Alliance vs EAC — CounterQuant

ROG JOURNEY Summer 2026· T3 ⚡ LAN BO3

FINAL 13 Jun 2026 20:44 UTC

Alliance

Elo 1463

2 – 0

Winner: Alliance

EAC

Elo 1486

CS2

CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP

AUC 0.702 54% CONF WRONG

Alliance 46.0% 54.0% EAC

Why this prediction?

−100.0 Elo advantage

+84.2 Elo implied probability

+75.5 Elo win probability

+46.2 Schedule difficulty edge

+37.7 Avg opponent quality diff

+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1

−29.3 Days since last match (T1)

+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)

+25.2 Elo (T1)

+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)

Match Highlights Demo parsed

Top Performers

Top Fragger

bobeksde

kills

ADR 94.3

Top Assist

twist

assists

0 flash

Best ADR

eraa

95.9

avg dmg/rd

32K 16D

Best KAST

twist

89.5%

KAST

23K 24D

Most HS

avid

headshots

72% HS rate

Best K/D

eraa

2.00

K/D ratio

32K 16D

inferno

13 – 7

6ct|7tvs5ct|2t

Alliance WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
bobeksde	19	11	8	1.73	68%	105.7	90.0%	0.75
upE	15	9	4	1.67	80%	88.3	85.0%	0.67
eraa	13	8	2	1.62	38%	83.0	75.0%	0.54
twist	13	12	11	1.08	46%	95.8	95.0%	0.56
avid	12	12	7	1.00	67%	65.6	85.0%	0.5
CT SIDE
bekker	15	15	2	1.00	33%	85.7	65.0%	0.45
anber	11	14	3	0.79	64%	63.0	85.0%	0.44
n1Xen	9	14	4	0.64	67%	60.6	65.0%	0.35
sSen	8	14	3	0.57	50%	52.2	65.0%	0.29
sh1Fu	8	16	3	0.50	50%	59.0	55.0%	0.24

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
bobeksde	11	8	3	64%	94.5	83.3%	0.66
upE	11	7	3	82%	104.2	75.0%	0.7
eraa	6	6	2	50%	75.1	66.7%	0.43
twist	6	8	6	17%	68.2	91.7%	0.38
avid	6	9	5	67%	61.8	83.3%	0.4
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
bekker	11	9	1	18%	98.6	58.3%	0.51
anber	4	7	2	75%	43.8	83.3%	0.36
n1Xen	8	6	3	62%	78.2	83.3%	0.57
sSen	7	9	3	43%	74.1	75.0%	0.4
sh1Fu	7	10	3	43%	78.3	58.3%	0.34

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
bobeksde	8	3	5	75%	122.4	100.0%	0.88
upE	4	2	1	75%	64.5	100.0%	0.61
eraa	7	2	0	29%	94.8	87.5%	0.72
twist	7	4	5	71%	137.2	100.0%	0.81
avid	6	3	2	67%	71.4	87.5%	0.65
2ND HALF — T SIDE
bekker	4	6	1	75%	66.2	75.0%	0.4
anber	7	7	1	57%	91.8	87.5%	0.57
n1Xen	1	8	1	100%	34.2	37.5%	0.05
sSen	1	5	0	100%	19.5	50.0%	0.17
sh1Fu	1	6	0	100%	30.0	50.0%	0.15

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nuke

13 – 5

Alliance WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
n1Xen	17	18	2	0.94	65%	101.0	77.8%	0.57
bekker	11	16	2	0.69	64%	74.7	72.2%	0.4
sSen	10	12	2	0.83	20%	50.6	55.6%	0.29
anber	9	14	4	0.64	78%	70.9	50.0%	0.34
sh1Fu	6	16	6	0.38	83%	60.6	66.7%	0.27
CT SIDE
avid	20	8	2	2.50	75%	123.0	83.3%	0.87
eraa	19	8	2	2.38	47%	110.4	94.4%	0.81
bobeksde	14	12	4	1.17	36%	81.8	77.8%	0.52
upE	13	14	2	0.93	54%	87.8	66.7%	0.47
twist	10	12	4	0.83	60%	63.0	83.3%	0.44

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
n1Xen	13	12	2	62%	106.8	83.3%	0.65
bekker	10	10	0	70%	86.3	91.7%	0.59
sSen	3	8	2	0%	26.4	58.3%	0.1
anber	8	8	4	75%	85.2	58.3%	0.49
sh1Fu	4	10	4	75%	56.3	58.3%	0.24
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
avid	15	7	2	73%	144.5	83.3%	0.92
eraa	8	5	2	12%	76.0	100.0%	0.56
bobeksde	9	8	2	44%	75.2	66.7%	0.48
upE	9	11	2	44%	95.2	66.7%	0.44
twist	7	7	3	43%	62.0	83.3%	0.45

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
n1Xen	4	6	0	75%	89.3	66.7%	0.41
bekker	1	6	2	0%	51.3	33.3%	-0.06
sSen	7	4	0	29%	98.8	50.0%	0.64
anber	1	6	0	100%	42.3	33.3%	0.07
sh1Fu	2	6	2	100%	69.0	83.3%	0.31
2ND HALF — T SIDE
avid	5	1	0	80%	80.0	83.3%	0.77
eraa	11	3	0	73%	179.2	83.3%	1.26
bobeksde	5	4	2	20%	95.0	100.0%	0.6
upE	4	3	0	75%	72.8	66.7%	0.54
twist	3	5	1	100%	65.0	83.3%	0.43

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Match Stats — All Players Combined DEMO PARSED

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Rds
⭐ bobeksde t1	33	23	12	1.43	55%	94.3	84.2%	38
eraa t1	32	16	4	2.00	44%	95.9	84.2%	38
avid t1	32	20	9	1.60	72%	92.8	84.2%	38
upE t1	28	23	6	1.22	68%	88.1	76.3%	38
bekker t2	26	31	4	0.84	46%	80.4	68.4%	38
n1Xen t2	26	32	6	0.81	65%	79.8	71.1%	38
twist t1	23	24	15	0.96	52%	80.3	89.5%	38
anber t2	20	28	7	0.71	70%	66.7	68.4%	38
sSen t2	18	26	5	0.69	33%	51.4	60.5%	38
sh1Fu t2	14	32	9	0.44	64%	59.7	60.5%	38

Player Awards

🔫

Top Fragger

bobeksde

33 kills

🎯

Headshot Machine

bobeksde

55% HS

33K

Per-Map Player Stats per map · sorted by kills

inferno 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ bobeksde	19	11	8	1.73	68%	105.7	90.0%	0.75
upE	15	9	4	1.67	80%	88.3	85.0%	0.67
eraa	13	8	2	1.62	38%	83.0	75.0%	0.54
twist	13	12	11	1.08	46%	95.8	95.0%	0.56
avid	12	12	7	1.00	67%	65.6	85.0%	0.5
bekker	15	15	2	1.00	33%	85.7	65.0%	0.45
anber	11	14	3	0.79	64%	63.0	85.0%	0.44
n1Xen	9	14	4	0.64	67%	60.6	65.0%	0.35
sSen	8	14	3	0.57	50%	52.2	65.0%	0.29
sh1Fu	8	16	3	0.50	50%	59.0	55.0%	0.24

nuke 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ n1Xen	17	18	2	0.94	65%	101.0	77.8%	0.57
bekker	11	16	2	0.69	64%	74.7	72.2%	0.4
sSen	10	12	2	0.83	20%	50.6	55.6%	0.29
anber	9	14	4	0.64	78%	70.9	50.0%	0.34
sh1Fu	6	16	6	0.38	83%	60.6	66.7%	0.27
avid	20	8	2	2.50	75%	123.0	83.3%	0.87
eraa	19	8	2	2.38	47%	110.4	94.4%	0.81
bobeksde	14	12	4	1.17	36%	81.8	77.8%	0.52
upE	13	14	2	0.93	54%	87.8	66.7%	0.47
twist	10	12	4	0.83	60%	63.0	83.3%	0.44

inferno 21 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $0 | CT $0

Round 2

T $4850 | CT $4550

Round 3

T $16700 | CT $22100

Round 4

T $25800 | CT $11850

Round 5

T $26200 | CT $5650

Round 6

T $26500 | CT $24700

Round 7

T $25100 | CT $27300

Round 8

T $27250 | CT $29150

Round 9

T $27350 | CT $25400

Round 10

T $25550 | CT $12550

Round 11

T $26100 | CT $5200

Round 12

T $27450 | CT $29200

Round 13

T $20650 | CT $31700

Round 14

T $4300 | CT $4200

Round 15

T $13950 | CT $23400

Round 16

T $4050 | CT $25450

Round 17

T $27100 | CT $20350

Round 18

T $29150 | CT $22150

Round 19

T $25200 | CT $30150

Round 20

T $11800 | CT $30350

Round 21

T $13750 | CT $31850

nuke 19 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $0 | CT $0

Round 2

T $4150 | CT $4000

Round 3

T $2500 | CT $20900

Round 4

T $23400 | CT $26250

Round 5

T $25300 | CT $22800

Round 6

T $20000 | CT $27300

Round 7

T $4500 | CT $28200

Round 8

T $25000 | CT $29950

Round 9

T $10250 | CT $30750

Round 10

T $26850 | CT $31250

Round 11

T $23500 | CT $27200

Round 12

T $27050 | CT $16750

Round 13

T $28250 | CT $18950

Round 14

T $4300 | CT $4200

Round 15

T $19700 | CT $1300

Round 16

T $20150 | CT $24400

Round 17

T $23850 | CT $21350

Round 18

T $26650 | CT $23350

Round 19

T $27550 | CT $21350

Alliance Eco Rating: 8.8

Eco rounds

1/4 W (25%)

Force buy

0/1 W (0%)

Full buy

10 rounds

Avg Equip

$19053

Util Dmg

0.00

0.0/rd

Opening K

80%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 35%

Headshot% 63%

EAC Eco Rating: 8.2

Eco rounds

1/3 W (33%)

Full buy

10 rounds

Avg Equip

$21125

Util Dmg

0.00

0.0/rd

Opening K

54%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 44%

Headshot% 49%

CQ Feature Intelligence 534 features

null: 34.3% ◆ Platinum

Form (30d / 90d)

WR 30d

60.0% vs 38.5%

WR 90d

66.7% vs 38.5%

Rating 30d

1.16 vs 1.07

Form Slope

— vs ↑0.060

Map Intelligence

CT WR 90d

51.2% vs 47.9%

T WR 90d

49.4% vs 46.3%

Pool Depth

4.0 vs 1.0

Team Dynamics

Days Rest

—d vs —d

Roster Stab

— vs —

Synergy

0.77 vs 0.56

Elo Δ -26

Elo Win% 46.2%

Alliance Eco Rating: 8.8

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

25%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

63%

Trade Rate

35%

Opening K/Rd

80%

Util Dmg/Rd

—

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 50

EAC Eco Rating: 8.2

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

33%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

49%

Trade Rate

44%

Opening K/Rd

54%

Util Dmg/Rd

—

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 46

Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

Current: 34.3% null Target: <10%

More features will unlock as demo parsing progresses

Alliance

1 – 0

EAC

Recent Meetings

Alliance 2 – 0 EAC Jun 2026

Player Performance

DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact

Impact = KPR×0.45 − DPR×0.30 + KAST×0.25 + HS%×0.15 + ADR/100×0.15 | KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round | Source: awpy + demoparser2

inferno 21 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $0 | CT $0

T buy: — CT buy: —

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $4850 | CT $4550

T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $16700 | CT $22100

T buy: half_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $25800 | CT $11850

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $26200 | CT $5650

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $26500 | CT $24700

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $25100 | CT $27300

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $27250 | CT $29150

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $27350 | CT $25400

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $25550 | CT $12550

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $26100 | CT $5200

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $27450 | CT $29200

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $20650 | CT $31700

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $4300 | CT $4200

T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $13950 | CT $23400

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $4050 | CT $25450

T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $27100 | CT $20350

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $29150 | CT $22150

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 19 19 — 2nd half

T $25200 | CT $30150

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 20 20 — 2nd half

T $11800 | CT $30350

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 21 21 — 2nd half

T $13750 | CT $31850

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

nuke 19 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $0 | CT $0

T buy: — CT buy: —

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $4150 | CT $4000

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $2500 | CT $20900

T buy: eco CT buy: half_buy

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $23400 | CT $26250

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $25300 | CT $22800

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $20000 | CT $27300

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $4500 | CT $28200

T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $25000 | CT $29950

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $10250 | CT $30750

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $26850 | CT $31250

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $23500 | CT $27200

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $27050 | CT $16750

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $28250 | CT $18950

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $4300 | CT $4200

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $19700 | CT $1300

T buy: half_buy CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $20150 | CT $24400

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $23850 | CT $21350

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $26650 | CT $23350

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 19 19 — 2nd half

T $27550 | CT $21350

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted