FLUFFY AIMERS vs timbermen

ESL Challenger League Season 48 North America· A-TIER ONLINE BO3

FINAL 09 Oct 2024 20:40 UTC

FLUFFY AIMERS

Elo 1541

0 – 1

Winner: timbermen

timbermen

Elo 1535

CS2

CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP

AUC 0.702 54% CONF WRONG

FLUFFY AIMERS 53.5% 46.5% timbermen

Why this prediction?

+100.0 Elo advantage

+84.2 Elo implied probability

+75.5 Elo win probability

+46.2 Schedule difficulty edge

+37.7 Avg opponent quality diff

+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1

+29.3 Days since last match (T1)

+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)

+25.2 Elo (T1)

+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)

Match Highlights Demo parsed

Top Performers

Top Fragger

snav

kills

ADR 100.0

Top Assist

snav

assists

1 flash

Best ADR

snav

100.0

avg dmg/rd

23K 11D

Best KAST

snav

91.3%

KAST

23K 11D

Most HS

Shane

headshots

70% HS rate

Best K/D

snav

2.09

K/D ratio

23K 11D

ancient

9 – 13

4ct|5tvs7ct|6t

timbermen WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
-jason	22	17	3	1.29	45%	94.3	60.9%	0.57
nooz	18	16	4	1.12	28%	80.9	82.6%	0.51
brett	9	18	8	0.50	33%	68.1	65.2%	0.26
slump	9	19	7	0.47	56%	59.7	52.2%	0.23
ayy	8	18	5	0.44	75%	53.0	60.9%	0.27
CT SIDE
snav	23	11	9	2.09	26%	100.0	91.3%	0.72
Shane	20	13	6	1.54	70%	96.7	82.6%	0.68
alephjk	17	16	2	1.06	71%	80.5	73.9%	0.54
neroIE	15	12	2	1.25	33%	72.0	69.6%	0.47
DARE	13	14	9	0.93	69%	87.9	82.6%	0.51

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
-jason	10	10	2	60%	86.2	61.5%	0.49
nooz	13	9	2	31%	85.7	76.9%	0.61
brett	3	10	3	67%	54.8	76.9%	0.25
slump	7	11	5	71%	81.9	53.8%	0.35
ayy	5	11	4	80%	51.2	61.5%	0.27
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
snav	13	7	4	15%	96.9	84.6%	0.67
Shane	8	8	5	62%	79.8	76.9%	0.5
alephjk	9	9	0	67%	68.6	76.9%	0.5
neroIE	10	7	1	30%	86.0	69.2%	0.53
DARE	11	7	7	73%	115.7	92.3%	0.73

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
-jason	12	7	1	33%	104.9	60.0%	0.69
nooz	5	7	2	20%	74.7	90.0%	0.38
brett	6	8	5	17%	85.4	50.0%	0.31
slump	2	8	2	0%	30.8	50.0%	0.02
ayy	3	7	1	67%	55.4	60.0%	0.26
2ND HALF — T SIDE
snav	10	4	5	40%	103.9	100.0%	0.8
Shane	12	5	1	75%	118.5	90.0%	0.91
alephjk	8	7	2	75%	96.0	70.0%	0.58
neroIE	5	5	1	40%	53.9	70.0%	0.39
DARE	2	7	2	50%	51.7	70.0%	0.21

Highlights available for subscribers Sign in

Match Stats — All Players Combined DEMO PARSED

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Rds
⭐ snav t1	23	11	9	2.09	26%	100.0	91.3%	23
-jason t2	22	17	3	1.29	45%	94.3	60.9%	23
Shane t1	20	13	6	1.54	70%	96.7	82.6%	23
nooz t2	18	16	4	1.12	28%	80.9	82.6%	23
alephjk t1	17	16	2	1.06	71%	80.5	73.9%	23
neroIE t1	15	12	2	1.25	33%	72.0	69.6%	23
DARE t1	13	14	9	0.93	69%	87.9	82.6%	23
brett t2	9	18	8	0.50	33%	68.1	65.2%	23
slump t2	9	19	7	0.47	56%	59.7	52.2%	23
ayy t2	8	18	5	0.44	75%	53.0	60.9%	23

Player Awards

🔫

Top Fragger

snav

23 kills

🎯

Headshot Machine

snav

26% HS

23K

Per-Map Player Stats per map · sorted by kills

ancient 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ -jason	22	17	3	1.29	45%	94.3	60.9%	0.57
nooz	18	16	4	1.12	28%	80.9	82.6%	0.51
brett	9	18	8	0.50	33%	68.1	65.2%	0.26
slump	9	19	7	0.47	56%	59.7	52.2%	0.23
ayy	8	18	5	0.44	75%	53.0	60.9%	0.27
snav	23	11	9	2.09	26%	100.0	91.3%	0.72
Shane	20	13	6	1.54	70%	96.7	82.6%	0.68
alephjk	17	16	2	1.06	71%	80.5	73.9%	0.54
neroIE	15	12	2	1.25	33%	72.0	69.6%	0.47
DARE	13	14	9	0.93	69%	87.9	82.6%	0.51

ancient 23 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $3250 | CT $3250

Round 2

T $4200 | CT $4300

Round 3

T $20100 | CT $10850

Round 4

T $6850 | CT $22650

Round 5

T $2000 | CT $25100

Round 6

T $22300 | CT $25400

Round 7

T $25300 | CT $26900

Round 8

T $25500 | CT $3200

Round 9

T $23950 | CT $22100

Round 10

T $25950 | CT $25850

Round 11

T $3350 | CT $29500

Round 12

T $22300 | CT $30650

Round 13

T $21650 | CT $29250

Round 14

T $4200 | CT $4250

Round 15

T $20550 | CT $1700

Round 16

T $21550 | CT $22800

Round 17

T $24200 | CT $24000

Round 18

T $25600 | CT $6950

Round 19

T $25400 | CT $22900

Round 20

T $24000 | CT $27300

Round 21

T $1300 | CT $29700

Round 22

T $24850 | CT $30550

Round 23

T $27350 | CT $23750

FLUFFY AIMERS Eco Rating: 0.0

Eco rounds

0/6 W (0%)

Force buy

0/1 W (0%)

Full buy

10 rounds

Avg Equip

$17639

Util Dmg

0.00

0.0/rd

Opening K

0%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 0%

Headshot% 0%

timbermen Eco Rating: 0.0

Eco rounds

0/5 W (0%)

Force buy

0/2 W (0%)

Full buy

15 rounds

Avg Equip

$19691

Util Dmg

0.00

0.0/rd

Opening K

0%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 0%

Headshot% 0%

CQ Feature Intelligence 534 features

null: 35.8% ⬡ Gold

Form (30d / 90d)

WR 30d

60.0% vs 46.7%

WR 90d

55.6% vs 42.1%

Rating 30d

1.31 vs 1.16

Form Slope

↓-0.020 vs —

Map Intelligence

CT WR 90d

48.5% vs 49.6%

T WR 90d

55.9% vs 46.8%

Pool Depth

3.0 vs 2.0

Team Dynamics

Days Rest

1.0d vs 4.0d

Roster Stab

— vs —

Synergy

0.57 vs 0.49

Elo Δ +23

Elo Win% 53.3%

FLUFFY AIMERS

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

Trade Rate

—

Opening K/Rd

—

Util Dmg/Rd

—

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 0

timbermen

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

Trade Rate

—

Opening K/Rd

—

Util Dmg/Rd

—

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 0

Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

Current: 35.8% null Target: <10%

More features will unlock as demo parsing progresses

FLUFFY AIMERS

3 – 2

timbermen

Recent Meetings

FLUFFY AIMERS 0 – 1 timbermen Oct 2024 timbermen 0 – 1 FLUFFY AIMERS Oct 2024 FLUFFY AIMERS 3 – 0 timbermen Oct 2024 FLUFFY AIMERS 0 – 2 timbermen Jun 2023 FLUFFY AIMERS 3 – 0 timbermen Apr 2023

Player Performance

DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact

Impact = KPR×0.45 − DPR×0.30 + KAST×0.25 + HS%×0.15 + ADR/100×0.15 | KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round | Source: awpy + demoparser2

ancient 23 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $3250 | CT $3250

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $4200 | CT $4300

T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $20100 | CT $10850

T buy: half_buy CT buy: force_buy

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $6850 | CT $22650

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $2000 | CT $25100

T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $22300 | CT $25400

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $25300 | CT $26900

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $25500 | CT $3200

T buy: full_buy CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $23950 | CT $22100

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $25950 | CT $25850

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $3350 | CT $29500

T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $22300 | CT $30650

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $21650 | CT $29250

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $4200 | CT $4250

T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $20550 | CT $1700

T buy: half_buy CT buy: eco

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $21550 | CT $22800

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $24200 | CT $24000

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $25600 | CT $6950

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 19 19 — 2nd half

T $25400 | CT $22900

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 20 20 — 2nd half

T $24000 | CT $27300

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 21 21 — 2nd half

T $1300 | CT $29700

T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy

Round 22 22 — 2nd half

T $24850 | CT $30550

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 23 23 — 2nd half

T $27350 | CT $23750

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted