
T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted
de_nuke nuke 17 rounds
โ–  CT Win โ–  T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed
Round 1 1 โ€” 1st half
T $0 | CT $0
T buy: โ€” CT buy: โ€”
Round 2 2 โ€” 1st half
T $3250 | CT $3900
T buy: eco CT buy: eco
Round 3 3 โ€” 1st half
T $4550 | CT $4200
T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted
Round 4 4 โ€” 1st half
T $18150 | CT $1900
T buy: half_buy CT buy: eco
Round 5 5 โ€” 1st half
T $24850 | CT $20600
T buy: half_buy CT buy: half_buy
Round 6 6 โ€” 1st half
T $26650 | CT $5400
T buy: half_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted
Round 7 7 โ€” 1st half
T $27650 | CT $28800
T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted
Round 8 8 โ€” 1st half
T $27550 | CT $23900
T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy
Round 9 9 โ€” 1st half
T $27350 | CT $27100
T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted
Round 10 10 โ€” 1st half
T $27450 | CT $12750
T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted
Round 11 11 โ€” 1st half
T $28150 | CT $24900
T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy
Round 12 12 โ€” 1st half
T $27450 | CT $20000
T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted
Round 13 13 โ€” 1st half
T $27650 | CT $20500
T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted
Round 14 14 โ€” 1st half
T $27550 | CT $20650
T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy
Round 15 15 โ€” 1st half
T $4000 | CT $4200
T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted
HT
Round 16 16 โ€” 2nd half
T $15300 | CT $22800
T buy: half_buy CT buy: half_buy
Round 17 17 โ€” 2nd half
T $12650 | CT $27700
T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy