illwill vs MASONIC — CounterQuant

Parken Challenger Championship Season 1· T3 ONLINE BO3

FINAL 22 Feb 2026 18:47 UTC

illwill

Elo 1408

1 – 0

Winner: illwill

MASONIC

Elo 1489

CS2

CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP

AUC 0.702 69% CONF WRONG

illwill 30.7% 69.3% MASONIC

Why this prediction?

−100.0 Elo advantage

+84.2 Elo implied probability

+75.5 Elo win probability

−46.2 Schedule difficulty edge

−37.7 Avg opponent quality diff

+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1

−29.3 Days since last match (T1)

+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)

+25.2 Elo (T1)

+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)

Match Highlights Demo parsed

Top Performers

Top Fragger

nEMANHA

kills

ADR 135.7

Top Assist

hAdji

assists

0 flash

Best ADR

nEMANHA

135.7

avg dmg/rd

26K 15D

Best KAST

nEMANHA

85.7%

KAST

26K 15D

Most HS

nEMANHA

headshots

54% HS rate

Best K/D

nEMANHA

1.73

K/D ratio

26K 15D

nuke

13 – 8

5ct|8tvs4ct|4t

illwill WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
nEMANHA	26	15	4	1.73	54%	135.7	85.7%	0.84
k7ck	16	10	1	1.60	12%	72.4	85.7%	0.54
adamS11	14	12	3	1.17	21%	65.5	85.7%	0.47
dychacs	14	15	2	0.93	57%	65.5	71.4%	0.45
hAdji	13	12	7	1.08	46%	73.1	71.4%	0.46
CT SIDE
Avou	17	16	3	1.06	59%	84.1	66.7%	0.52
Bukhavez	17	16	5	1.06	41%	90.0	71.4%	0.51
Noruyp	13	16	3	0.81	31%	63.1	66.7%	0.36
kralle	9	18	6	0.50	44%	62.3	57.1%	0.24
Botman0	7	16	3	0.44	57%	45.9	66.7%	0.24

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
nEMANHA	19	9	2	47%	159.5	91.7%	1.03
k7ck	9	5	0	11%	68.4	91.7%	0.56
adamS11	9	8	2	11%	69.1	83.3%	0.47
dychacs	6	8	2	67%	56.7	75.0%	0.4
hAdji	7	6	5	43%	77.5	75.0%	0.48
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
Avou	9	11	2	78%	92.4	75.0%	0.51
Bukhavez	8	9	2	38%	84.6	66.7%	0.43
Noruyp	8	10	1	25%	60.2	58.3%	0.32
kralle	6	11	3	50%	71.9	50.0%	0.26
Botman0	5	9	2	60%	57.3	58.3%	0.28

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
nEMANHA	7	6	2	71%	103.9	77.8%	0.61
k7ck	7	5	1	14%	77.8	77.8%	0.52
adamS11	5	4	1	40%	60.8	88.9%	0.49
dychacs	8	7	0	50%	77.2	66.7%	0.52
hAdji	6	6	2	50%	67.3	66.7%	0.44
2ND HALF — T SIDE
Avou	8	5	1	38%	73.1	55.6%	0.54
Bukhavez	9	7	3	44%	97.3	77.8%	0.62
Noruyp	5	6	2	40%	67.0	77.8%	0.41
kralle	3	7	3	33%	49.6	66.7%	0.21
Botman0	2	7	1	50%	30.7	77.8%	0.18

Highlights available for subscribers Sign in

Match Stats — All Players Combined DEMO PARSED

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Rds
⭐ nEMANHA t2	26	15	4	1.73	54%	135.7	85.7%	21
Avou t1	17	16	3	1.06	59%	84.1	66.7%	21
Bukhavez t1	17	16	5	1.06	41%	90.0	71.4%	21
k7ck t2	16	10	1	1.60	12%	72.4	85.7%	21
adamS11 t2	14	12	3	1.17	21%	65.5	85.7%	21
dychacs t2	14	15	2	0.93	57%	65.5	71.4%	21
hAdji t2	13	12	7	1.08	46%	73.1	71.4%	21
Noruyp t1	13	16	3	0.81	31%	63.1	66.7%	21
kralle t1	9	18	6	0.50	44%	62.3	57.1%	21
Botman0 t1	7	16	3	0.44	57%	45.9	66.7%	21

Player Awards

🔫

Top Fragger

nEMANHA

26 kills

🎯

Headshot Machine

nEMANHA

54% HS

26K

Per-Map Player Stats per map · sorted by kills

nuke 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ nEMANHA	26	15	4	1.73	54%	135.7	85.7%	0.84
k7ck	16	10	1	1.60	12%	72.4	85.7%	0.54
adamS11	14	12	3	1.17	21%	65.5	85.7%	0.47
dychacs	14	15	2	0.93	57%	65.5	71.4%	0.45
hAdji	13	12	7	1.08	46%	73.1	71.4%	0.46
Avou	17	16	3	1.06	59%	84.1	66.7%	0.52
Bukhavez	17	16	5	1.06	41%	90.0	71.4%	0.51
Noruyp	13	16	3	0.81	31%	63.1	66.7%	0.36
kralle	9	18	6	0.50	44%	62.3	57.1%	0.24
Botman0	7	16	3	0.44	57%	45.9	66.7%	0.24

nuke 21 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $5200 | CT $4000

Round 2

T $10900 | CT $17900

Round 3

T $16700 | CT $25650

Round 4

T $24100 | CT $15600

Round 5

T $19350 | CT $28750

Round 6

T $25600 | CT $17050

Round 7

T $24000 | CT $1950

Round 8

T $25600 | CT $26150

Round 9

T $27850 | CT $2450

Round 10

T $27850 | CT $29600

Round 11

T $27850 | CT $8650

Round 12

T $28550 | CT $28350

Round 13

T $4750 | CT $4000

Round 14

T $13400 | CT $23100

Round 15

T $22300 | CT $17600

Round 16

T $24450 | CT $1500

Round 17

T $26300 | CT $22800

Round 18

T $26550 | CT $28350

Round 19

T $9600 | CT $27300

Round 20

T $27950 | CT $26700

Round 21

T $23850 | CT $29850

MASONIC Eco Rating: 4.8

Eco rounds

0/2 W (0%)

Force buy

0/3 W (0%)

Full buy

16 rounds

Avg Equip

$18443

Util Dmg

228.00

10.9/rd

Opening K

48%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 29%

Headshot% 48%

illwill Eco Rating: 3.8

Full buy

19 rounds

Avg Equip

$21081

Util Dmg

695.00

36.6/rd

Opening K

58%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 38%

Headshot% 38%

CQ Feature Intelligence 524 features

null: 39.7% ⬡ Gold

Form (30d / 90d)

WR 30d

67.7% vs 64.7%

WR 90d

65.3% vs 62.5%

Rating 30d

1.12 vs 1.07

Form Slope

↓-0.030 vs —

Map Intelligence

CT WR 90d

56.9% vs 49.4%

T WR 90d

49.4% vs 45.8%

Pool Depth

6.0 vs 1.0

Team Dynamics

Days Rest

—d vs —d

Roster Stab

— vs —

Synergy

0.82 vs 0.92

Elo Δ -227

Elo Win% 21.3%

MASONIC Eco Rating: 4.8

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

48%

Trade Rate

29%

Opening K/Rd

48%

Util Dmg/Rd

10.9

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 49

illwill Eco Rating: 3.8

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

38%

Trade Rate

38%

Opening K/Rd

58%

Util Dmg/Rd

36.6

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 56

Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

Current: 39.7% null Target: <10%

More features will unlock as demo parsing progresses

illwill

2 – 0

MASONIC

Recent Meetings

illwill 1 – 0 MASONIC Feb 2026 illwill 2 – 0 MASONIC Jan 2026

Player Performance

DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact

Impact = KPR×0.45 − DPR×0.30 + KAST×0.25 + HS%×0.15 + ADR/100×0.15 | KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round | Source: awpy + demoparser2

nuke 21 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $5200 | CT $4000 CT WIN — T ELIM

T buy: half_buy CT buy: force_buy

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $10900 | CT $17900 DEFUSED

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $16700 | CT $25650 BOMB EXPLODED

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $24100 | CT $15600 CT WIN — T ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $19350 | CT $28750 T WIN — CT ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $25600 | CT $17050 T WIN — CT ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $24000 | CT $1950 T WIN — CT ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $25600 | CT $26150 T WIN — CT ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $27850 | CT $2450 T WIN — CT ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $27850 | CT $29600 T WIN — CT ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $27850 | CT $8650 T WIN — CT ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $28550 | CT $28350 DEFUSED

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $4750 | CT $4000 DEFUSED

T buy: half_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $13400 | CT $23100 BOMB EXPLODED

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $22300 | CT $17600 T WIN — CT ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $24450 | CT $1500 T WIN — CT ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $26300 | CT $22800 CT WIN — T ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $26550 | CT $28350 CT WIN — T ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 19 19 — 2nd half

T $9600 | CT $27300 BOMB EXPLODED

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 20 20 — 2nd half

T $27950 | CT $26700 DEFUSED

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 21 21 — 2nd half

T $23850 | CT $29850 CT WIN — T ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy