timbermen vs FLUFFY AIMERS

ESL Challenger League Season 48 North America· A-TIER ONLINE BO3

FINAL 09 Oct 2024 20:40 UTC

timbermen

Elo 1535

0 – 1

Winner: FLUFFY AIMERS

FLUFFY AIMERS

Elo 1541

CS2

CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP

AUC 0.702 58% CONF CORRECT

timbermen 42.5% 57.5% FLUFFY AIMERS

Why this prediction?

−100.0 Elo advantage

+84.2 Elo implied probability

+75.5 Elo win probability

−46.2 Schedule difficulty edge

−37.7 Avg opponent quality diff

+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1

+29.3 Days since last match (T1)

+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)

+25.2 Elo (T1)

+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)

Match Highlights Demo parsed

Top Performers

Top Fragger

brett

kills

ADR 123.7

Top Assist

DARE

assists

2 flash

Best ADR

brett

123.7

avg dmg/rd

23K 14D

Best KAST

slump

95.2%

KAST

15K 12D

Most HS

brett

headshots

52% HS rate

Best K/D

brett

1.64

K/D ratio

23K 14D

dust2

7 – 13

5ct|2tvs10ct|3t

FLUFFY AIMERS WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
brett	23	14	6	1.64	52%	123.7	71.4%	0.73
nooz	19	13	6	1.46	58%	99.0	81.0%	0.66
slump	15	12	3	1.25	33%	83.4	95.2%	0.56
ayy	14	12	2	1.17	64%	66.3	85.7%	0.54
-jason	11	12	8	0.92	73%	81.6	85.7%	0.51
CT SIDE
Shane	15	17	6	0.88	67%	83.4	76.2%	0.49
DARE	14	18	11	0.78	43%	107.2	81.0%	0.47
neroIE	12	14	4	0.86	50%	60.8	66.7%	0.39
alephjk	11	16	3	0.69	64%	67.1	66.7%	0.37
snav	11	17	7	0.65	45%	75.4	71.4%	0.35

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
brett	3	8	3	33%	79.9	55.6%	0.19
nooz	6	6	2	67%	74.2	77.8%	0.51
slump	5	7	1	40%	68.3	88.9%	0.4
ayy	8	8	1	88%	89.4	66.7%	0.57
-jason	4	6	1	75%	63.6	77.8%	0.4
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
Shane	3	6	4	33%	46.8	66.7%	0.24
DARE	10	6	4	50%	140.1	88.9%	0.81
neroIE	9	4	2	33%	93.6	88.9%	0.73
alephjk	7	5	2	43%	90.7	88.9%	0.61
snav	6	5	5	33%	98.2	77.8%	0.52

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
brett	20	6	3	55%	156.5	83.3%	1.13
nooz	13	7	4	54%	117.6	83.3%	0.78
slump	10	5	2	30%	94.8	100.0%	0.69
ayy	6	4	1	33%	49.0	100.0%	0.5
-jason	7	6	7	71%	95.2	91.7%	0.59
2ND HALF — T SIDE
Shane	12	11	2	75%	110.9	83.3%	0.66
DARE	4	12	7	25%	82.6	75.0%	0.2
neroIE	3	10	2	100%	36.2	50.0%	0.19
alephjk	4	11	1	100%	49.5	50.0%	0.22
snav	5	12	2	60%	58.3	66.7%	0.23

Highlights available for subscribers Sign in

Match Stats — All Players Combined DEMO PARSED

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Rds
⭐ brett t1	23	14	6	1.64	52%	123.7	71.4%	21
nooz t1	19	13	6	1.46	58%	99.0	81.0%	21
slump t1	15	12	3	1.25	33%	83.4	95.2%	21
Shane t2	15	17	6	0.88	67%	83.4	76.2%	21
ayy t1	14	12	2	1.17	64%	66.3	85.7%	21
DARE t2	14	18	11	0.78	43%	107.2	81.0%	21
neroIE t2	12	14	4	0.86	50%	60.8	66.7%	21
-jason t1	11	12	8	0.92	73%	81.6	85.7%	21
alephjk t2	11	16	3	0.69	64%	67.1	66.7%	21
snav t2	11	17	7	0.65	45%	75.4	71.4%	21

Player Awards

🔫

Top Fragger

brett

23 kills

🎯

Headshot Machine

brett

52% HS

23K

Per-Map Player Stats per map · sorted by kills

dust2 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ brett	23	14	6	1.64	52%	123.7	71.4%	0.73
nooz	19	13	6	1.46	58%	99.0	81.0%	0.66
slump	15	12	3	1.25	33%	83.4	95.2%	0.56
ayy	14	12	2	1.17	64%	66.3	85.7%	0.54
-jason	11	12	8	0.92	73%	81.6	85.7%	0.51
Shane	15	17	6	0.88	67%	83.4	76.2%	0.49
DARE	14	18	11	0.78	43%	107.2	81.0%	0.47
neroIE	12	14	4	0.86	50%	60.8	66.7%	0.39
alephjk	11	16	3	0.69	64%	67.1	66.7%	0.37
snav	11	17	7	0.65	45%	75.4	71.4%	0.35

dust2 21 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $3250 | CT $3250

Round 2

T $4300 | CT $4000

Round 3

T $1600 | CT $19050

Round 4

T $22400 | CT $23350

Round 5

T $23600 | CT $23200

Round 6

T $8150 | CT $26700

Round 7

T $23200 | CT $28900

Round 8

T $5950 | CT $29350

Round 9

T $26050 | CT $31150

Round 10

T $26950 | CT $22400

Round 11

T $16050 | CT $27100

Round 12

T $21800 | CT $30000

Round 13

T $18550 | CT $31450

Round 14

T $4850 | CT $4250

Round 15

T $15200 | CT $20800

Round 16

T $3650 | CT $27150

Round 17

T $25750 | CT $29900

Round 18

T $26550 | CT $10400

Round 19

T $14550 | CT $31850

Round 20

T $22600 | CT $32300

Round 21

T $27350 | CT $31650

FLUFFY AIMERS Eco Rating: 0.0

Eco rounds

0/3 W (0%)

Force buy

0/1 W (0%)

Full buy

14 rounds

Avg Equip

$23248

Util Dmg

0.00

0.0/rd

Opening K

0%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 0%

Headshot% 0%

timbermen Eco Rating: 0.0

Eco rounds

0/5 W (0%)

Force buy

0/2 W (0%)

Full buy

8 rounds

Avg Equip

$16302

Util Dmg

0.00

0.0/rd

Opening K

0%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 0%

Headshot% 0%

CQ Feature Intelligence 534 features

null: 36.0% ⬡ Gold

Form (30d / 90d)

WR 30d

46.7% vs 60.0%

WR 90d

42.1% vs 55.6%

Rating 30d

1.16 vs 1.31

Form Slope

— vs ↓-0.020

Map Intelligence

CT WR 90d

49.6% vs 48.5%

T WR 90d

46.8% vs 55.9%

Pool Depth

2.0 vs 3.0

Team Dynamics

Days Rest

4.0d vs 1.0d

Roster Stab

— vs —

Synergy

0.49 vs 0.57

Elo Δ -23

Elo Win% 46.7%

FLUFFY AIMERS

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

Trade Rate

—

Opening K/Rd

—

Util Dmg/Rd

—

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 0

timbermen

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

Trade Rate

—

Opening K/Rd

—

Util Dmg/Rd

—

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 0

Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

Current: 36.0% null Target: <10%

More features will unlock as demo parsing progresses

timbermen

2 – 3

FLUFFY AIMERS

Recent Meetings

FLUFFY AIMERS 0 – 1 timbermen Oct 2024 timbermen 0 – 1 FLUFFY AIMERS Oct 2024 FLUFFY AIMERS 3 – 0 timbermen Oct 2024 FLUFFY AIMERS 0 – 2 timbermen Jun 2023 FLUFFY AIMERS 3 – 0 timbermen Apr 2023

Player Performance

DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact

Impact = KPR×0.45 − DPR×0.30 + KAST×0.25 + HS%×0.15 + ADR/100×0.15 | KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round | Source: awpy + demoparser2

dust2 21 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $3250 | CT $3250

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $4300 | CT $4000

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $1600 | CT $19050

T buy: eco CT buy: half_buy

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $22400 | CT $23350

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $23600 | CT $23200

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $8150 | CT $26700

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $23200 | CT $28900

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $5950 | CT $29350

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $26050 | CT $31150

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $26950 | CT $22400

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $16050 | CT $27100

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $21800 | CT $30000

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $18550 | CT $31450

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $4850 | CT $4250

T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $15200 | CT $20800

T buy: half_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $3650 | CT $27150

T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $25750 | CT $29900

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $26550 | CT $10400

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy

Round 19 19 — 2nd half

T $14550 | CT $31850

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 20 20 — 2nd half

T $22600 | CT $32300

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 21 21 — 2nd half

T $27350 | CT $31650

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted