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ESL Challenger League Season 51 Oceania Cup 1ยท A-TIER ONLINE BO3
FINAL 20 Feb 2026 21:49 UTC
Skele
Skele
AU
Elo 1555
0 โ€“ 2
Winner: THUNDER dOWNUNDER
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
Elo 1528
CS2
CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP
AUC 0.702 73% CONF WRONG
Skele 72.6% 27.4% THUNDER dOWNUNDER
Why this prediction?
+100.0 Elo advantage
+84.2 Elo implied probability
+75.5 Elo win probability
โˆ’46.2 Schedule difficulty edge
โˆ’37.7 Avg opponent quality diff
+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1
โˆ’29.3 Days since last match (T1)
+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)
+25.2 Elo (T1)
+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)
inferno
4 โ€“ 13
4|?vs5|8
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
dust2
1 โ€“ 13
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
Match Highlights Demo parsed
Top Performers
Top Fragger
asap
31
kills
Most HS
TjP
22
headshots
71% HS rate
Best K/D
aliStair
2.15
K/D ratio
28K 13D
de_inferno
inferno
4 โ€“ 13
THUNDER dOWNUNDER WON
Round Timeline
CT win T win
HT
Round โ€” Player Stats
Player K D A HS ADR KAST
Player K D A K/D HS% ADR KAST% Impact
T SIDE
TjP
 23 10 โ€” 2.30 74% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#06964
 16 12 โ€” 1.33 44% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#21115
 9 15 โ€” 0.60 56% โ€” โ€” โ€”
aliStair
 9 10 โ€” 0.90 22% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#04035
 8 13 โ€” 0.62 88% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#85160
 7 14 โ€” 0.50 43% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#04682
 7 15 โ€” 0.47 71% โ€” โ€” โ€”
CT SIDE
asap
 14 11 โ€” 1.27 43% โ€” โ€” โ€”
dexter
 13 10 โ€” 1.30 69% โ€” โ€” โ€”
Liazz
 12 8 โ€” 1.50 58% โ€” โ€” โ€”
Player K D A HS% ADR KAST% Impact
1ST HALF โ€” T SIDE
TjP
 12 8 โ€” 58% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#06964
 3 6 โ€” 67% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#21115
 3 6 โ€” 67% โ€” โ€” โ€”
aliStair
 6 7 โ€” 17% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#04035
 1 6 โ€” 0% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#85160
 2 6 โ€” 0% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#04682
 2 6 โ€” 50% โ€” โ€” โ€”
1ST HALF โ€” CT SIDE
asap
 6 4 โ€” 33% โ€” โ€” โ€”
dexter
 6 2 โ€” 50% โ€” โ€” โ€”
Liazz
 6 2 โ€” 67% โ€” โ€” โ€”
Player K D A HS% ADR KAST% Impact
2ND HALF โ€” CT SIDE
TjP
 11 2 โ€” 91% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#06964
 13 6 โ€” 38% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#21115
 6 9 โ€” 50% โ€” โ€” โ€”
aliStair
 3 3 โ€” 33% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#04035
 7 7 โ€” 100% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#85160
 5 8 โ€” 60% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#04682
 5 9 โ€” 80% โ€” โ€” โ€”
2ND HALF โ€” T SIDE
asap
 8 7 โ€” 50% โ€” โ€” โ€”
dexter
 7 8 โ€” 86% โ€” โ€” โ€”
Liazz
 6 6 โ€” 50% โ€” โ€” โ€”
Highlights available for subscribers Sign in
de_dust2
dust2
1 โ€“ 13
THUNDER dOWNUNDER WON
Round Timeline
CT win T win
HT
Round โ€” Player Stats
Player K D A HS ADR KAST
Player K D A K/D HS% ADR KAST% Impact
T SIDE
#04035
 7 15 โ€” 0.47 71% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#06964
 6 14 โ€” 0.43 100% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#85160
 6 15 โ€” 0.40 33% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#04682
 5 15 โ€” 0.33 40% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#21115
 2 15 โ€” 0.13 0% โ€” โ€” โ€”
CT SIDE
aliStair
 19 3 โ€” 6.33 26% โ€” โ€” โ€”
asap
 17 4 โ€” 4.25 47% โ€” โ€” โ€”
Liazz
 15 5 โ€” 3.00 40% โ€” โ€” โ€”
dexter
 12 6 โ€” 2.00 50% โ€” โ€” โ€”
TjP
 8 5 โ€” 1.60 62% โ€” โ€” โ€”
Player K D A HS% ADR KAST% Impact
1ST HALF โ€” T SIDE
#04035
 4 13 โ€” 50% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#06964
 6 12 โ€” 100% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#85160
 6 13 โ€” 33% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#04682
 5 13 โ€” 40% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#21115
 2 13 โ€” 0% โ€” โ€” โ€”
1ST HALF โ€” CT SIDE
aliStair
 15 3 โ€” 20% โ€” โ€” โ€”
asap
 15 4 โ€” 47% โ€” โ€” โ€”
Liazz
 14 4 โ€” 43% โ€” โ€” โ€”
dexter
 11 5 โ€” 45% โ€” โ€” โ€”
TjP
 6 4 โ€” 67% โ€” โ€” โ€”
Player K D A HS% ADR KAST% Impact
2ND HALF โ€” CT SIDE
#04035
 3 2 โ€” 100% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#06964
 0 2 โ€” 0% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#85160
 0 2 โ€” 0% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#04682
 0 2 โ€” 0% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#21115
 0 2 โ€” 0% โ€” โ€” โ€”
2ND HALF โ€” T SIDE
aliStair
 4 0 โ€” 50% โ€” โ€” โ€”
asap
 2 0 โ€” 50% โ€” โ€” โ€”
Liazz
 1 1 โ€” 0% โ€” โ€” โ€”
dexter
 1 1 โ€” 100% โ€” โ€” โ€”
TjP
 2 1 โ€” 50% โ€” โ€” โ€”
Highlights available for subscribers Sign in
Match Stats โ€” All Players Combined DEMO PARSED
Player K D A K/D HS% ADR KAST% Rds
⭐ asap t2
31 15 โ€” 2.07 45% โ€” โ€” โ€”
TjP t1
31 15 โ€” 2.07 71% โ€” โ€” โ€”
aliStair t1
28 13 โ€” 2.15 25% โ€” โ€” โ€”
Liazz t2
27 13 โ€” 2.08 48% โ€” โ€” โ€”
dexter t2
25 16 โ€” 1.56 60% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#06964 t1
22 26 โ€” 0.85 59% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#04035 t1
15 28 โ€” 0.54 80% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#85160 t1
13 29 โ€” 0.45 38% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#04682 t1
12 30 โ€” 0.40 58% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#21115 t1
11 30 โ€” 0.37 45% โ€” โ€” โ€”
Player Awards
🔫
Top Fragger
asap
31 kills
🎯
Headshot Machine
asap
45% HS
31K
Per-Map Player Stats per map ยท sorted by kills
de_inferno inferno 10 players
Player K D A K/D HS% ADR KAST% Impact
⭐
TjP
23 10 โ€” 2.30 74% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#06964
16 12 โ€” 1.33 44% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#21115
9 15 โ€” 0.60 56% โ€” โ€” โ€”
aliStair
9 10 โ€” 0.90 22% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#04035
8 13 โ€” 0.62 88% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#85160
7 14 โ€” 0.50 43% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#04682
7 15 โ€” 0.47 71% โ€” โ€” โ€”
asap
14 11 โ€” 1.27 43% โ€” โ€” โ€”
dexter
13 10 โ€” 1.30 69% โ€” โ€” โ€”
Liazz
12 8 โ€” 1.50 58% โ€” โ€” โ€”
de_dust2 dust2 10 players
Player K D A K/D HS% ADR KAST% Impact
⭐
#04035
7 15 โ€” 0.47 71% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#06964
6 14 โ€” 0.43 100% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#85160
6 15 โ€” 0.40 33% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#04682
5 15 โ€” 0.33 40% โ€” โ€” โ€”
#21115
2 15 โ€” 0.13 0% โ€” โ€” โ€”
aliStair
19 3 โ€” 6.33 26% โ€” โ€” โ€”
asap
17 4 โ€” 4.25 47% โ€” โ€” โ€”
Liazz
15 5 โ€” 3.00 40% โ€” โ€” โ€”
dexter
12 6 โ€” 2.00 50% โ€” โ€” โ€”
TjP
8 5 โ€” 1.60 62% โ€” โ€” โ€”
de_dust2 dust2 16 rounds
โ–  CT Win โ–  T Win Click a round to see kill feed
Round 1
T $0 | CT $0
Round 2
T $3900 | CT $3900
Round 3
T $4100 | CT $4000
Round 4
T $3200 | CT $18100
Round 5
T $20800 | CT $28550
Round 6
T $4850 | CT $30850
Round 7
T $26650 | CT $31850
Round 8
T $13100 | CT $31550
Round 9
T $23800 | CT $31550
Round 10
T $18400 | CT $30000
Round 11
T $18600 | CT $31150
Round 12
T $18200 | CT $31050
Round 13
T $23950 | CT $30950
Round 14
T $17300 | CT $31450
Round 15
T $4250 | CT $4250
HT
Round 16
T $19950 | CT $12200
de_inferno inferno 19 rounds
โ–  CT Win โ–  T Win Click a round to see kill feed
Round 1
T $0 | CT $0
Round 2
T $3900 | CT $3900
Round 3
T $4400 | CT $3800
Round 4
T $14650 | CT $23050
Round 5
T $22900 | CT $21050
Round 6
T $24700 | CT $6800
Round 7
T $27850 | CT $26600
Round 8
T $27450 | CT $9050
Round 9
T $28450 | CT $28750
Round 10
T $28250 | CT $18150
Round 11
T $25900 | CT $19900
Round 12
T $27550 | CT $29650
Round 13
T $22700 | CT $29900
Round 14
T $15250 | CT $33200
Round 15
T $4700 | CT $4500
HT
Round 16
T $1500 | CT $22650
Round 17
T $22700 | CT $26100
Round 18
T $16400 | CT $29850
Round 19
T $18400 | CT $29650
Skele Eco Rating: 0.0
Eco rounds
0/9 W (0%)
Force buy
0/2 W (0%)
Full buy
5 rounds
Avg Equip
$16930
Util Dmg
0.00
0.0/rd
Opening K
0
0%/rd
Trade Kill Rate 0%
Headshot% 0%
2K
0
3K
0
4K
0
5K
0
THUNDER dOWNUNDER Eco Rating: 0.0
Eco rounds
0/6 W (0%)
Force buy
0/3 W (0%)
Full buy
16 rounds
Avg Equip
$21756
Util Dmg
0.00
0.0/rd
Opening K
0
0%/rd
Trade Kill Rate 0%
Headshot% 0%
2K
0
3K
0
4K
0
5K
0
CQ Feature Intelligence 524 features
null: 49.2% โฌก Gold
Form (30d / 90d)
WR 30d
66.7% vs 16.7%
WR 90d
66.7% vs 35.7%
Rating 30d
1.16 vs 1.34
Form Slope
โ€” vs โ†“-0.090
Map Intelligence
CT WR 90d
33.3% vs 55.2%
T WR 90d
67.7% vs 58.2%
Pool Depth
โ€” vs 6.0
Team Dynamics
Days Rest
โ€”d vs 2.0d
Roster Stab
โ€” vs โ€”
Synergy
โ€” vs 0.36
Elo ฮ” +53
Elo Win% 57.5%
Skele
Economy Mastery
Eco Win%
0%
Force Win%
0%
Kill Quality
Headshot%
0%
Trade Rate
โ€”
Opening K/Rd
โ€”
Util Dmg/Rd
โ€”
Multi-Kill Rounds
2K
0
3K
0
4K
0
5K
0
Multi-Kill Score: 0
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
Economy Mastery
Eco Win%
0%
Force Win%
0%
Kill Quality
Headshot%
0%
Trade Rate
โ€”
Opening K/Rd
โ€”
Util Dmg/Rd
โ€”
Multi-Kill Rounds
2K
0
3K
0
4K
0
5K
0
Multi-Kill Score: 0
Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

Current: 49.2% null Target: <10%
More features will unlock as demo parsing progresses
Skele
0 โ€“ 1
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
Recent Meetings
THUNDER dOWNUNDER 1 โ€“ 0 Skele Feb 2026 Skele 0 โ€“ 2 THUNDER dOWNUNDER Feb 2026
Player Performance
DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact
Impact = KPRร—0.45 โˆ’ DPRร—0.30 + KASTร—0.25 + HS%ร—0.15 + ADR/100ร—0.15  |  KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round  |  Source: awpy + demoparser2
de_dust2 dust2 16 rounds
โ–  CT Win โ–  T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed
Round 1 1 โ€” 1st half
T $0 | CT $0
T buy: โ€” CT buy: โ€”
Round 2 2 โ€” 1st half
T $3900 | CT $3900
T buy: eco CT buy: eco
Round 3 3 โ€” 1st half
T $4100 | CT $4000
T buy: eco CT buy: eco
Round 4 4 โ€” 1st half
T $3200 | CT $18100
T buy: eco CT buy: half_buy
Round 5 5 โ€” 1st half
T $20800 | CT $28550
T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy
Round 6 6 โ€” 1st half
T $4850 | CT $30850
T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy
Round 7 7 โ€” 1st half
T $26650 | CT $31850
T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy
Round 8 8 โ€” 1st half
T $13100 | CT $31550
T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy
Round 9 9 โ€” 1st half
T $23800 | CT $31550
T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy
Round 10 10 โ€” 1st half
T $18400 | CT $30000
T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy
Round 11 11 โ€” 1st half
T $18600 | CT $31150
T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy
Round 12 12 โ€” 1st half
T $18200 | CT $31050
T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted
Round 13 13 โ€” 1st half
T $23950 | CT $30950
T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy
Round 14 14 โ€” 1st half
T $17300 | CT $31450
T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy
Round 15 15 โ€” 1st half
T $4250 | CT $4250
T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted
HT
Round 16 16 โ€” 2nd half
T $19950 | CT $12200
T buy: half_buy CT buy: force_buy
de_inferno inferno 19 rounds
โ–  CT Win โ–  T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed
Round 1 1 โ€” 1st half
T $0 | CT $0
T buy: โ€” CT buy: โ€”
Round 2 2 โ€” 1st half
T $3900 | CT $3900
T buy: eco CT buy: eco
Round 3 3 โ€” 1st half
T $4400 | CT $3800
T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted
Round 4 4 โ€” 1st half
T $14650 | CT $23050
T buy: force_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted
Round 5 5 โ€” 1st half
T $22900 | CT $21050
T buy: half_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted
Round 6 6 โ€” 1st half
T $24700 | CT $6800
T buy: half_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted
Round 7 7 โ€” 1st half
T $27850 | CT $26600
T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted
Round 8 8 โ€” 1st half
T $27450 | CT $9050
T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy
Round 9 9 โ€” 1st half
T $28450 | CT $28750
T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted
Round 10 10 โ€” 1st half
T $28250 | CT $18150
T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted
Round 11 11 โ€” 1st half
T $25900 | CT $19900
T buy: half_buy CT buy: half_buy
Round 12 12 โ€” 1st half
T $27550 | CT $29650
T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy
Round 13 13 โ€” 1st half
T $22700 | CT $29900
T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy
Round 14 14 โ€” 1st half
T $15250 | CT $33200
T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted
Round 15 15 โ€” 1st half
T $4700 | CT $4500
T buy: eco CT buy: eco
HT
Round 16 16 โ€” 2nd half
T $1500 | CT $22650
T buy: eco CT buy: half_buy
Round 17 17 โ€” 2nd half
T $22700 | CT $26100
T buy: half_buy CT buy: half_buy
Round 18 18 โ€” 2nd half
T $16400 | CT $29850
T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy
Round 19 19 โ€” 2nd half
T $18400 | CT $29650
T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy