Vagrants vs Party Astronauts

ESL Challenger League Season 49 North America· A-TIER ONLINE BO3

FINAL 28 Jan 2025 22:54 UTC

Vagrants

Elo 1469

0 – 1

Winner: Party Astronauts

Party Astronauts

Elo 1488

CS2

CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP

AUC 0.702 62% CONF WRONG

Vagrants 62.1% 37.9% Party Astronauts

Why this prediction?

+100.0 Elo advantage

+84.2 Elo implied probability

+75.5 Elo win probability

−46.2 Schedule difficulty edge

−37.7 Avg opponent quality diff

+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1

+29.3 Days since last match (T1)

+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)

+25.2 Elo (T1)

+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)

Match Highlights Demo parsed

Top Performers

Top Fragger

Walco

kills

ADR 104.7

Top Assist

FaNg

assists

0 flash

Best ADR

Walco

104.7

avg dmg/rd

22K 11D

Best KAST

viz

90.9%

KAST

18K 13D

Most HS

viz

headshots

50% HS rate

Best K/D

Walco

2.00

K/D ratio

22K 11D

mirage

8 – 13

7ct|1tvs8ct|5t

Party Astronauts WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
Walco	22	11	3	2.00	36%	104.7	86.4%	0.73
viz	18	13	7	1.38	50%	91.8	90.9%	0.63
FaNg	16	17	8	0.94	50%	94.3	77.3%	0.51
ogwizard	14	14	3	1.00	21%	78.6	77.3%	0.44
ben1337	11	17	4	0.65	45%	60.2	86.4%	0.37
CT SIDE
brett	21	16	2	1.31	29%	98.6	72.7%	0.58
mason	16	21	7	0.76	56%	90.5	81.8%	0.47
Seb	15	15	5	1.00	33%	77.9	81.8%	0.47
1Sandman	13	17	5	0.76	46%	72.8	77.3%	0.41
1Cyrix	9	15	4	0.60	22%	59.1	59.1%	0.25

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
Walco	11	9	1	45%	99.8	76.9%	0.58
viz	9	7	0	67%	69.1	84.6%	0.57
FaNg	9	12	3	67%	92.1	69.2%	0.45
ogwizard	3	10	1	0%	39.1	61.5%	0.09
ben1337	7	10	1	29%	59.4	84.6%	0.36
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
brett	14	7	1	29%	101.2	76.9%	0.71
mason	10	12	5	30%	92.8	84.6%	0.46
Seb	12	7	3	42%	103.8	92.3%	0.7
1Sandman	8	8	3	50%	68.7	76.9%	0.46
1Cyrix	5	7	3	20%	56.5	69.2%	0.3

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
Walco	11	2	2	27%	111.7	100.0%	0.94
viz	9	6	7	33%	124.7	100.0%	0.74
FaNg	7	5	5	29%	97.6	88.9%	0.6
ogwizard	11	4	2	27%	135.7	100.0%	0.91
ben1337	4	7	3	75%	61.4	88.9%	0.39
2ND HALF — T SIDE
brett	7	9	1	29%	94.8	66.7%	0.4
mason	6	9	2	100%	87.1	77.8%	0.48
Seb	3	8	2	0%	40.6	66.7%	0.11
1Sandman	5	9	2	40%	78.8	77.8%	0.32
1Cyrix	4	8	1	25%	62.9	44.4%	0.18

Highlights available for subscribers Sign in

Match Stats — All Players Combined DEMO PARSED

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Rds
⭐ Walco t2	22	11	3	2.00	36%	104.7	86.4%	22
brett t1	21	16	2	1.31	29%	98.6	72.7%	22
viz t2	18	13	7	1.38	50%	91.8	90.9%	22
FaNg t2	16	17	8	0.94	50%	94.3	77.3%	22
mason t1	16	21	7	0.76	56%	90.5	81.8%	22
Seb t1	15	15	5	1.00	33%	77.9	81.8%	22
ogwizard t2	14	14	3	1.00	21%	78.6	77.3%	22
1Sandman t1	13	17	5	0.76	46%	72.8	77.3%	22
ben1337 t2	11	17	4	0.65	45%	60.2	86.4%	22
1Cyrix t1	9	15	4	0.60	22%	59.1	59.1%	22

Player Awards

🔫

Top Fragger

Walco

22 kills

🎯

Headshot Machine

Walco

36% HS

22K

Per-Map Player Stats per map · sorted by kills

mirage 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ Walco	22	11	3	2.00	36%	104.7	86.4%	0.73
viz	18	13	7	1.38	50%	91.8	90.9%	0.63
FaNg	16	17	8	0.94	50%	94.3	77.3%	0.51
ogwizard	14	14	3	1.00	21%	78.6	77.3%	0.44
ben1337	11	17	4	0.65	45%	60.2	86.4%	0.37
brett	21	16	2	1.31	29%	98.6	72.7%	0.58
mason	16	21	7	0.76	56%	90.5	81.8%	0.47
Seb	15	15	5	1.00	33%	77.9	81.8%	0.47
1Sandman	13	17	5	0.76	46%	72.8	77.3%	0.41
1Cyrix	9	15	4	0.60	22%	59.1	59.1%	0.25

mirage 22 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $3250 | CT $3250

Round 2

T $4250 | CT $4200

Round 3

T $1500 | CT $21150

Round 4

T $22800 | CT $25700

Round 5

T $25500 | CT $14850

Round 6

T $25500 | CT $13600

Round 7

T $27250 | CT $25950

Round 8

T $20100 | CT $29450

Round 9

T $26450 | CT $2950

Round 10

T $27150 | CT $23500

Round 11

T $26250 | CT $30000

Round 12

T $12100 | CT $29750

Round 13

T $24100 | CT $30350

Round 14

T $4950 | CT $4600

Round 15

T $19100 | CT $10750

Round 16

T $11200 | CT $25450

Round 17

T $2300 | CT $29200

Round 18

T $23250 | CT $29200

Round 19

T $10200 | CT $29000

Round 20

T $25800 | CT $30950

Round 21

T $10050 | CT $31150

Round 22

T $25000 | CT $31050

Party Astronauts Eco Rating: 18.3

Eco rounds

2/4 W (50%)

Force buy

1/1 W (100%)

Full buy

14 rounds

Avg Equip

$21639

Util Dmg

3.00

0.2/rd

Opening K

79%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 41%

Headshot% 33%

Vagrants Eco Rating: 6.7

Eco rounds

1/5 W (20%)

Force buy

0/4 W (0%)

Full buy

11 rounds

Avg Equip

$17184

Util Dmg

8.00

0.4/rd

Opening K

40%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 53%

Headshot% 47%

CQ Feature Intelligence 534 features

null: 54.9% ⬡ Gold

Form (30d / 90d)

WR 30d

50.0% vs 50.0%

WR 90d

66.7% vs 46.2%

Rating 30d

1.22 vs 1.26

Form Slope

— vs ↓-0.030

Map Intelligence

CT WR 90d

39.0% vs 53.4%

T WR 90d

47.6% vs 51.5%

Pool Depth

— vs 4.0

Team Dynamics

Days Rest

4.0d vs 3.0d

Roster Stab

— vs —

Synergy

— vs 0.48

Elo Δ +62

Elo Win% 58.8%

Party Astronauts Eco Rating: 18.3

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

50%

Force Win%

100%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

33%

Trade Rate

41%

Opening K/Rd

79%

Util Dmg/Rd

0.2

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 71

Vagrants Eco Rating: 6.7

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

20%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

47%

Trade Rate

53%

Opening K/Rd

40%

Util Dmg/Rd

0.4

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 41

Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

Current: 54.9% null Target: <10%

More features will unlock as demo parsing progresses

Vagrants

1 – 1

Party Astronauts

Recent Meetings

Vagrants 0 – 1 Party Astronauts Jan 2025 Party Astronauts 0 – 1 Vagrants Jan 2025

Player Performance

DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact

Impact = KPR×0.45 − DPR×0.30 + KAST×0.25 + HS%×0.15 + ADR/100×0.15 | KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round | Source: awpy + demoparser2

mirage 22 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $3250 | CT $3250

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $4250 | CT $4200

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $1500 | CT $21150

T buy: eco CT buy: half_buy

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $22800 | CT $25700

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $25500 | CT $14850

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $25500 | CT $13600

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $27250 | CT $25950

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $20100 | CT $29450

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $26450 | CT $2950

T buy: full_buy CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $27150 | CT $23500

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $26250 | CT $30000

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $12100 | CT $29750

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $24100 | CT $30350

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $4950 | CT $4600

T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $19100 | CT $10750

T buy: half_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $11200 | CT $25450

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $2300 | CT $29200

T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $23250 | CT $29200

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 19 19 — 2nd half

T $10200 | CT $29000

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 20 20 — 2nd half

T $25800 | CT $30950

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 21 21 — 2nd half

T $10050 | CT $31150

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 22 22 — 2nd half

T $25000 | CT $31050

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy