Aetheris vs Vagrants — CounterQuant

ESL Challenger League Season 49 North America· A-TIER ONLINE BO3

FINAL 19 Feb 2025 22:44 UTC

Aetheris

Elo 1462

1 – 0

Winner: Aetheris

Vagrants

Elo 1472

CS2

CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP

AUC 0.702 52% CONF CORRECT

Aetheris 52.1% 47.9% Vagrants

Why this prediction?

+100.0 Elo advantage

+84.2 Elo implied probability

+75.5 Elo win probability

−46.2 Schedule difficulty edge

−37.7 Avg opponent quality diff

+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1

+29.3 Days since last match (T1)

+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)

+25.2 Elo (T1)

+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)

Match Highlights Demo parsed

Top Performers

Top Fragger

karv3r

kills

ADR 115.9

Top Assist

mason

assists

0 flash

Best ADR

karv3r

115.9

avg dmg/rd

26K 16D

Best KAST

noto-

91.7%

KAST

10K 17D

Most HS

RuIik

headshots

62% HS rate

Best K/D

karv3r

1.62

K/D ratio

26K 16D

anubis

13 – 10

7ct|6tvs5ct|5t

Aetheris WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
brett	23	16	2	1.44	43%	103.2	79.2%	0.65
1Cyrix	22	16	5	1.38	32%	105.2	79.2%	0.62
Seb	14	21	5	0.67	36%	73.3	62.5%	0.32
mason	13	22	12	0.59	54%	69.2	70.8%	0.33
1Sandman	11	17	9	0.65	73%	66.8	75.0%	0.39
CT SIDE
karv3r	26	16	10	1.62	46%	115.9	87.5%	0.75
RuIik	21	17	9	1.24	62%	104.3	83.3%	0.64
s1renaa	19	17	7	1.12	42%	90.6	70.8%	0.52
xsany272	16	16	3	1.00	69%	85.0	79.2%	0.53
noto-	10	17	9	0.59	40%	56.1	91.7%	0.35

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
brett	13	10	1	38%	102.3	76.9%	0.62
1Cyrix	8	9	3	50%	80.8	76.9%	0.46
Seb	9	12	4	11%	90.4	69.2%	0.36
mason	6	13	7	50%	61.5	69.2%	0.25
1Sandman	7	10	4	71%	66.5	69.2%	0.39
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
karv3r	12	9	4	50%	117.0	92.3%	0.69
RuIik	14	8	4	57%	120.3	92.3%	0.8
s1renaa	12	10	3	33%	104.2	76.9%	0.58
xsany272	9	7	2	67%	82.6	84.6%	0.59
noto-	7	9	2	43%	54.6	92.3%	0.41

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
brett	10	6	1	50%	104.3	81.8%	0.68
1Cyrix	14	7	2	21%	134.0	81.8%	0.82
Seb	5	9	1	80%	53.2	54.5%	0.3
mason	7	9	5	57%	78.2	72.7%	0.43
1Sandman	4	7	5	75%	67.0	81.8%	0.39
2ND HALF — T SIDE
karv3r	14	7	6	43%	114.6	81.8%	0.82
RuIik	7	9	5	71%	85.4	72.7%	0.46
s1renaa	7	7	4	57%	74.5	63.6%	0.45
xsany272	7	9	1	71%	87.8	72.7%	0.46
noto-	3	8	7	33%	57.9	90.9%	0.27

Highlights available for subscribers Sign in

Match Stats — All Players Combined DEMO PARSED

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Rds
⭐ karv3r t1	26	16	10	1.62	46%	115.9	87.5%	24
brett t2	23	16	2	1.44	43%	103.2	79.2%	24
1Cyrix t2	22	16	5	1.38	32%	105.2	79.2%	24
RuIik t1	21	17	9	1.24	62%	104.3	83.3%	24
s1renaa t1	19	17	7	1.12	42%	90.6	70.8%	24
xsany272 t1	16	16	3	1.00	69%	85.0	79.2%	24
Seb t2	14	21	5	0.67	36%	73.3	62.5%	24
mason t2	13	22	12	0.59	54%	69.2	70.8%	24
1Sandman t2	11	17	9	0.65	73%	66.8	75.0%	24
noto- t1	10	17	9	0.59	40%	56.1	91.7%	24

Player Awards

🔫

Top Fragger

karv3r

26 kills

🎯

Headshot Machine

karv3r

46% HS

26K

Per-Map Player Stats per map · sorted by kills

anubis 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ brett	23	16	2	1.44	43%	103.2	79.2%	0.65
1Cyrix	22	16	5	1.38	32%	105.2	79.2%	0.62
Seb	14	21	5	0.67	36%	73.3	62.5%	0.32
mason	13	22	12	0.59	54%	69.2	70.8%	0.33
1Sandman	11	17	9	0.65	73%	66.8	75.0%	0.39
karv3r	26	16	10	1.62	46%	115.9	87.5%	0.75
RuIik	21	17	9	1.24	62%	104.3	83.3%	0.64
s1renaa	19	17	7	1.12	42%	90.6	70.8%	0.52
xsany272	16	16	3	1.00	69%	85.0	79.2%	0.53
noto-	10	17	9	0.59	40%	56.1	91.7%	0.35

anubis 24 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $3250 | CT $3250

Round 2

T $4300 | CT $4200

Round 3

T $14150 | CT $19950

Round 4

T $3350 | CT $20650

Round 5

T $25000 | CT $24750

Round 6

T $26050 | CT $23500

Round 7

T $8650 | CT $27800

Round 8

T $27950 | CT $4050

Round 9

T $24900 | CT $22500

Round 10

T $27650 | CT $4400

Round 11

T $16000 | CT $29600

Round 12

T $1000 | CT $30950

Round 13

T $22350 | CT $33900

Round 14

T $4400 | CT $4250

Round 15

T $1200 | CT $19700

Round 16

T $25050 | CT $9150

Round 17

T $25150 | CT $5000

Round 18

T $25800 | CT $21850

Round 19

T $25600 | CT $8600

Round 20

T $25500 | CT $26500

Round 21

T $26650 | CT $30950

Round 22

T $16350 | CT $30750

Round 23

T $8000 | CT $31350

Round 24

T $25200 | CT $29450

Aetheris Eco Rating: 13.0

Eco rounds

2/6 W (33%)

Force buy

1/2 W (50%)

Full buy

12 rounds

Avg Equip

$17229

Util Dmg

1.00

0.0/rd

Opening K

55%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 43%

Headshot% 47%

Vagrants Eco Rating: 10.9

Eco rounds

3/5 W (60%)

Force buy

0/3 W (0%)

Full buy

12 rounds

Avg Equip

$19460

Util Dmg

1.00

0.0/rd

Opening K

70%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 44%

Headshot% 49%

CQ Feature Intelligence 534 features

null: 49.6% ⬡ Gold

Form (30d / 90d)

WR 30d

50.0% vs 38.5%

WR 90d

50.0% vs 42.9%

Rating 30d

0.89 vs 1.06

Form Slope

↓-0.010 vs ↓-0.030

Map Intelligence

CT WR 90d

41.4% vs 46.8%

T WR 90d

52.3% vs 44.6%

Pool Depth

— vs 1.0

Team Dynamics

Days Rest

21.0d vs 8.0d

Roster Stab

— vs —

Synergy

2.38 vs 0.63

Elo Δ +14

Elo Win% 51.9%

Aetheris Eco Rating: 13.0

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

33%

Force Win%

50%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

47%

Trade Rate

43%

Opening K/Rd

55%

Util Dmg/Rd

—

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 60

Vagrants Eco Rating: 10.9

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

60%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

49%

Trade Rate

44%

Opening K/Rd

70%

Util Dmg/Rd

—

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 72

Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

Current: 49.6% null Target: <10%

More features will unlock as demo parsing progresses

Aetheris

1 – 1

Vagrants

Recent Meetings

Vagrants 1 – 0 Aetheris Feb 2025 Aetheris 1 – 0 Vagrants Feb 2025

Player Performance

DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact

Impact = KPR×0.45 − DPR×0.30 + KAST×0.25 + HS%×0.15 + ADR/100×0.15 | KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round | Source: awpy + demoparser2

anubis 24 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $3250 | CT $3250

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $4300 | CT $4200

T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $14150 | CT $19950

T buy: half_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $3350 | CT $20650

T buy: eco CT buy: half_buy

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $25000 | CT $24750

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $26050 | CT $23500

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $8650 | CT $27800

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $27950 | CT $4050

T buy: full_buy CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $24900 | CT $22500

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $27650 | CT $4400

T buy: full_buy CT buy: eco

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $16000 | CT $29600

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $1000 | CT $30950

T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $22350 | CT $33900

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $4400 | CT $4250

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $1200 | CT $19700

T buy: eco CT buy: half_buy

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $25050 | CT $9150

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $25150 | CT $5000

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $25800 | CT $21850

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 19 19 — 2nd half

T $25600 | CT $8600

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy

Round 20 20 — 2nd half

T $25500 | CT $26500

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 21 21 — 2nd half

T $26650 | CT $30950

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 22 22 — 2nd half

T $16350 | CT $30750

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 23 23 — 2nd half

T $8000 | CT $31350

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 24 24 — 2nd half

T $25200 | CT $29450

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy