Alliance vs Nexus — CounterQuant

HyperX Roman Imperium Cup VI· T3 ONLINE BO3

FINAL 13 Mar 2026 22:42 UTC

Alliance

Elo 1583

0 – 1

Winner: Nexus

Nexus

Elo 1652

CS2

CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP

AUC 0.702 79% CONF CORRECT

Alliance 21.2% 78.8% Nexus

Why this prediction?

−100.0 Elo advantage

+84.2 Elo implied probability

+75.5 Elo win probability

−46.2 Schedule difficulty edge

−37.7 Avg opponent quality diff

+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1

+29.3 Days since last match (T1)

+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)

+25.2 Elo (T1)

+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)

Match Highlights Demo parsed

Top Performers

Top Fragger

eraa

kills

ADR 97.8

Top Assist

fNk

assists

0 flash

Best ADR

eraa

97.8

avg dmg/rd

29K 20D

Best KAST

fnl

90.6%

KAST

28K 18D

Most HS

s0und

headshots

75% HS rate

Best K/D

fnl

1.56

K/D ratio

28K 18D

inferno

14 – 16

6ct|6tvs6ct|6t

Nexus WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
fnl	28	18	5	1.56	46%	84.4	90.6%	0.65
s0und	24	24	7	1.00	75%	84.9	71.9%	0.53
xellow	21	19	3	1.11	48%	71.5	84.4%	0.51
fNk	16	20	13	0.80	19%	52.7	71.9%	0.32
Blytz	16	17	8	0.94	44%	56.6	71.9%	0.4
CT SIDE
eraa	29	20	5	1.45	21%	97.8	81.2%	0.6
MaiL09	23	20	6	1.15	57%	78.5	81.2%	0.54
avid	20	22	11	0.91	50%	79.1	78.1%	0.46
twist	18	20	11	0.90	50%	67.3	75.0%	0.43
upE	8	24	8	0.33	75%	42.0	59.4%	0.21

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
fnl	18	10	2	50%	94.2	94.1%	0.75
s0und	10	14	4	70%	67.8	76.5%	0.42
xellow	14	11	3	57%	89.4	88.2%	0.62
fNk	8	11	8	12%	40.3	76.5%	0.29
Blytz	8	13	4	50%	60.1	58.8%	0.29
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
eraa	13	12	3	8%	83.6	82.4%	0.48
MaiL09	17	11	4	47%	105.0	88.2%	0.7
avid	13	12	5	38%	83.6	76.5%	0.51
twist	11	9	9	64%	82.0	82.4%	0.56
upE	4	13	4	100%	37.1	70.6%	0.26

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
fnl	10	8	3	40%	73.2	86.7%	0.53
s0und	14	10	3	79%	104.3	66.7%	0.66
xellow	7	8	0	29%	51.3	80.0%	0.37
fNk	8	9	5	25%	66.7	66.7%	0.36
Blytz	8	4	4	38%	52.7	86.7%	0.51
2ND HALF — T SIDE
eraa	16	8	2	31%	113.7	80.0%	0.74
MaiL09	6	9	2	83%	48.5	73.3%	0.38
avid	7	10	6	71%	73.9	80.0%	0.43
twist	7	11	2	29%	50.6	66.7%	0.28
upE	4	11	4	50%	47.5	46.7%	0.16

Highlights available for subscribers Sign in

Match Stats — All Players Combined DEMO PARSED

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Rds
⭐ eraa t2	29	20	5	1.45	21%	97.8	81.2%	32
fnl t1	28	18	5	1.56	46%	84.4	90.6%	32
s0und t1	24	24	7	1.00	75%	84.9	71.9%	32
MaiL09 t2	23	20	6	1.15	57%	78.5	81.2%	32
xellow t1	21	19	3	1.11	48%	71.5	84.4%	32
avid t2	20	22	11	0.91	50%	79.1	78.1%	32
twist t2	18	20	11	0.90	50%	67.3	75.0%	32
fNk t1	16	20	13	0.80	19%	52.7	71.9%	32
Blytz t1	16	17	8	0.94	44%	56.6	71.9%	32
upE t2	8	24	8	0.33	75%	42.0	59.4%	32

Player Awards

🔫

Top Fragger

eraa

29 kills

🎯

Headshot Machine

eraa

21% HS

29K

Per-Map Player Stats per map · sorted by kills

inferno 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ fnl	28	18	5	1.56	46%	84.4	90.6%	0.65
s0und	24	24	7	1.00	75%	84.9	71.9%	0.53
xellow	21	19	3	1.11	48%	71.5	84.4%	0.51
fNk	16	20	13	0.80	19%	52.7	71.9%	0.32
Blytz	16	17	8	0.94	44%	56.6	71.9%	0.4
eraa	29	20	5	1.45	21%	97.8	81.2%	0.6
MaiL09	23	20	6	1.15	57%	78.5	81.2%	0.54
avid	20	22	11	0.91	50%	79.1	78.1%	0.46
twist	18	20	11	0.90	50%	67.3	75.0%	0.43
upE	8	24	8	0.33	75%	42.0	59.4%	0.21

inferno 32 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $3250 | CT $3250

Round 2

T $4250 | CT $7500

Round 3

T $4600 | CT $4100

Round 4

T $14700 | CT $21500

Round 5

T $2100 | CT $24250

Round 6

T $23000 | CT $28700

Round 7

T $24400 | CT $29750

Round 8

T $22200 | CT $29950

Round 9

T $27050 | CT $7900

Round 10

T $27750 | CT $24950

Round 11

T $25750 | CT $25250

Round 12

T $27100 | CT $22450

Round 13

T $27350 | CT $6500

Round 14

T $24150 | CT $31050

Round 15

T $4500 | CT $4350

Round 16

T $19550 | CT $9450

Round 17

T $20250 | CT $7350

Round 18

T $26950 | CT $28050

Round 19

T $27550 | CT $29150

Round 20

T $7200 | CT $29850

Round 21

T $22700 | CT $29200

Round 22

T $8650 | CT $30850

Round 23

T $26200 | CT $30650

Round 24

T $26400 | CT $31050

Round 25

T $28550 | CT $29800

Round 26

T $27950 | CT $30550

Round 27

T $27450 | CT $28900

Round 28

T $27550 | CT $30000

Round 29

T $28350 | CT $30650

Round 30

T $27350 | CT $30100

Round 31

T $27850 | CT $30550

Round 32

T $28150 | CT $31750

Alliance Eco Rating: 4.9

Force buy

0/3 W (0%)

Full buy

27 rounds

Avg Equip

$20963

Util Dmg

734.00

24.5/rd

Opening K

50%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 39%

Headshot% 49%

Nexus Eco Rating: 4.5

Force buy

0/3 W (0%)

Full buy

29 rounds

Avg Equip

$23105

Util Dmg

1138.00

35.6/rd

Opening K

50%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 29%

Headshot% 45%

CQ Feature Intelligence 524 features

null: 38.6% ⬡ Gold

Form (30d / 90d)

WR 30d

44.4% vs 69.2%

WR 90d

40.0% vs 66.7%

Rating 30d

1.15 vs 1.09

Form Slope

↑0.010 vs ↓-0.040

Map Intelligence

CT WR 90d

50.5% vs 57.4%

T WR 90d

55.5% vs 45.1%

Pool Depth

6.0 vs 1.0

Team Dynamics

Days Rest

15.0d vs 15.0d

Roster Stab

— vs —

Synergy

0.47 vs 0.9

Elo Δ -239

Elo Win% 20.2%

Alliance Eco Rating: 4.9

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

49%

Trade Rate

39%

Opening K/Rd

50%

Util Dmg/Rd

24.5

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 68

Nexus Eco Rating: 4.5

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

45%

Trade Rate

29%

Opening K/Rd

50%

Util Dmg/Rd

35.6

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 77

Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

Current: 38.6% null Target: <10%

More features will unlock as demo parsing progresses

Alliance

0 – 4

Nexus

Recent Meetings

Alliance 0 – 1 Nexus Mar 2026 Nexus 3 – 0 Alliance Aug 2025 Nexus 3 – 0 Alliance Sep 2024 Alliance 0 – 1 Nexus Jan 2024

Player Performance

DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact

Impact = KPR×0.45 − DPR×0.30 + KAST×0.25 + HS%×0.15 + ADR/100×0.15 | KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round | Source: awpy + demoparser2

inferno 32 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $3250 | CT $3250

T buy: force_buy CT buy: force_buy

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $4250 | CT $7500

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $4600 | CT $4100 DEFUSED

T buy: half_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $14700 | CT $21500 TIME EXPIRED

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $2100 | CT $24250 CT WIN — T ELIM

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $23000 | CT $28700 BOMB EXPLODED

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $24400 | CT $29750 DEFUSED

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $22200 | CT $29950 T WIN — CT ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $27050 | CT $7900 BOMB EXPLODED

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $27750 | CT $24950 DEFUSED

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $25750 | CT $25250 BOMB EXPLODED

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $27100 | CT $22450 BOMB EXPLODED

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $27350 | CT $6500 DEFUSED

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $24150 | CT $31050 T WIN — CT ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $4500 | CT $4350 T WIN — CT ELIM

T buy: half_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $19550 | CT $9450 BOMB EXPLODED

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $20250 | CT $7350 DEFUSED

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $26950 | CT $28050 BOMB EXPLODED

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 19 19 — 2nd half

T $27550 | CT $29150 CT WIN — T ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 20 20 — 2nd half

T $7200 | CT $29850 DEFUSED

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 21 21 — 2nd half

T $22700 | CT $29200 TIME EXPIRED

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 22 22 — 2nd half

T $8650 | CT $30850 BOMB EXPLODED

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 23 23 — 2nd half

T $26200 | CT $30650 BOMB EXPLODED

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 24 24 — 2nd half

T $26400 | CT $31050 BOMB EXPLODED

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 25 25 — 2nd half

T $28550 | CT $29800 CT WIN — T ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 26 26 — 2nd half

T $27950 | CT $30550 CT WIN — T ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 27 27 — 2nd half

T $27450 | CT $28900 CT WIN — T ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 28 28 — 2nd half

T $27550 | CT $30000 T WIN — CT ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 29 29 — 2nd half

T $28350 | CT $30650 DEFUSED

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 30 30 — 2nd half

T $27350 | CT $30100 T WIN — CT ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 31 31 — OT

T $27850 | CT $30550 CT WIN — T ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 32 32 — OT

T $28150 | CT $31750 T WIN — CT ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted