Party Astronauts vs Vagrants

ESL Challenger League Season 49 North America· A-TIER ONLINE BO3

FINAL 28 Jan 2025 22:54 UTC

Party Astronauts

Elo 1488

0 – 1

Winner: Vagrants

Vagrants

Elo 1469

CS2

CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP

AUC 0.702 60% CONF CORRECT

Party Astronauts 39.8% 60.2% Vagrants

Why this prediction?

−100.0 Elo advantage

+84.2 Elo implied probability

+75.5 Elo win probability

−46.2 Schedule difficulty edge

−37.7 Avg opponent quality diff

+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1

+29.3 Days since last match (T1)

+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)

+25.2 Elo (T1)

+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)

Match Highlights Demo parsed

Top Performers

Top Fragger

viz

kills

ADR 115.8

Top Assist

1Sandman

assists

0 flash

Best ADR

viz

115.8

avg dmg/rd

25K 17D

Best KAST

Walco

83.3%

KAST

14K 17D

Most HS

viz

headshots

48% HS rate

Best K/D

viz

1.47

K/D ratio

25K 17D

ancient

10 – 13

7ct|3tvs8ct|5t

Vagrants WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
mason	22	18	1	1.22	36%	96.8	66.7%	0.55
1Sandman	16	17	9	0.94	44%	92.2	75.0%	0.48
brett	15	16	7	0.94	27%	77.5	75.0%	0.43
1Cyrix	15	15	6	1.00	27%	73.2	75.0%	0.43
Seb	14	18	4	0.78	29%	72.9	66.7%	0.36
CT SIDE
viz	25	17	6	1.47	48%	115.8	79.2%	0.7
ben1337	17	17	5	1.00	59%	77.4	79.2%	0.51
ogwizard	15	16	4	0.94	60%	78.4	70.8%	0.47
Walco	14	17	8	0.82	43%	84.5	83.3%	0.45
FaNg	13	16	5	0.81	46%	73.0	66.7%	0.39

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
mason	8	12	1	38%	73.6	53.8%	0.3
1Sandman	9	11	5	44%	99.4	53.8%	0.41
brett	7	10	4	0%	71.3	69.2%	0.29
1Cyrix	5	11	4	40%	49.3	61.5%	0.21
Seb	6	10	2	33%	68.5	38.5%	0.23
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
viz	20	6	1	45%	157.3	84.6%	1.07
ben1337	13	7	3	62%	97.7	84.6%	0.74
ogwizard	6	7	2	83%	70.2	76.9%	0.47
Walco	5	8	5	60%	65.0	84.6%	0.39
FaNg	10	7	3	40%	95.5	76.9%	0.58

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
mason	14	6	0	36%	124.2	81.8%	0.85
1Sandman	7	6	4	43%	83.7	100.0%	0.56
brett	8	6	3	50%	84.9	81.8%	0.57
1Cyrix	10	4	2	20%	101.5	90.9%	0.71
Seb	8	8	2	25%	78.2	100.0%	0.51
2ND HALF — T SIDE
viz	5	11	5	60%	66.7	72.7%	0.28
ben1337	4	10	2	50%	53.5	72.7%	0.23
ogwizard	9	9	2	44%	88.0	63.6%	0.48
Walco	9	9	3	33%	107.6	81.8%	0.54
FaNg	3	9	2	67%	46.5	54.5%	0.18

Highlights available for subscribers Sign in

Match Stats — All Players Combined DEMO PARSED

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Rds
⭐ viz t1	25	17	6	1.47	48%	115.8	79.2%	24
mason t2	22	18	1	1.22	36%	96.8	66.7%	24
ben1337 t1	17	17	5	1.00	59%	77.4	79.2%	24
1Sandman t2	16	17	9	0.94	44%	92.2	75.0%	24
brett t2	15	16	7	0.94	27%	77.5	75.0%	24
1Cyrix t2	15	15	6	1.00	27%	73.2	75.0%	24
ogwizard t1	15	16	4	0.94	60%	78.4	70.8%	24
Seb t2	14	18	4	0.78	29%	72.9	66.7%	24
Walco t1	14	17	8	0.82	43%	84.5	83.3%	24
FaNg t1	13	16	5	0.81	46%	73.0	66.7%	24

Player Awards

🔫

Top Fragger

viz

25 kills

🎯

Headshot Machine

viz

48% HS

25K

Per-Map Player Stats per map · sorted by kills

ancient 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ mason	22	18	1	1.22	36%	96.8	66.7%	0.55
1Sandman	16	17	9	0.94	44%	92.2	75.0%	0.48
brett	15	16	7	0.94	27%	77.5	75.0%	0.43
1Cyrix	15	15	6	1.00	27%	73.2	75.0%	0.43
Seb	14	18	4	0.78	29%	72.9	66.7%	0.36
viz	25	17	6	1.47	48%	115.8	79.2%	0.7
ben1337	17	17	5	1.00	59%	77.4	79.2%	0.51
ogwizard	15	16	4	0.94	60%	78.4	70.8%	0.47
Walco	14	17	8	0.82	43%	84.5	83.3%	0.45
FaNg	13	16	5	0.81	46%	73.0	66.7%	0.39

ancient 24 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $3250 | CT $3250

Round 2

T $4200 | CT $4250

Round 3

T $1200 | CT $21200

Round 4

T $23000 | CT $23200

Round 5

T $21200 | CT $22500

Round 6

T $23450 | CT $5750

Round 7

T $23550 | CT $24050

Round 8

T $12750 | CT $26250

Round 9

T $1200 | CT $30500

Round 10

T $21950 | CT $30500

Round 11

T $23500 | CT $28350

Round 12

T $1800 | CT $30100

Round 13

T $22000 | CT $31550

Round 14

T $4400 | CT $4100

Round 15

T $13800 | CT $20750

Round 16

T $20250 | CT $8750

Round 17

T $20900 | CT $2250

Round 18

T $22950 | CT $23450

Round 19

T $23200 | CT $25450

Round 20

T $1900 | CT $24300

Round 21

T $23600 | CT $30450

Round 22

T $6400 | CT $30550

Round 23

T $24600 | CT $30950

Round 24

T $22600 | CT $30850

Party Astronauts Eco Rating: 5.2

Eco rounds

1/7 W (14%)

Force buy

0/1 W (0%)

Full buy

9 rounds

Avg Equip

$15319

Util Dmg

5.00

0.3/rd

Opening K

41%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 60%

Headshot% 38%

Vagrants Eco Rating: 9.3

Eco rounds

2/4 W (50%)

Force buy

0/2 W (0%)

Full buy

16 rounds

Avg Equip

$21388

Util Dmg

6.00

0.3/rd

Opening K

82%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 30%

Headshot% 43%

CQ Feature Intelligence 534 features

null: 54.3% ⬡ Gold

Form (30d / 90d)

WR 30d

50.0% vs 50.0%

WR 90d

46.2% vs 66.7%

Rating 30d

1.26 vs 1.22

Form Slope

↓-0.030 vs —

Map Intelligence

CT WR 90d

53.4% vs 39.0%

T WR 90d

51.5% vs 47.6%

Pool Depth

4.0 vs —

Team Dynamics

Days Rest

3.0d vs 4.0d

Roster Stab

— vs —

Synergy

0.48 vs —

Elo Δ -62

Elo Win% 41.2%

Party Astronauts Eco Rating: 5.2

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

14%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

38%

Trade Rate

60%

Opening K/Rd

41%

Util Dmg/Rd

0.3

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 44

Vagrants Eco Rating: 9.3

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

50%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

43%

Trade Rate

30%

Opening K/Rd

82%

Util Dmg/Rd

0.3

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 80

Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

Current: 54.3% null Target: <10%

More features will unlock as demo parsing progresses

Party Astronauts

1 – 1

Vagrants

Recent Meetings

Vagrants 0 – 1 Party Astronauts Jan 2025 Party Astronauts 0 – 1 Vagrants Jan 2025

Player Performance

DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact

Impact = KPR×0.45 − DPR×0.30 + KAST×0.25 + HS%×0.15 + ADR/100×0.15 | KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round | Source: awpy + demoparser2

ancient 24 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $3250 | CT $3250

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $4200 | CT $4250

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $1200 | CT $21200

T buy: eco CT buy: half_buy

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $23000 | CT $23200

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $21200 | CT $22500

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $23450 | CT $5750

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $23550 | CT $24050

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $12750 | CT $26250

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $1200 | CT $30500

T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $21950 | CT $30500

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $23500 | CT $28350

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $1800 | CT $30100

T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $22000 | CT $31550

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $4400 | CT $4100

T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $13800 | CT $20750

T buy: half_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $20250 | CT $8750

T buy: half_buy CT buy: force_buy

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $20900 | CT $2250

T buy: half_buy CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $22950 | CT $23450

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 19 19 — 2nd half

T $23200 | CT $25450

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 20 20 — 2nd half

T $1900 | CT $24300

T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy

Round 21 21 — 2nd half

T $23600 | CT $30450

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 22 22 — 2nd half

T $6400 | CT $30550

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 23 23 — 2nd half

T $24600 | CT $30950

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 24 24 — 2nd half

T $22600 | CT $30850

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy