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ESL Challenger League Season 49 North Americaยท A-TIER ONLINE BO3
FINAL 27 Mar 2025 22:47 UTC
BA
Bad News Capybaras
Elo 1559
0 โ€“ 1
Winner: Vagrants
Vagrants
Vagrants
Elo 1472
CS2
CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP
AUC 0.702 54% CONF WRONG
Bad News Capybaras 53.5% 46.5% Vagrants
Why this prediction?
+100.0 Elo advantage
+84.2 Elo implied probability
+75.5 Elo win probability
+46.2 Schedule difficulty edge
+37.7 Avg opponent quality diff
+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1
+29.3 Days since last match (T1)
+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)
+25.2 Elo (T1)
+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)
inferno
7 โ€“ 13
1|6vs6|7
Vagrants
Match Highlights Demo parsed
Top Performers
Top Fragger
consti
20
kills
ADR 112.0
Top Assist
mason
10
assists
2 flash
Best ADR
consti
112.0
avg dmg/rd
20K 7D
Best KAST
consti
100.0%
KAST
20K 7D
Most HS
1Sandman
9
headshots
50% HS rate
Best K/D
consti
2.86
K/D ratio
20K 7D
de_inferno
inferno
7 โ€“ 13
Vagrants WON
Round Timeline
CT win T win
HT
Round โ€” Player Stats
Player K D A HS ADR KAST
Player K D A K/D HS% ADR KAST% Impact
T SIDE
consti
 20 7 5 2.86 25% 112.0 100.0% 0.78
Seb
 18 8 6 2.25 44% 104.4 90.5% 0.72
1Sandman
 18 10 4 1.80 50% 93.9 81.0% 0.66
brett
 15 13 4 1.15 47% 84.8 76.2% 0.52
mason
 12 14 10 0.86 33% 83.7 76.2% 0.42
CT SIDE
Gabe
 17 16 4 1.06 41% 102.3 71.4% 0.53
mdsz
 14 17 3 0.82 36% 69.5 66.7% 0.38
jchancE
 10 17 5 0.59 20% 65.2 71.4% 0.28
cbass
 7 19 3 0.37 43% 44.2 57.1% 0.15
GraveKevin
 5 16 3 0.31 80% 41.4 42.9% 0.17
Player K D A HS% ADR KAST% Impact
1ST HALF โ€” T SIDE
consti
 7 3 3 43% 94.4 100.0% 0.71
Seb
 13 1 3 38% 161.2 100.0% 1.17
1Sandman
 7 4 1 71% 89.0 88.9% 0.68
brett
 10 3 0 40% 95.9 88.9% 0.83
mason
 2 6 5 100% 58.0 77.8% 0.33
1ST HALF โ€” CT SIDE
Gabe
 4 7 4 25% 86.9 66.7% 0.3
mdsz
 5 8 0 20% 54.7 55.6% 0.23
jchancE
 6 8 0 0% 68.4 44.4% 0.25
cbass
 2 8 2 50% 41.8 55.6% 0.11
GraveKevin
 0 8 1 0% 24.1 33.3% -0.15
Player K D A HS% ADR KAST% Impact
2ND HALF โ€” CT SIDE
consti
 13 4 2 15% 125.2 100.0% 0.85
Seb
 5 7 3 60% 61.8 83.3% 0.4
1Sandman
 11 6 3 36% 97.6 75.0% 0.65
brett
 5 10 4 60% 76.4 66.7% 0.31
mason
 10 8 5 20% 103.0 75.0% 0.55
2ND HALF โ€” T SIDE
Gabe
 13 9 0 46% 113.9 75.0% 0.69
mdsz
 9 9 3 44% 80.7 75.0% 0.49
jchancE
 4 9 5 50% 62.8 91.7% 0.32
cbass
 5 11 1 40% 46.1 58.3% 0.19
GraveKevin
 5 8 2 80% 54.3 50.0% 0.31
Highlights available for subscribers Sign in
Match Stats โ€” All Players Combined DEMO PARSED
Player K D A K/D HS% ADR KAST% Rds
⭐ consti t1
20 7 5 2.86 25% 112.0 100.0% 21
Seb t1
18 8 6 2.25 44% 104.4 90.5% 21
1Sandman t1
18 10 4 1.80 50% 93.9 81.0% 21
Gabe t2
17 16 4 1.06 41% 102.3 71.4% 21
brett t1
15 13 4 1.15 47% 84.8 76.2% 21
mdsz t2
14 17 3 0.82 36% 69.5 66.7% 21
mason t1
12 14 10 0.86 33% 83.7 76.2% 21
jchancE t2
10 17 5 0.59 20% 65.2 71.4% 21
cbass t2
7 19 3 0.37 43% 44.2 57.1% 21
GraveKevin t2
5 16 3 0.31 80% 41.4 42.9% 21
Player Awards
🔫
Top Fragger
consti
20 kills
🎯
Headshot Machine
consti
25% HS
20K
Per-Map Player Stats per map ยท sorted by kills
de_inferno inferno 10 players
Player K D A K/D HS% ADR KAST% Impact
⭐
consti
20 7 5 2.86 25% 112.0 100.0% 0.78
Seb
18 8 6 2.25 44% 104.4 90.5% 0.72
1Sandman
18 10 4 1.80 50% 93.9 81.0% 0.66
brett
15 13 4 1.15 47% 84.8 76.2% 0.52
mason
12 14 10 0.86 33% 83.7 76.2% 0.42
Gabe
17 16 4 1.06 41% 102.3 71.4% 0.53
mdsz
14 17 3 0.82 36% 69.5 66.7% 0.38
jchancE
10 17 5 0.59 20% 65.2 71.4% 0.28
cbass
7 19 3 0.37 43% 44.2 57.1% 0.15
GraveKevin
5 16 3 0.31 80% 41.4 42.9% 0.17
de_inferno inferno 21 rounds
โ–  CT Win โ–  T Win Click a round to see kill feed
Round 1
T $3250 | CT $3250
Round 2
T $4300 | CT $4300
Round 3
T $19400 | CT $11050
Round 4
T $22550 | CT $5250
Round 5
T $25700 | CT $28050
Round 6
T $25300 | CT $27050
Round 7
T $24100 | CT $28000
Round 8
T $25400 | CT $12000
Round 9
T $15600 | CT $29550
Round 10
T $4850 | CT $30350
Round 11
T $24050 | CT $27950
Round 12
T $8050 | CT $30850
Round 13
T $26050 | CT $31750
Round 14
T $4550 | CT $4200
Round 15
T $19900 | CT $10350
HT
Round 16
T $22250 | CT $3450
Round 17
T $24100 | CT $27500
Round 18
T $27550 | CT $30000
Round 19
T $27450 | CT $23450
Round 20
T $27850 | CT $5850
Round 21
T $28050 | CT $26400
Vagrants Eco Rating: 4.8
Eco rounds
0/4 W (0%)
Force buy
1/5 W (20%)
Full buy
12 rounds
Avg Equip
$19076
Util Dmg
4.00
0.2/rd
Opening K
16
76%/rd
Trade Kill Rate 34%
Headshot% 28%
2K
3
3K
6
4K
2
5K
5
Bad News Capybaras Eco Rating: 22.3
Eco rounds
3/4 W (75%)
Force buy
1/1 W (100%)
Full buy
12 rounds
Avg Equip
$19538
Util Dmg
3.00
0.2/rd
Opening K
6
35%/rd
Trade Kill Rate 51%
Headshot% 48%
2K
3
3K
3
4K
4
5K
9
CQ Feature Intelligence 534 features
null: 43.1% โฌก Gold
Form (30d / 90d)
WR 30d
45.5% vs 50.0%
WR 90d
39.3% vs 44.8%
Rating 30d
0.91 vs 1.08
Form Slope
โ†‘0.020 vs โ€”
Map Intelligence
CT WR 90d
50.0% vs 51.6%
T WR 90d
46.0% vs 44.1%
Pool Depth
2.0 vs 2.0
Team Dynamics
Days Rest
2.0d vs 1.0d
Roster Stab
โ€” vs โ€”
Synergy
1.45 vs 0.63
Elo ฮ” +91
Elo Win% 62.8%
Vagrants Eco Rating: 4.8
Economy Mastery
Eco Win%
0%
Force Win%
20%
Kill Quality
Headshot%
28%
Trade Rate
34%
Opening K/Rd
76%
Util Dmg/Rd
0.2
Multi-Kill Rounds
2K
3
3K
6
4K
2
5K
5
Multi-Kill Score: 41
Bad News Capybaras Eco Rating: 22.3
Economy Mastery
Eco Win%
75%
Force Win%
100%
Kill Quality
Headshot%
48%
Trade Rate
51%
Opening K/Rd
35%
Util Dmg/Rd
0.2
Multi-Kill Rounds
2K
3
3K
3
4K
4
5K
9
Multi-Kill Score: 57
Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

Current: 43.1% null Target: <10%
More features will unlock as demo parsing progresses
Bad News Capybaras
1 โ€“ 2
Vagrants
Recent Meetings
Vagrants 0 โ€“ 3 Bad News Capybaras Apr 2025 Bad News Capybaras 0 โ€“ 1 Vagrants Mar 2025 Vagrants 1 โ€“ 0 Bad News Capybaras Mar 2025
Player Performance
DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact
Impact = KPRร—0.45 โˆ’ DPRร—0.30 + KASTร—0.25 + HS%ร—0.15 + ADR/100ร—0.15  |  KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round  |  Source: awpy + demoparser2
de_inferno inferno 21 rounds
โ–  CT Win โ–  T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed
Round 1 1 โ€” 1st half
T $3250 | CT $3250
T buy: eco CT buy: eco
Round 2 2 โ€” 1st half
T $4300 | CT $4300
T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted
Round 3 3 โ€” 1st half
T $19400 | CT $11050
T buy: half_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted
Round 4 4 โ€” 1st half
T $22550 | CT $5250
T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted
Round 5 5 โ€” 1st half
T $25700 | CT $28050
T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted
Round 6 6 โ€” 1st half
T $25300 | CT $27050
T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy
Round 7 7 โ€” 1st half
T $24100 | CT $28000
T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted
Round 8 8 โ€” 1st half
T $25400 | CT $12000
T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy
Round 9 9 โ€” 1st half
T $15600 | CT $29550
T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy
Round 10 10 โ€” 1st half
T $4850 | CT $30350
T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted
Round 11 11 โ€” 1st half
T $24050 | CT $27950
T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy
Round 12 12 โ€” 1st half
T $8050 | CT $30850
T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted
Round 13 13 โ€” 1st half
T $26050 | CT $31750
T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy
Round 14 14 โ€” 1st half
T $4550 | CT $4200
T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted
Round 15 15 โ€” 1st half
T $19900 | CT $10350
T buy: half_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted
HT
Round 16 16 โ€” 2nd half
T $22250 | CT $3450
T buy: half_buy CT buy: eco Bomb planted
Round 17 17 โ€” 2nd half
T $24100 | CT $27500
T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy
Round 18 18 โ€” 2nd half
T $27550 | CT $30000
T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted
Round 19 19 โ€” 2nd half
T $27450 | CT $23450
T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted
Round 20 20 โ€” 2nd half
T $27850 | CT $5850
T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted
Round 21 21 โ€” 2nd half
T $28050 | CT $26400
T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted