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ESL Challenger League Season 49 North Americaยท A-TIER ONLINE BO3
FINAL 19 Feb 2025 22:44 UTC
Vagrants
Vagrants
Elo 1472
1 โ€“ 0
Winner: Vagrants
AE
Aetheris
Elo 1462
CS2
CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP
AUC 0.702 58% CONF WRONG
Vagrants 41.8% 58.2% Aetheris
Why this prediction?
โˆ’100.0 Elo advantage
+84.2 Elo implied probability
+75.5 Elo win probability
+46.2 Schedule difficulty edge
+37.7 Avg opponent quality diff
+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1
+29.3 Days since last match (T1)
+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)
+25.2 Elo (T1)
+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)
ancient
13 โ€“ 8
9|4vs5|3
Vagrants
Match Highlights Demo parsed
Top Performers
Top Fragger
xsany272
26
kills
ADR 115.4
Top Assist
1Sandman
10
assists
3 flash
Best ADR
xsany272
115.4
avg dmg/rd
26K 19D
Best KAST
xsany272
86.4%
KAST
26K 19D
Most HS
xsany272
16
headshots
62% HS rate
Best K/D
brett
1.92
K/D ratio
23K 12D
de_ancient
ancient
13 โ€“ 8
Vagrants WON
Round Timeline
CT win T win
HT
Round โ€” Player Stats
Player K D A HS ADR KAST
Player K D A K/D HS% ADR KAST% Impact
T SIDE
xsany272
 26 19 3 1.37 62% 115.4 86.4% 0.75
RuIik
 19 17 4 1.12 79% 111.5 77.3% 0.64
s1renaa
 13 18 2 0.72 54% 66.8 59.1% 0.35
karv3r
 10 16 5 0.62 40% 70.2 63.6% 0.31
noto-
 9 19 7 0.47 44% 55.0 77.3% 0.27
CT SIDE
brett
 23 12 7 1.92 35% 100.1 72.7% 0.69
1Cyrix
 18 16 8 1.12 33% 98.0 86.4% 0.56
mason
 18 17 6 1.06 39% 98.2 68.2% 0.51
1Sandman
 15 15 10 1.00 47% 89.0 81.8% 0.51
Seb
 14 17 7 0.82 50% 72.2 68.2% 0.41
Player K D A HS% ADR KAST% Impact
1ST HALF โ€” T SIDE
xsany272
 19 12 0 58% 132.1 76.9% 0.86
RuIik
 11 11 3 82% 118.3 76.9% 0.62
s1renaa
 4 11 1 50% 39.2 61.5% 0.17
karv3r
 5 11 3 40% 70.6 69.2% 0.26
noto-
 3 12 4 0% 41.1 61.5% 0.04
1ST HALF โ€” CT SIDE
brett
 18 4 4 33% 115.4 76.9% 0.95
1Cyrix
 10 9 3 20% 76.1 84.6% 0.49
mason
 11 10 5 36% 109.6 69.2% 0.54
1Sandman
 9 8 8 56% 99.9 92.3% 0.59
Seb
 7 10 4 43% 75.2 76.9% 0.38
Player K D A HS% ADR KAST% Impact
2ND HALF โ€” CT SIDE
xsany272
 7 7 3 71% 91.3 100.0% 0.61
RuIik
 8 6 1 75% 101.7 77.8% 0.66
s1renaa
 9 7 1 56% 106.7 55.6% 0.6
karv3r
 5 5 2 40% 69.7 55.6% 0.39
noto-
 6 7 3 67% 75.1 100.0% 0.53
2ND HALF โ€” T SIDE
brett
 5 8 3 40% 78.1 66.7% 0.33
1Cyrix
 8 7 5 50% 129.6 88.9% 0.66
mason
 7 7 1 43% 81.8 66.7% 0.47
1Sandman
 6 7 2 33% 73.3 66.7% 0.39
Seb
 7 7 3 57% 67.8 55.6% 0.44
Highlights available for subscribers Sign in
Match Stats โ€” All Players Combined DEMO PARSED
Player K D A K/D HS% ADR KAST% Rds
⭐ xsany272 t2
26 19 3 1.37 62% 115.4 86.4% 22
brett t1
23 12 7 1.92 35% 100.1 72.7% 22
RuIik t2
19 17 4 1.12 79% 111.5 77.3% 22
1Cyrix t1
18 16 8 1.12 33% 98.0 86.4% 22
mason t1
18 17 6 1.06 39% 98.2 68.2% 22
1Sandman t1
15 15 10 1.00 47% 89.0 81.8% 22
Seb t1
14 17 7 0.82 50% 72.2 68.2% 22
s1renaa t2
13 18 2 0.72 54% 66.8 59.1% 22
karv3r t2
10 16 5 0.62 40% 70.2 63.6% 22
noto- t2
9 19 7 0.47 44% 55.0 77.3% 22
Player Awards
🔫
Top Fragger
xsany272
26 kills
🎯
Headshot Machine
xsany272
62% HS
26K
Per-Map Player Stats per map ยท sorted by kills
de_ancient ancient 10 players
Player K D A K/D HS% ADR KAST% Impact
⭐
xsany272
26 19 3 1.37 62% 115.4 86.4% 0.75
RuIik
19 17 4 1.12 79% 111.5 77.3% 0.64
s1renaa
13 18 2 0.72 54% 66.8 59.1% 0.35
karv3r
10 16 5 0.62 40% 70.2 63.6% 0.31
noto-
9 19 7 0.47 44% 55.0 77.3% 0.27
brett
23 12 7 1.92 35% 100.1 72.7% 0.69
1Cyrix
18 16 8 1.12 33% 98.0 86.4% 0.56
mason
18 17 6 1.06 39% 98.2 68.2% 0.51
1Sandman
15 15 10 1.00 47% 89.0 81.8% 0.51
Seb
14 17 7 0.82 50% 72.2 68.2% 0.41
de_ancient ancient 22 rounds
โ–  CT Win โ–  T Win Click a round to see kill feed
Round 1
T $3250 | CT $3250
Round 2
T $4300 | CT $4000
Round 3
T $9300 | CT $20100
Round 4
T $3450 | CT $23700
Round 5
T $24500 | CT $28750
Round 6
T $24600 | CT $30250
Round 7
T $18050 | CT $30150
Round 8
T $10350 | CT $30550
Round 9
T $24900 | CT $30400
Round 10
T $17200 | CT $29700
Round 11
T $21000 | CT $27650
Round 12
T $25750 | CT $1200
Round 13
T $28550 | CT $24000
Round 14
T $4550 | CT $4000
Round 15
T $14300 | CT $20950
HT
Round 16
T $20450 | CT $19700
Round 17
T $24900 | CT $9000
Round 18
T $23550 | CT $3450
Round 19
T $12600 | CT $28950
Round 20
T $5800 | CT $30050
Round 21
T $24200 | CT $29950
Round 22
T $23750 | CT $29850
Aetheris Eco Rating: 12.7
Eco rounds
4/5 W (80%)
Force buy
0/1 W (0%)
Full buy
13 rounds
Avg Equip
$20891
Util Dmg
1.00
0.1/rd
Opening K
10
53%/rd
Trade Kill Rate 38%
Headshot% 47%
2K
0
3K
5
4K
1
5K
14
Vagrants Eco Rating: 5.1
Eco rounds
0/4 W (0%)
Force buy
0/3 W (0%)
Full buy
9 rounds
Avg Equip
$16786
Util Dmg
2.00
0.1/rd
Opening K
13
81%/rd
Trade Kill Rate 43%
Headshot% 51%
2K
6
3K
4
4K
3
5K
8
CQ Feature Intelligence 534 features
null: 49.1% โฌก Gold
Form (30d / 90d)
WR 30d
38.5% vs 50.0%
WR 90d
42.9% vs 50.0%
Rating 30d
1.06 vs 0.89
Form Slope
โ†“-0.030 vs โ†“-0.010
Map Intelligence
CT WR 90d
46.8% vs 41.4%
T WR 90d
44.6% vs 52.3%
Pool Depth
1.0 vs โ€”
Team Dynamics
Days Rest
8.0d vs 21.0d
Roster Stab
โ€” vs โ€”
Synergy
0.63 vs 2.38
Elo ฮ” -14
Elo Win% 48.1%
Aetheris Eco Rating: 12.7
Economy Mastery
Eco Win%
80%
Force Win%
0%
Kill Quality
Headshot%
47%
Trade Rate
38%
Opening K/Rd
53%
Util Dmg/Rd
0.1
Multi-Kill Rounds
2K
0
3K
5
4K
1
5K
14
Multi-Kill Score: 69
Vagrants Eco Rating: 5.1
Economy Mastery
Eco Win%
0%
Force Win%
0%
Kill Quality
Headshot%
51%
Trade Rate
43%
Opening K/Rd
81%
Util Dmg/Rd
0.1
Multi-Kill Rounds
2K
6
3K
4
4K
3
5K
8
Multi-Kill Score: 55
Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

Current: 49.1% null Target: <10%
More features will unlock as demo parsing progresses
Vagrants
1 โ€“ 1
Aetheris
Recent Meetings
Vagrants 1 โ€“ 0 Aetheris Feb 2025 Aetheris 1 โ€“ 0 Vagrants Feb 2025
Player Performance
DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact
Impact = KPRร—0.45 โˆ’ DPRร—0.30 + KASTร—0.25 + HS%ร—0.15 + ADR/100ร—0.15  |  KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round  |  Source: awpy + demoparser2
de_ancient ancient 22 rounds
โ–  CT Win โ–  T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed
Round 1 1 โ€” 1st half
T $3250 | CT $3250
T buy: eco CT buy: eco
Round 2 2 โ€” 1st half
T $4300 | CT $4000
T buy: eco CT buy: eco
Round 3 3 โ€” 1st half
T $9300 | CT $20100
T buy: force_buy CT buy: half_buy
Round 4 4 โ€” 1st half
T $3450 | CT $23700
T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted
Round 5 5 โ€” 1st half
T $24500 | CT $28750
T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted
Round 6 6 โ€” 1st half
T $24600 | CT $30250
T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy
Round 7 7 โ€” 1st half
T $18050 | CT $30150
T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy
Round 8 8 โ€” 1st half
T $10350 | CT $30550
T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy
Round 9 9 โ€” 1st half
T $24900 | CT $30400
T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy
Round 10 10 โ€” 1st half
T $17200 | CT $29700
T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted
Round 11 11 โ€” 1st half
T $21000 | CT $27650
T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted
Round 12 12 โ€” 1st half
T $25750 | CT $1200
T buy: full_buy CT buy: eco Bomb planted
Round 13 13 โ€” 1st half
T $28550 | CT $24000
T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted
Round 14 14 โ€” 1st half
T $4550 | CT $4000
T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted
Round 15 15 โ€” 1st half
T $14300 | CT $20950
T buy: half_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted
HT
Round 16 16 โ€” 2nd half
T $20450 | CT $19700
T buy: half_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted
Round 17 17 โ€” 2nd half
T $24900 | CT $9000
T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted
Round 18 18 โ€” 2nd half
T $23550 | CT $3450
T buy: full_buy CT buy: eco Bomb planted
Round 19 19 โ€” 2nd half
T $12600 | CT $28950
T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy
Round 20 20 โ€” 2nd half
T $5800 | CT $30050
T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy
Round 21 21 โ€” 2nd half
T $24200 | CT $29950
T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted
Round 22 22 โ€” 2nd half
T $23750 | CT $29850
T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted