Aurora vs FURIA — CounterQuant

IEM Cologne Major 2026· S-TIER ⚡ LAN BO3

FINAL 20 Jun 2026 15:20 UTC

Aurora

Elo 1642

0 – 2

Winner: FURIA

FURIA

Elo 1734

CS2

CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP

AUC 0.702 58% CONF CORRECT

Aurora 41.8% 58.2% FURIA

Why this prediction?

−100.0 Elo advantage

+84.2 Elo implied probability

+75.5 Elo win probability

−46.2 Schedule difficulty edge

−37.7 Avg opponent quality diff

+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1

+29.3 Days since last match (T1)

+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)

+25.2 Elo (T1)

+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)

Match Highlights Demo parsed

Top Performers

Top Fragger

yuurih

kills

ADR 96.2

Top Assist

FalleN

assists

0 flash

Best ADR

yuurih

96.2

avg dmg/rd

34K 19D

Best KAST

yuurih

87.2%

KAST

34K 19D

Most HS

KSCERATO

headshots

69% HS rate

Best K/D

yuurih

1.79

K/D ratio

34K 19D

dust2

9 – 13

5ct|4tvs6ct|7t

FURIA WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
yuurih	18	11	3	1.64	28%	85.4	86.4%	0.6
KSCERATO	17	12	4	1.42	65%	86.9	77.3%	0.61
YEKINDAR	16	15	1	1.07	56%	75.7	63.6%	0.48
molodoy	15	11	6	1.36	20%	90.1	77.3%	0.52
FalleN	6	16	7	0.38	67%	52.5	72.7%	0.27
CT SIDE
Wicadia	16	15	5	1.07	56%	82.5	72.7%	0.51
soulfly	14	16	3	0.88	36%	63.8	77.3%	0.41
MAJ3R	12	12	11	1.00	33%	71.5	77.3%	0.43
XANTARES	12	16	6	0.75	67%	69.2	86.4%	0.45
woxic	11	14	1	0.79	18%	68.9	59.1%	0.31

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
yuurih	9	6	2	33%	83.6	83.3%	0.57
KSCERATO	10	7	2	50%	90.6	66.7%	0.58
YEKINDAR	7	9	0	43%	59.2	58.3%	0.34
molodoy	4	7	4	25%	64.7	58.3%	0.26
FalleN	6	9	3	67%	59.2	75.0%	0.38
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
Wicadia	9	7	4	56%	85.1	75.0%	0.56
soulfly	7	9	2	43%	68.1	66.7%	0.37
MAJ3R	6	6	7	17%	67.5	66.7%	0.37
XANTARES	9	7	3	56%	87.2	83.3%	0.59
woxic	7	8	0	29%	79.8	66.7%	0.39

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
yuurih	9	5	1	22%	87.5	90.0%	0.64
KSCERATO	7	5	2	86%	82.4	90.0%	0.64
YEKINDAR	9	6	1	67%	95.4	70.0%	0.64
molodoy	11	4	2	18%	120.6	100.0%	0.83
FalleN	0	7	4	0%	44.5	70.0%	0.03
2ND HALF — T SIDE
Wicadia	7	8	1	57%	79.4	70.0%	0.45
soulfly	7	7	1	29%	58.6	90.0%	0.46
MAJ3R	6	6	4	50%	76.2	90.0%	0.5
XANTARES	3	9	3	100%	47.7	90.0%	0.31
woxic	4	6	1	0%	55.9	50.0%	0.21

Highlights available for subscribers Sign in

nuke

4 – 13

4ct|?tvs5ct|8t

FURIA WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
molodoy	16	7	2	2.29	38%	102.6	88.2%	0.73
YEKINDAR	16	13	3	1.23	62%	105.5	76.5%	0.64
yuurih	16	8	6	2.00	62%	110.2	88.2%	0.76
KSCERATO	12	8	1	1.50	75%	71.2	82.4%	0.6
FalleN	8	9	6	0.89	75%	71.9	88.2%	0.49
CT SIDE
Wicadia	10	13	5	0.77	40%	82.8	76.5%	0.41
woxic	10	12	2	0.83	30%	74.2	70.6%	0.39
soulfly	8	16	2	0.50	50%	70.6	52.9%	0.24
MAJ3R	8	13	1	0.62	50%	45.5	52.9%	0.26
XANTARES	7	14	6	0.50	57%	72.7	64.7%	0.29

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
molodoy	10	6	1	50%	94.8	83.3%	0.65
YEKINDAR	12	10	3	58%	107.3	75.0%	0.64
yuurih	12	8	5	75%	126.8	83.3%	0.76
KSCERATO	6	8	1	67%	50.9	75.0%	0.39
FalleN	4	8	2	50%	56.8	83.3%	0.32
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
Wicadia	9	9	4	44%	100.1	91.7%	0.56
woxic	9	7	2	22%	91.3	83.3%	0.54
soulfly	7	11	2	43%	88.1	58.3%	0.33
MAJ3R	6	8	1	67%	46.5	58.3%	0.34
XANTARES	7	9	2	57%	80.8	66.7%	0.41

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
molodoy	6	1	1	17%	121.2	100.0%	0.94
YEKINDAR	4	3	0	75%	101.2	80.0%	0.64
yuurih	4	0	1	25%	70.4	100.0%	0.75
KSCERATO	6	0	0	83%	120.0	100.0%	1.09
FalleN	4	1	4	100%	108.4	100.0%	0.86
2ND HALF — T SIDE
Wicadia	1	4	1	0%	41.2	40.0%	0.01
woxic	1	5	0	100%	33.0	40.0%	0.09
soulfly	1	5	0	100%	28.6	40.0%	0.08
MAJ3R	2	5	0	0%	43.0	40.0%	0.04
XANTARES	0	5	4	0%	53.2	60.0%	-0.07

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Match Stats — All Players Combined DEMO PARSED

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Rds
⭐ yuurih t2	34	19	9	1.79	44%	96.2	87.2%	39
YEKINDAR t2	32	28	4	1.14	59%	88.7	69.2%	39
molodoy t2	31	18	8	1.72	29%	95.5	82.1%	39
KSCERATO t2	29	20	5	1.45	69%	80.1	79.5%	39
Wicadia t1	26	28	10	0.93	50%	82.6	74.4%	39
soulfly t1	22	32	5	0.69	41%	66.7	66.7%	39
woxic t1	21	26	3	0.81	24%	71.2	64.1%	39
MAJ3R t1	20	25	12	0.80	40%	60.1	66.7%	39
XANTARES t1	19	30	12	0.63	63%	70.7	76.9%	39
FalleN t2	14	25	13	0.56	71%	61.0	79.5%	39

Player Awards

🔫

Top Fragger

yuurih

34 kills

🎯

Headshot Machine

yuurih

44% HS

34K

Per-Map Player Stats per map · sorted by kills

dust2 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ yuurih	18	11	3	1.64	28%	85.4	86.4%	0.6
KSCERATO	17	12	4	1.42	65%	86.9	77.3%	0.61
YEKINDAR	16	15	1	1.07	56%	75.7	63.6%	0.48
molodoy	15	11	6	1.36	20%	90.1	77.3%	0.52
FalleN	6	16	7	0.38	67%	52.5	72.7%	0.27
Wicadia	16	15	5	1.07	56%	82.5	72.7%	0.51
soulfly	14	16	3	0.88	36%	63.8	77.3%	0.41
MAJ3R	12	12	11	1.00	33%	71.5	77.3%	0.43
XANTARES	12	16	6	0.75	67%	69.2	86.4%	0.45
woxic	11	14	1	0.79	18%	68.9	59.1%	0.31

nuke 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ molodoy	16	7	2	2.29	38%	102.6	88.2%	0.73
YEKINDAR	16	13	3	1.23	62%	105.5	76.5%	0.64
yuurih	16	8	6	2.00	62%	110.2	88.2%	0.76
KSCERATO	12	8	1	1.50	75%	71.2	82.4%	0.6
FalleN	8	9	6	0.89	75%	71.9	88.2%	0.49
Wicadia	10	13	5	0.77	40%	82.8	76.5%	0.41
woxic	10	12	2	0.83	30%	74.2	70.6%	0.39
soulfly	8	16	2	0.50	50%	70.6	52.9%	0.24
MAJ3R	8	13	1	0.62	50%	45.5	52.9%	0.26
XANTARES	7	14	6	0.50	57%	72.7	64.7%	0.29

dust2 22 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $4950 | CT $4200

Round 2

T $4700 | CT $19300

Round 3

T $21000 | CT $26950

Round 4

T $8800 | CT $30050

Round 5

T $25800 | CT $25700

Round 6

T $27350 | CT $4350

Round 7

T $27950 | CT $24050

Round 8

T $24150 | CT $28550

Round 9

T $26150 | CT $6750

Round 10

T $26350 | CT $25850

Round 11

T $25750 | CT $30450

Round 12

T $27850 | CT $21100

Round 13

T $4350 | CT $4250

Round 14

T $14650 | CT $23700

Round 15

T $10300 | CT $25750

Round 16

T $22200 | CT $28200

Round 17

T $26900 | CT $28050

Round 18

T $23550 | CT $26100

Round 19

T $25500 | CT $15600

Round 20

T $27450 | CT $15500

Round 21

T $18900 | CT $29650

Round 22

T $27750 | CT $26500

nuke 18 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $0 | CT $0

Round 2

T $4550 | CT $4200

Round 3

T $9100 | CT $21000

Round 4

T $10500 | CT $29950

Round 5

T $22400 | CT $28500

Round 6

T $24100 | CT $21800

Round 7

T $20100 | CT $29450

Round 8

T $23200 | CT $21150

Round 9

T $27550 | CT $5100

Round 10

T $27450 | CT $25300

Round 11

T $27750 | CT $8100

Round 12

T $28250 | CT $27400

Round 13

T $28550 | CT $22200

Round 14

T $4950 | CT $4000

Round 15

T $1200 | CT $21850

Round 16

T $23200 | CT $27500

Round 17

T $16450 | CT $30250

Round 18

T $17700 | CT $30650

FURIA Eco Rating: 11.0

Eco rounds

2/3 W (67%)

Force buy

0/1 W (0%)

Full buy

14 rounds

Avg Equip

$21391

Util Dmg

1.00

0.1/rd

Opening K

67%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 35%

Headshot% 43%

Aurora Eco Rating: 9.4

Eco rounds

0/3 W (0%)

Force buy

1/2 W (50%)

Full buy

13 rounds

Avg Equip

$20561

Util Dmg

3.00

0.2/rd

Opening K

56%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 38%

Headshot% 44%

CQ Feature Intelligence 534 features

null: 30.9% ◆ Platinum

Form (30d / 90d)

WR 30d

80.0% vs 75.0%

WR 90d

54.5% vs 61.1%

Rating 30d

1.19 vs 1.18

Form Slope

↑0.100 vs ↑0.100

Map Intelligence

CT WR 90d

54.2% vs 56.9%

T WR 90d

45.2% vs 48.6%

Pool Depth

4.0 vs 3.0

Team Dynamics

Days Rest

1.0d vs 1.0d

Roster Stab

— vs —

Synergy

0.61 vs 0.69

Elo Δ -78

Elo Win% 39.0%

FURIA Eco Rating: 11.0

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

67%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

43%

Trade Rate

35%

Opening K/Rd

67%

Util Dmg/Rd

0.1

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 53

Aurora Eco Rating: 9.4

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

Force Win%

50%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

44%

Trade Rate

38%

Opening K/Rd

56%

Util Dmg/Rd

0.2

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 42

Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

Current: 30.9% null Target: <10%

More features will unlock as demo parsing progresses

Aurora

3 – 8

FURIA

Recent Meetings

Aurora 0 – 2 FURIA Jun 2026 Aurora 2 – 0 FURIA Mar 2026 FURIA 2 – 0 Aurora Feb 2026 FURIA 2 – 0 Aurora Oct 2025 FURIA 3 – 0 Aurora Oct 2025

Player Performance

DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact

Impact = KPR×0.45 − DPR×0.30 + KAST×0.25 + HS%×0.15 + ADR/100×0.15 | KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round | Source: awpy + demoparser2

dust2 22 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $4950 | CT $4200

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $4700 | CT $19300

T buy: eco CT buy: half_buy

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $21000 | CT $26950

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $8800 | CT $30050

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $25800 | CT $25700

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $27350 | CT $4350

T buy: full_buy CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $27950 | CT $24050

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $24150 | CT $28550

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $26150 | CT $6750

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $26350 | CT $25850

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $25750 | CT $30450

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $27850 | CT $21100

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $4350 | CT $4250

T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $14650 | CT $23700

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $10300 | CT $25750

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $22200 | CT $28200

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $26900 | CT $28050

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $23550 | CT $26100

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 19 19 — 2nd half

T $25500 | CT $15600

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 20 20 — 2nd half

T $27450 | CT $15500

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 21 21 — 2nd half

T $18900 | CT $29650

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 22 22 — 2nd half

T $27750 | CT $26500

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

nuke 18 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $0 | CT $0

T buy: — CT buy: —

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $4550 | CT $4200

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $9100 | CT $21000

T buy: force_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $10500 | CT $29950

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $22400 | CT $28500

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $24100 | CT $21800

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $20100 | CT $29450

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $23200 | CT $21150

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $27550 | CT $5100

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $27450 | CT $25300

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $27750 | CT $8100

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $28250 | CT $27400

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $28550 | CT $22200

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $4950 | CT $4000

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $1200 | CT $21850

T buy: eco CT buy: half_buy

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $23200 | CT $27500

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $16450 | CT $30250

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $17700 | CT $30650

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy